Language:English
Maria Timofeeva v Kamilla Rakhimova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Maria Timofeeva (Local)
Prediction 39.83%2.51fair odd
EV +1.56%
Edge +0.610%
Kelly +1.00%
Growth +0.016%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.80%39.69%39.90%42.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.342.332.5546.51%42.68%42.92%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kamilla Rakhimova (Visit)
Prediction 60.17%1.66fair odd
EV -1.92%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -3.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.80%60.31%60.10%62.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.571.571.6365.79%63.82%63.69%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Maria Timofeeva (Local): 39.83%; Kamilla Rakhimova (Visit): 60.17%. For Maria Timofeeva (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.51. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.56%.
Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV +1.56%E +0.610%K +1.00%G +0.016% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-23 21:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV +0.759%E +0.300%K +0.496%G +0.004% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-23 19:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV +0.759%E +0.300%K +0.496%G +0.004% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-23 19:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.43%E -0.990%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-23 18:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.42%E -1.84%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-23 20:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.21%E -2.19%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.32%E -2.72%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-23 20:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.21%E -2.19%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.92%E -3.12%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-23 18:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.21%E -2.19%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-23 18:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.21%E -2.19%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.93%E -5.19%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-23 18:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.92%E -3.12%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-23 20:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.13%E -3.93%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-23 18:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.48%EV -7.21%E -3.09%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.52%EV -8.54%E -5.62%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-23 21:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-23 21:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.32%E -2.72%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 15:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 21:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.93%E -5.19%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 20:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -9.20%E -4.03%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -1.92%E -1.18%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-23 15:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-23 14:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-23 14:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-23 14:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 20:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 21:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -14.37%E -6.69%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-23 21:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-08-23 21:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-08-23 21:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-08-23 21:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05% | 1.4% | 2026-08-23 21:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20% | 1.5% | 2026-08-23 21:05 |