Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Maria Timofeeva v Kamilla Rakhimova

2026-08-23 21:10 UTC — WTA Monterrey Open

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Maria Timofeeva (Local)

Prediction 39.71%2.52fair odd
EV +1.66%
Edge +0.647%
Kelly +1.06%
Growth +0.018%

assuming max odds 2.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.71%39.64%39.75%42.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.352.352.5644.44%42.55%42.55%39.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kamilla Rakhimova (Visit)

Prediction 60.29%1.66fair odd
EV -1.73%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -2.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.99%60.36%60.25%62.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.571.571.6365.79%63.75%63.69%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Maria Timofeeva (Local): 39.71%; Kamilla Rakhimova (Visit): 60.29%. For Maria Timofeeva (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.52. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.56, producing a positive expected value of +1.66%.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.71%EV +1.66%E +0.647%K +1.06%G +0.018%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.29%EV -6.55%E -4.23%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-23 18:50
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.71%E -1.11%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-23 18:14
LowVig.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -2.93%E -1.82%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-23 18:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -3.11%E -1.27%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -2.93%E -1.82%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-23 18:09
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.70%E -1.96%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-23 18:15
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.70%E -1.96%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.55%E -4.23%K -11.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 18:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.49%E -2.31%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.74%E -3.00%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 18:09
FanDuel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.49%E -2.31%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-23 18:09
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.49%E -2.31%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.76%E -5.07%K -14.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-23 18:45
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.49%E -2.31%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.76%E -5.07%K -14.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-23 18:41
ReBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.68%E -2.84%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 18:09
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.68%E -2.84%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.95%E -3.81%K -10.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 18:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.48%EV -7.48%E -3.21%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.52%EV -8.36%E -5.50%K -16.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 18:09
Caesars🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.67%E -3.77%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.14%E -2.60%K -7.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 15:34
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.67%E -3.77%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.76%E -5.07%K -14.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 18:14
NordicBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.36%EV -9.07%E -3.96%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.64%EV -6.55%E -4.23%K -11.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 18:09
Betsson🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.36%EV -9.07%E -3.96%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.64%EV -6.55%E -4.23%K -11.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 18:09
GTbets🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -9.46%E -4.15%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -1.73%E -1.06%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 15:20
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -10.65%E -4.74%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -1.73%E -1.06%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 18:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.65%E -4.74%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-23 14:10
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.65%E -4.74%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-23 14:35
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.65%E -4.74%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.34%E -3.40%K -9.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-23 14:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%0.7%2026-08-23 18:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%0.7%2026-08-23 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%0.7%2026-08-23 18:55
ProphetX2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%1.4%2026-08-23 18:55
Novig2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%2.5%2026-08-23 18:39