默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Maria Timofeeva v Kamilla Rakhimova

开赛时间: 2026-08-23 21:10 UTC

最终结果: Maria Timofeeva 2–1 Kamilla Rakhimova

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

23 家博彩公司 (11 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Maria Timofeeva (主队)

预测 39.83%2.51公平赔率
EV +1.56%
优势 +0.610%
Kelly +1.00%
增长率 +0.016%

假设最高赔率为 2.55

博彩公司预测分布
37.80%39.69%39.90%42.20%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.152.342.332.5546.51%42.68%42.92%39.22%最小值均值中位数最大值

Kamilla Rakhimova (客队)

预测 60.17%1.66公平赔率
EV -1.92%
优势 -1.18%
Kelly -3.04%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.63

博彩公司预测分布
57.80%60.31%60.10%62.20%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.521.571.571.6365.79%63.82%63.69%61.35%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Maria Timofeeva (主队):39.83%;Kamilla Rakhimova (客队):60.17%。 对于“Maria Timofeeva (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.51。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.55,对应+1.56%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (23 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV +1.56%E +0.610%K +1.00%G +0.016%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-23 21:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV +0.759%E +0.300%K +0.496%G +0.004%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-23 19:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV +0.759%E +0.300%K +0.496%G +0.004%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-23 19:54
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.43%E -0.990%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-23 18:14
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.42%E -1.84%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 20:50
ReBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.21%E -2.19%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.32%E -2.72%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-23 20:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -5.21%E -2.19%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.92%E -3.12%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 18:09
FanDuel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.21%E -2.19%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-23 18:09
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.21%E -2.19%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.93%E -5.19%K -14.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-23 18:45
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.92%E -3.12%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 20:54
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.41%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.13%E -3.93%K -10.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 18:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.48%EV -7.21%E -3.09%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.52%EV -8.54%E -5.62%K -16.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 21:04
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.72%E -2.33%K -6.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 21:04
Caesars🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.32%E -2.72%K -7.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 15:34
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 21:04
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.40%E -3.65%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.93%E -5.19%K -14.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 20:59
GTbets🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -9.20%E -4.03%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -1.92%E -1.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 15:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-23 14:10
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-23 14:35
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-23 14:40
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 20:59
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -10.39%E -4.62%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -6.73%E -4.34%K -12.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 21:00
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -14.37%E -6.69%K -12.50%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV -5.53%E -3.52%K -9.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 21:04
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-08-23 21:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-08-23 21:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-08-23 21:00
Novig◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%1.4%2026-08-23 21:05
ProphetX◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20%1.5%2026-08-23 21:05