Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.78
assuming max odds 1.53
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Maria Timofeeva (Local): 35.96%; Ann Li (Visit): 64.04%. For Maria Timofeeva (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.781. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.780, with an expected value of -0.037%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV -0.037%E -0.013%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -3.30%E -2.18%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-26 18:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.94%E -2.62%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-26 18:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.94%E -2.62%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-26 18:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.94%E -2.62%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-26 20:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.50%E -4.45%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-26 10:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.50%E -4.45%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-26 10:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.14%E -4.92%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-26 10:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.14%E -4.92%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-26 10:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.14%E -4.92%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-26 10:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.14%E -4.92%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-26 10:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.14%E -4.92%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-26 10:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.14%E -4.92%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-26 10:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.14%E -4.92%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-26 10:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.14%E -4.92%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-26 10:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.14%E -4.92%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-26 10:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.14%E -4.92%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-26 10:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.14%E -4.92%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-26 10:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.14%E -4.92%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-26 10:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.14%E -4.92%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-26 10:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.14%E -4.92%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-26 18:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.18%EV -3.27%E -1.22%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.82%EV -6.50%E -4.45%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-26 20:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -3.63%E -1.36%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-26 08:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.02%E -1.32%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-26 20:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.02%E -1.32%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-26 20:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.94%E -2.62%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-26 18:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.94%E -2.62%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-26 18:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.94%E -2.62%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-26 20:23 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-26 20:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-26 17:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-26 17:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.14%E -4.92%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-26 11:28 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.06%E -6.38%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-26 18:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -5.07%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -4.58%E -3.07%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-26 20:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -5.43%E -2.06%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -3.30%E -2.18%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-26 18:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.43%E -2.06%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.94%E -2.62%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-26 07:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -5.43%E -2.06%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -8.42%E -5.89%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-26 09:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.79%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.94%E -2.62%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-26 09:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.79%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.78%E -5.40%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-26 18:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.79%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.78%E -5.40%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-26 18:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.51%E -2.50%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.94%E -2.62%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-26 17:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.51%E -2.50%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.94%E -2.62%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-26 17:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.51%E -2.50%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.94%E -2.62%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-26 17:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.51%E -2.50%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.94%E -2.62%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-26 17:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.51%E -2.50%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.94%E -2.62%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-26 07:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.51%E -2.50%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.94%E -2.62%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-26 12:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.51%E -2.50%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.94%E -2.62%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-26 13:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.51%E -2.50%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-26 18:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.51%E -2.50%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-26 18:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.51%E -2.50%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-26 17:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.51%E -2.50%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-26 20:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.51%E -2.50%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-26 18:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.51%E -2.50%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-26 18:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.51%E -2.50%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.86%E -3.99%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-26 18:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.51%E -2.50%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.14%E -4.92%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-26 20:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.51%E -2.50%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.14%E -4.92%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-26 20:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -7.23%E -2.80%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -2.66%E -1.75%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-26 20:03 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.31%E -3.26%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.94%E -2.62%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-26 20:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -8.31%E -3.26%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.86%E -3.99%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-26 18:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -8.31%E -3.26%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -8.42%E -5.89%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-26 20:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.91%EV -9.03%E -3.57%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.09%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-26 20:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.11%E -4.04%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.94%E -2.62%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-26 20:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.11%E -4.04%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.94%E -2.62%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-26 20:04 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.16% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.84% | 0.1% | 2026-08-26 20:14 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68% | 0.4% | 2026-08-26 20:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 0.6% | 2026-08-26 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 0.6% | 2026-08-26 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 0.6% | 2026-08-26 20:29 |
| Novig◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.35% | 6.9% | 2026-08-26 20:23 |