Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Maria Timofeeva v Ann Li

Início: 2026-08-26 21:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Maria Timofeeva (Local)

Previsão 35.96%2.78odd justa
EV -0.037%
Vantagem -0.013%
Kelly -0.021%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.78

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.89%35.91%35.93%37.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.502.642.652.7840.00%37.87%37.74%35.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Ann Li (Visitante)

Previsão 64.04%1.56odd justa
EV -2.02%
Vantagem -1.32%
Kelly -3.80%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.53

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
62.50%64.09%64.07%65.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.421.481.481.5370.42%67.76%67.57%65.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Maria Timofeeva (Local): 35.96%; Ann Li (Visitante): 64.04%. Para Maria Timofeeva (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.781. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.780, com valor esperado de -0.037%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV -0.037%E -0.013%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -3.30%E -2.18%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-26 18:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.94%E -2.62%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-26 18:44
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.94%E -2.62%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-26 18:49
BetAnything🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.94%E -2.62%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-26 20:24
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.50%E -4.45%K -14.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-26 10:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.50%E -4.45%K -14.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-26 10:19
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.14%E -4.92%K -15.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-26 10:19
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.14%E -4.92%K -15.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-26 10:19
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.14%E -4.92%K -15.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-26 10:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.14%E -4.92%K -15.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-26 10:20
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.14%E -4.92%K -15.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-26 10:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.14%E -4.92%K -15.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-26 10:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.14%E -4.92%K -15.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-26 10:19
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.14%E -4.92%K -15.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-26 10:19
Bally Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.14%E -4.92%K -15.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-26 10:19
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.14%E -4.92%K -15.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-26 10:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.14%E -4.92%K -15.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-26 10:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.14%E -4.92%K -15.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-26 10:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.14%E -4.92%K -15.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-26 10:19
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.91%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.14%E -4.92%K -15.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-26 18:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 35.18%EV -3.27%E -1.22%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.82%EV -6.50%E -4.45%K -14.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-26 20:39
DraftKings🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -3.63%E -1.36%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-26 08:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.02%E -1.32%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-26 20:04
LowVig.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.02%E -1.32%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-26 20:04
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.94%E -2.62%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-26 18:44
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.94%E -2.62%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-26 18:44
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.94%E -2.62%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-26 20:23
1xBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 20:29
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 17:49
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 17:49
Caesars🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.14%E -4.92%K -15.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-26 11:28
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -4.71%E -1.78%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.06%E -6.38%K -21.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-26 18:49
ReBet🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -5.07%E -1.92%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -4.58%E -3.07%K -9.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-26 20:04
Betclic (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -5.43%E -2.06%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -3.30%E -2.18%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-26 18:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.43%E -2.06%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.94%E -2.62%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-26 07:39
PMU (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -5.43%E -2.06%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -8.42%E -5.89%K -19.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-26 09:59
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.79%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.94%E -2.62%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-26 09:44
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.79%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.78%E -5.40%K -17.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-26 18:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.79%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.78%E -5.40%K -17.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-26 18:49
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.51%E -2.50%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.94%E -2.62%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 17:10
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.51%E -2.50%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.94%E -2.62%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 17:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.51%E -2.50%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.94%E -2.62%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 17:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.51%E -2.50%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.94%E -2.62%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 17:09
GTbets🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.51%E -2.50%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.94%E -2.62%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 07:49
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.51%E -2.50%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.94%E -2.62%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 12:04
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.51%E -2.50%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.94%E -2.62%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 13:05
Betsson🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.51%E -2.50%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-26 18:44
NordicBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.51%E -2.50%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-26 18:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.51%E -2.50%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-26 17:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.51%E -2.50%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-26 20:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.51%E -2.50%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-26 18:49
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.51%E -2.50%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-26 18:49
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.51%E -2.50%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.86%E -3.99%K -12.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-26 18:44
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.51%E -2.50%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.14%E -4.92%K -15.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-26 20:30
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.51%E -2.50%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.14%E -4.92%K -15.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-26 20:30
FanDuel🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -7.23%E -2.80%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -2.66%E -1.75%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-26 20:03
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.31%E -3.26%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.94%E -2.62%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-26 20:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -8.31%E -3.26%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.86%E -3.99%K -12.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-26 18:49
NetBet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -8.31%E -3.26%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -8.42%E -5.89%K -19.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-26 20:24
SportsBet🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 36.91%EV -9.03%E -3.57%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.09%EV -5.22%E -3.53%K -10.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-26 20:04
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.11%E -4.04%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.94%E -2.62%K -7.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-26 20:04
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.11%E -4.04%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.94%E -2.62%K -7.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-26 20:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎2.84I 35.21%NM 35.16%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.84%0.1%2026-08-26 20:14
Matchbook◎2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%0.4%2026-08-26 20:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%0.6%2026-08-26 20:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%0.6%2026-08-26 20:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%0.6%2026-08-26 20:29
Novig◎2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.35%6.9%2026-08-26 20:23