Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Victoria Mboko v Karolina Muchova

Kickoff: 2026-03-24 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Victoria Mboko (Local)

Prediction 50.00%2.00fair odd
EV +1.00%
Edge +0.495%
Kelly +0.980%
Growth +0.010%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.21%50.05%50.00%52.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.891.902.0255.56%52.95%52.49%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Karolina Muchova (Visit)

Prediction 50.00%2.00fair odd
EV +0.500%
Edge +0.249%
Kelly +0.495%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.52%49.95%50.00%51.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.901.912.0154.64%52.71%52.36%49.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Victoria Mboko (Local): 50.00%; Karolina Muchova (Visit): 50.00%. For Victoria Mboko (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.00. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.02, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%EV +1.00%E +0.495%K +0.980%G +0.010%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-24 18:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 18:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 18:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%EV -3.00%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.26%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-24 18:39
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 17:39
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 18:55
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 18:53
BetRivers🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 18:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 18:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 18:40
TABtouch🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 18:40
LeoVegas🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 18:40
Casumo🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 18:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 18:40
Unibet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 18:40
Grosvenor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 18:39
betPARX🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 18:40
Bally Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 18:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 18:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 18:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 18:38
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 18:54
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 18:54
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 17:35
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 07:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 18:40
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 18:40
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -7.00%E -3.76%K -8.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-24 18:40
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.50%E -4.64%K -10.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-24 18:00
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 18:49
Betway🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 18:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 18:39
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 17:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 18:40
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 18:54
Coolbet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 18:55
DraftKings🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 18:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-24 18:49
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-24 18:54
NetBet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -8.50%E -4.64%K -10.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-24 18:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-24 18:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-24 18:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-24 18:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-24 18:55
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-24 04:29
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 18:49
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-24 18:54
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-24 17:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-24 17:49
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-24 17:53
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-24 17:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-24 17:49
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.48%EV -9.00%E -4.95%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.52%EV +0.500%E +0.249%K +0.495%G +0.002%4.7%2026-03-24 18:54
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -10.00%E -5.56%K -12.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-24 18:55
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -10.00%E -5.56%K -12.50%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-24 18:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -10.00%E -5.56%K -12.50%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-24 18:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -10.00%E -5.56%K -12.50%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-24 18:54
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.41%EV -10.00%E -5.56%K -12.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -8.50%E -4.64%K -10.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-24 18:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%0.1%2026-03-24 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-03-24 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-03-24 18:55
ProphetX2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%0.6%2026-03-24 18:55
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-03-24 18:55
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%1.4%2026-03-24 18:55
Novig2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.4%2026-03-24 18:55