L’École des cotes

Victoria Mboko v Karolina Muchova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-24 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Victoria Mboko (Local)

Prévision 50.00%2.00cote équitable
EV +1.00%
Avantage +0.495%
Kelly +0.980%
Croissance +0.010%

avec la cote maximale 2.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.21%50.05%50.00%52.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.891.902.0255.56%52.95%52.49%49.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Karolina Muchova (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.00%2.00cote équitable
EV +0.500%
Avantage +0.249%
Kelly +0.495%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 2.01

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.52%49.95%50.00%51.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.901.912.0154.64%52.71%52.36%49.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%EV +1.00%E +0.495%K +0.980%G +0.010%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-24 18:55
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 18:09
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 18:09
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%EV -3.00%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.26%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-24 18:39
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 17:39
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 18:55
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 18:53
BetRivers1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 18:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 18:40
Unibet (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 18:40
TABtouch1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 18:40
LeoVegas1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 18:40
Casumo1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 18:40
Unibet (NL)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 18:40
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 18:40
Grosvenor1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 18:39
betPARX1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 18:40
Bally Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 18:40
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 18:40
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 18:40
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 18:38
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 18:54
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 18:54
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 17:35
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 07:25
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 18:40
ReBet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 18:40
Parions Sport (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -7.00%E -3.76%K -8.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-24 18:40
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.50%E -4.64%K -10.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-24 18:00
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 18:49
Betway1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 18:40
Marathon Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 18:39
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 17:54
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 18:40
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 18:54
Coolbet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.00%E -2.08%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 18:55
DraftKings1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.50%E -1.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 18:49
Betr (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.50%E -2.91%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-24 18:49
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-24 18:54
NetBet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -8.50%E -4.64%K -10.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-24 18:44
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-24 18:39
Virgin Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-24 18:39
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-24 18:55
PMU (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-24 18:55
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-24 04:29
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 18:49
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-24 18:54
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-24 17:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-24 17:49
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-24 17:53
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-24 17:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-24 17:49
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.48%EV -9.00%E -4.95%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.52%EV +0.500%E +0.249%K +0.495%G +0.002%4.7%2026-03-24 18:54
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -10.00%E -5.56%K -12.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -2.50%E -1.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-24 18:55
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -10.00%E -5.56%K -12.50%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-24 18:54
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -10.00%E -5.56%K -12.50%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-24 18:54
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -10.00%E -5.56%K -12.50%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.50%E -2.36%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-24 18:54
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 50.41%EV -10.00%E -5.56%K -12.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -8.50%E -4.64%K -10.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-24 18:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%0.1%2026-03-24 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-03-24 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-03-24 18:55
ProphetX2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%0.6%2026-03-24 18:55
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-03-24 18:55
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%1.4%2026-03-24 18:55
Novig2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.4%2026-03-24 18:55