Language:English
Varvara Lepchenko v Linda Fruhvirtova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Varvara Lepchenko (Local)
Prediction 24.96%4.01fair odd
EV +12.31%
Edge +2.74%
Kelly +3.52%
Growth +0.433%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.63%24.84%24.28%29.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.703.634.5031.25%27.06%27.59%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Linda Fruhvirtova (Visit)
Prediction 75.04%1.33fair odd
EV -0.194%
Edge -0.146%
Kelly -0.589%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.96%75.16%75.72%79.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.261.251.3385.47%79.41%80.00%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Varvara Lepchenko (Local): 24.96%; Linda Fruhvirtova (Visit): 75.04%. For Varvara Lepchenko (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.01. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.31%.
Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +12.31%E +2.74%K +3.52%G +0.433% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.95%E -8.29%K -49.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +12.31%E +2.74%K +3.52%G +0.433% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -11.45%E -9.70%K -63.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +12.31%E +2.74%K +3.52%G +0.433% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -12.20%E -10.43%K -71.77%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.167%E -0.042%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.20%E -4.96%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.167%E -0.042%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.20%E -4.96%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-17 15:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.167%E -0.042%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.45%E -6.93%K -38.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.167%E -0.042%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.45%E -6.93%K -38.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.167%E -0.042%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.45%E -6.93%K -38.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.167%E -0.042%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.45%E -6.93%K -38.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.167%E -0.042%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.45%E -6.93%K -38.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -2.66%E -0.683%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -8.45%E -6.93%K -38.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.16%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.20%E -4.96%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -8.45%E -6.93%K -38.40%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -8.90%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -8.45%E -6.93%K -38.40%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.20%E -4.96%K -24.79%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -11.40%E -3.21%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -1.70%E -1.29%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-17 15:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.73%EV -14.14%E -4.11%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.27%EV -0.945%E -0.716%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-17 15:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.73%EV -14.14%E -4.11%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.27%EV -0.945%E -0.716%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-17 15:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -15.14%E -4.45%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.20%E -2.48%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-17 15:13 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -16.39%E -4.89%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -0.194%E -0.146%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-17 14:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -16.39%E -4.89%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -4.70%E -3.70%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -17.64%E -5.34%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -3.95%E -3.08%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-17 14:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.32%EV -17.89%E -5.44%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.68%EV -2.45%E -1.88%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-17 15:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -18.89%E -5.81%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -0.194%E -0.146%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-17 15:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -18.89%E -5.81%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -0.194%E -0.146%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-17 15:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -18.89%E -5.81%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -1.70%E -1.29%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-17 15:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -18.89%E -5.81%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.06%EV -5.45%E -4.32%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-17 14:56 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -20.13%E -6.29%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -2.45%E -1.88%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-17 15:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.74% | 2.1% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35% | 3.1% | 2026-03-17 15:15 |
| Novig◎ | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.50% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.50% | 4.1% | 2026-03-17 15:14 |