La scuola delle quote

Varvara Lepchenko v Linda Fruhvirtova

Inizio: 2026-03-17 16:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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28 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Varvara Lepchenko (Casa)

Previsione 24.96%4.01quota equa
EV +12.31%
Vantaggio +2.74%
Kelly +3.52%
Crescita +0.433%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.63%24.84%24.28%29.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.703.634.5031.25%27.06%27.59%22.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Linda Fruhvirtova (Trasferta)

Previsione 75.04%1.33quota equa
EV -0.194%
Vantaggio -0.146%
Kelly -0.589%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.33

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
70.96%75.16%75.72%79.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.171.261.251.3385.47%79.41%80.00%75.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (28 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +12.31%E +2.74%K +3.52%G +0.433%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.95%E -8.29%K -49.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 15:15
FanDuel4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +12.31%E +2.74%K +3.52%G +0.433%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -11.45%E -9.70%K -63.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 15:15
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +12.31%E +2.74%K +3.52%G +0.433%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -12.20%E -10.43%K -71.77%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 15:15
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.167%E -0.042%K -0.056%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.20%E -4.96%K -24.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 15:15
Bovada4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.167%E -0.042%K -0.056%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.20%E -4.96%K -24.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 15:14
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.167%E -0.042%K -0.056%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.45%E -6.93%K -38.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 15:15
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.167%E -0.042%K -0.056%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.45%E -6.93%K -38.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 15:15
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.167%E -0.042%K -0.056%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.45%E -6.93%K -38.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 15:15
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.167%E -0.042%K -0.056%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.45%E -6.93%K -38.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 15:15
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.167%E -0.042%K -0.056%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.45%E -6.93%K -38.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 15:15
Coral3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -2.66%E -0.683%K -0.918%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -8.45%E -6.93%K -38.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 15:15
Caesars3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.16%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.20%E -4.96%K -24.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 15:15
Fliff3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.65%E -2.07%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -8.45%E -6.93%K -38.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 15:15
NordicBet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -8.90%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -8.45%E -6.93%K -38.40%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.15%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.20%E -4.96%K -24.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 15:15
Pinnacle3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -11.40%E -3.21%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -1.70%E -1.29%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-17 15:05
BetOnline.ag3.44I 29.07%NM 27.73%EV -14.14%E -4.11%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.27%EV -0.945%E -0.716%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-17 15:05
LowVig.ag3.44I 29.07%NM 27.73%EV -14.14%E -4.11%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.27%EV -0.945%E -0.716%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-17 15:05
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -15.14%E -4.45%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.20%E -2.48%K -11.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 15:13
ReBet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -16.39%E -4.89%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -0.194%E -0.146%K -0.589%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 14:59
Betsson3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -16.39%E -4.89%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -4.70%E -3.70%K -17.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-17 15:15
Everygame3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -17.64%E -5.34%K -7.67%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -3.95%E -3.08%K -14.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 14:59
GTbets3.29I 30.40%NM 28.32%EV -17.89%E -5.44%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.68%EV -2.45%E -1.88%K -8.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-17 15:05
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -18.89%E -5.81%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -0.194%E -0.146%K -0.589%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 15:05
William Hill3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -18.89%E -5.81%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -0.194%E -0.146%K -0.589%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 15:05
Unibet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -18.89%E -5.81%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -1.70%E -1.29%K -5.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 15:05
NetBet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -18.89%E -5.81%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.06%EV -5.45%E -4.32%K -20.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 14:56
TAB3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -20.13%E -6.29%K -9.15%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -2.45%E -1.88%K -8.15%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-17 15:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-03-17 15:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-03-17 15:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.74%2.1%2026-03-17 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%3.1%2026-03-17 15:15
Novig4.27I 23.42%NM 22.50%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.50%4.1%2026-03-17 15:14