Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Taylor Townsend v Jasmine Paolini

Início: 2026-03-20 20:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Taylor Townsend (Local)

Previsão 44.45%2.25odd justa
EV -1.32%
Vantagem -0.592%
Kelly -1.08%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.22

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.86%44.47%44.39%46.38%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.142.152.2250.00%46.76%46.51%45.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Jasmine Paolini (Visitante)

Previsão 55.55%1.80odd justa
EV -2.24%
Vantagem -1.27%
Kelly -2.94%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.76

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.62%55.53%55.61%57.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.651.701.701.7660.61%58.80%58.82%56.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Taylor Townsend (Local): 44.45%; Jasmine Paolini (Visitante): 55.55%. Para Taylor Townsend (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.25. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.22, com valor esperado de -1.32%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -1.32%E -0.592%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -6.68%E -3.98%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 20:25
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -2.20%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.35%E -1.92%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-20 20:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -2.20%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -4.46%E -2.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-20 20:25
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.20%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.12%E -3.62%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 20:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.20%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 20:25
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.20%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 20:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.20%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 20:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.20%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 20:25
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.20%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 20:25
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.20%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 20:25
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.20%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 20:25
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.20%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 20:25
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.20%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 20:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.20%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 20:25
Bally Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.20%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 20:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.20%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 20:25
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.20%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 20:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.20%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 20:25
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.20%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 20:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.09%E -1.42%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.68%E -3.98%K -9.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 20:24
Pinnacle🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -3.54%E -1.63%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -2.24%E -1.27%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-20 20:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.98%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.35%E -1.92%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-20 20:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.98%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.35%E -1.92%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-20 20:24
NordicBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.98%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 20:25
Betsson🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.98%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 20:25
ReBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.98%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 20:24
LiveScore Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -3.98%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 20:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -3.98%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 20:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.43%E -2.06%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.01%E -2.93%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 20:25
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.43%E -2.06%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 20:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.43%E -2.06%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 20:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.43%E -2.06%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 20:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.43%E -2.06%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.12%E -3.62%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 20:25
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.43%E -2.06%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.12%E -3.62%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 20:24
FanDuel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.87%E -2.28%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.90%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 20:25
GTbets🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.87%E -2.28%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.01%E -2.93%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 20:25
DraftKings🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -5.32%E -2.50%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.46%E -2.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 20:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -5.76%E -2.72%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 20:25
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.65%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.35%E -1.92%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 20:25
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.65%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.90%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 20:25
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.65%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.90%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 20:25
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.65%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.90%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 20:25
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.65%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.90%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 20:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.65%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.90%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 20:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.65%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.90%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 20:25
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.65%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.46%E -2.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 20:25
PlayUp🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.65%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.46%E -2.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 20:25
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.65%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.01%E -2.93%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 20:25
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.65%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 20:25
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.65%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 20:25
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.65%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 20:25
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.87%E -4.33%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.35%E -1.92%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 20:25
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.87%E -4.33%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.35%E -1.92%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 20:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.87%E -4.33%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -3.90%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 20:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -11.09%E -5.55%K -11.09%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.90%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-20 20:25
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -11.09%E -5.55%K -11.09%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.90%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-20 20:25
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -11.09%E -5.55%K -11.09%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.90%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-20 20:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -11.09%E -5.55%K -11.09%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.90%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-20 20:25
Everygame🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -11.09%E -5.55%K -11.09%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 20:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%0.4%2026-03-20 20:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%0.7%2026-03-20 20:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%0.7%2026-03-20 20:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-03-20 20:25
ProphetX2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-03-20 20:25
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.2%2026-03-20 20:25
Novig2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%5.7%2026-03-20 20:25