La escuela de los momios

Taylor Townsend v Jasmine Paolini

Inicio: 2026-03-20 20:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Taylor Townsend (Local)

Predicción 44.45%2.25momio equitativo
EV -1.32%
Ventaja -0.592%
Kelly -1.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.86%44.47%44.39%46.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.142.152.2250.00%46.76%46.51%45.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Jasmine Paolini (Visitante)

Predicción 55.55%1.80momio equitativo
EV -2.24%
Ventaja -1.27%
Kelly -2.94%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.76

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.62%55.53%55.61%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.701.701.7660.61%58.80%58.82%56.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -1.32%E -0.592%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -6.68%E -3.98%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 20:25
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -2.20%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.35%E -1.92%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-20 20:25
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -2.20%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -4.46%E -2.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-20 20:25
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.20%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.12%E -3.62%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 20:25
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.20%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 20:25
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.20%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 20:25
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.20%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 20:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.20%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 20:25
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.20%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 20:25
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.20%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 20:25
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.20%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 20:25
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.20%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 20:25
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.20%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 20:25
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.20%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 20:25
Bally Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.20%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 20:25
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.20%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 20:25
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.20%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 20:25
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.20%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 20:25
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.20%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 20:25
Marathon Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.09%E -1.42%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.68%E -3.98%K -9.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 20:24
Pinnacle2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -3.54%E -1.63%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -2.24%E -1.27%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-20 20:25
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.98%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.35%E -1.92%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-20 20:25
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.98%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.35%E -1.92%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-20 20:24
NordicBet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.98%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 20:25
Betsson2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.98%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 20:25
ReBet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.98%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 20:24
LiveScore Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -3.98%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 20:25
Virgin Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -3.98%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 20:25
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.43%E -2.06%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.01%E -2.93%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 20:25
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.43%E -2.06%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 20:25
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.43%E -2.06%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 20:25
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.43%E -2.06%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 20:25
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.43%E -2.06%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.12%E -3.62%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 20:25
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.43%E -2.06%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.12%E -3.62%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 20:24
FanDuel2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.87%E -2.28%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.90%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 20:25
GTbets2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.87%E -2.28%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.01%E -2.93%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 20:25
DraftKings2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -5.32%E -2.50%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.46%E -2.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 20:25
NetBet (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -5.76%E -2.72%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 20:25
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.65%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.35%E -1.92%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 20:25
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.65%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.90%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 20:25
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.65%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.90%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 20:25
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.65%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.90%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 20:25
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.65%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.90%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 20:25
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.65%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.90%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 20:25
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.65%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.90%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 20:25
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.65%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.46%E -2.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 20:25
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.65%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.46%E -2.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 20:25
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.65%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.01%E -2.93%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 20:25
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.65%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 20:25
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.65%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 20:25
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.65%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 20:25
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.87%E -4.33%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.35%E -1.92%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 20:25
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.87%E -4.33%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.35%E -1.92%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 20:25
PMU (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.87%E -4.33%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -3.90%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 20:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -11.09%E -5.55%K -11.09%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.90%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-20 20:25
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -11.09%E -5.55%K -11.09%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.90%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-20 20:25
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -11.09%E -5.55%K -11.09%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.90%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-20 20:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -11.09%E -5.55%K -11.09%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.90%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-20 20:25
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -11.09%E -5.55%K -11.09%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 20:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%0.4%2026-03-20 20:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%0.7%2026-03-20 20:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%0.7%2026-03-20 20:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-03-20 20:25
ProphetX2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-03-20 20:25
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.2%2026-03-20 20:25
Novig2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%5.7%2026-03-20 20:25