L’École des cotes

Taylor Townsend v Jasmine Paolini

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-20 20:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Taylor Townsend (Local)

Prévision 44.45%2.25cote équitable
EV -1.32%
Avantage -0.592%
Kelly -1.08%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.86%44.47%44.39%46.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.142.152.2250.00%46.76%46.51%45.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Jasmine Paolini (Visiteur)

Prévision 55.55%1.80cote équitable
EV -2.24%
Avantage -1.27%
Kelly -2.94%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.62%55.53%55.61%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.701.701.7660.61%58.80%58.82%56.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -1.32%E -0.592%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -6.68%E -3.98%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 20:25
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -2.20%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.35%E -1.92%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-20 20:25
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -2.20%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -4.46%E -2.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-20 20:25
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.20%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.12%E -3.62%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 20:25
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.20%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 20:25
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.20%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 20:25
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.20%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 20:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.20%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 20:25
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.20%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 20:25
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.20%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 20:25
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.20%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 20:25
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.20%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 20:25
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.20%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 20:25
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.20%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 20:25
Bally Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.20%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 20:25
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.20%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 20:25
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.20%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 20:25
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.20%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 20:25
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.20%E -1.00%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 20:25
Marathon Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.09%E -1.42%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.68%E -3.98%K -9.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 20:24
Pinnacle2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -3.54%E -1.63%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -2.24%E -1.27%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-20 20:25
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.98%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.35%E -1.92%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-20 20:25
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.98%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.35%E -1.92%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-20 20:24
NordicBet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.98%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 20:25
Betsson2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.98%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 20:25
ReBet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.98%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 20:24
LiveScore Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -3.98%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 20:25
Virgin Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -3.98%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -8.35%E -5.06%K -12.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 20:25
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.43%E -2.06%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.01%E -2.93%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 20:25
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.43%E -2.06%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 20:25
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.43%E -2.06%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 20:25
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.43%E -2.06%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 20:25
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.43%E -2.06%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.12%E -3.62%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 20:25
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.43%E -2.06%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.12%E -3.62%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 20:24
FanDuel2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.87%E -2.28%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.90%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 20:25
GTbets2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.87%E -2.28%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.01%E -2.93%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 20:25
DraftKings2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -5.32%E -2.50%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.46%E -2.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 20:25
NetBet (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -5.76%E -2.72%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 20:25
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.65%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.35%E -1.92%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 20:25
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.65%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.90%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 20:25
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.65%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.90%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 20:25
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.65%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.90%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 20:25
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.65%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.90%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 20:25
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.65%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.90%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 20:25
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.65%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.90%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 20:25
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.65%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.46%E -2.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 20:25
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.65%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.46%E -2.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 20:25
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.65%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.01%E -2.93%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 20:25
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.65%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 20:25
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.65%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 20:25
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.65%E -3.17%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.24%E -4.33%K -10.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 20:25
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.87%E -4.33%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.35%E -1.92%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 20:25
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.87%E -4.33%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.35%E -1.92%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 20:25
PMU (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.87%E -4.33%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -3.90%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 20:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -11.09%E -5.55%K -11.09%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.90%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-20 20:25
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -11.09%E -5.55%K -11.09%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.90%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-20 20:25
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -11.09%E -5.55%K -11.09%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.90%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-20 20:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -11.09%E -5.55%K -11.09%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.90%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-20 20:25
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -11.09%E -5.55%K -11.09%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 20:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%0.4%2026-03-20 20:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%0.7%2026-03-20 20:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%0.7%2026-03-20 20:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-03-20 20:25
ProphetX2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-03-20 20:25
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.2%2026-03-20 20:25
Novig2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%5.7%2026-03-20 20:25