A Escola das Odds

Sorana Cirstea v Elise Mertens

Início: 2026-03-21 20:59 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Sorana Cirstea (Local)

Previsão 57.45%1.74odd justa
EV +20.64%
Vantagem +9.83%
Kelly +18.76%
Crescimento +3.87%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.17%56.02%57.69%64.59%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.481.741.662.1067.57%57.63%60.24%47.62%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Elise Mertens (Visitante)

Previsão 42.55%2.35odd justa
EV +14.89%
Vantagem +5.52%
Kelly +8.76%
Crescimento +1.30%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.41%43.98%42.31%54.83%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.732.102.152.7057.80%47.58%46.51%37.04%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +20.64%E +9.83%K +18.76%G +3.87%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -26.38%E -15.25%K -36.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 20:36
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV +20.06%E +9.60%K +18.41%G +3.69%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -22.13%E -12.09%K -26.66%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-21 20:40
LowVig.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +17.77%E +8.67%K +16.92%G +3.01%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -23.40%E -13.00%K -29.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 20:38
BetOnline.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +17.77%E +8.67%K +16.92%G +3.01%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -23.40%E -13.00%K -29.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 20:38
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +17.77%E +8.67%K +16.92%G +3.01%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -25.53%E -14.59%K -34.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 20:39
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +16.04%E +7.94%K +15.73%G +2.52%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -22.55%E -12.39%K -27.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 20:38
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV +16.04%E +7.94%K +15.73%G +2.52%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -23.40%E -13.00%K -29.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 20:36
SportsBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV +16.04%E +7.94%K +15.73%G +2.52%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -24.68%E -13.94%K -32.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 20:39
Marathon Bet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV +15.47%E +7.70%K +15.32%G +2.37%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -23.40%E -13.00%K -29.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:35
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV +14.89%E +7.45%K +14.89%G +2.22%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -24.26%E -13.63%K -31.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 20:32
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV +14.89%E +7.45%K +14.89%G +2.22%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -24.68%E -13.94%K -32.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 20:36
NetBet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.63%EV +13.75%E +6.94%K +14.03%G +1.93%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%EV -26.38%E -15.25%K -36.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 20:38
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +12.02%E +6.17%K +12.65%G +1.52%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -23.40%E -13.00%K -29.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 20:40
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +12.02%E +6.17%K +12.65%G +1.52%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -23.40%E -13.00%K -29.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 20:39
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV +12.02%E +6.17%K +12.65%G +1.52%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -25.53%E -14.59%K -34.04%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 20:33
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV +9.72%E +5.09%K +10.69%G +1.04%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -22.55%E -12.39%K -27.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 20:37
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV +9.72%E +5.09%K +10.69%G +1.04%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -22.55%E -12.39%K -27.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 20:37
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +3.40%E +1.89%K +4.26%G +0.145%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -14.89%E -7.45%K -14.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 20:48
TABtouch1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV +1.68%E +0.950%K +2.18%G +0.037%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -14.89%E -7.45%K -14.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 20:50
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.34%E -1.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.64%E -5.07%K -9.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 20:42
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -3.49%E -2.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -7.66%E -3.53%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 20:49
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -3.49%E -2.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -7.66%E -3.53%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 20:49
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -3.49%E -2.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -7.66%E -3.53%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 20:49
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -3.49%E -2.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -7.66%E -3.53%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 20:49
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -3.49%E -2.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -7.66%E -3.53%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 20:49
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -3.49%E -2.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -7.66%E -3.53%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 20:49
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -8.94%E -4.18%K -7.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 20:49
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.64%E -5.07%K -9.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 20:47
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -4.64%E -2.79%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -9.79%E -4.62%K -8.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 20:49
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -4.64%E -2.79%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -9.79%E -4.62%K -8.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 20:49
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -4.64%E -2.79%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -9.79%E -4.62%K -8.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 20:49
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -4.64%E -2.79%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -9.79%E -4.62%K -8.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 20:49
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.21%E -3.16%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 20:50
DraftKings1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -5.79%E -3.53%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -5.11%E -2.29%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 20:49
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -5.79%E -3.53%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -10.64%E -5.07%K -9.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 20:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.06%EV -6.36%E -3.90%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.94%EV -11.49%E -5.52%K -10.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 20:49
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.94%E -4.28%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.13%E -0.925%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 20:49
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.94%E -4.28%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 20:47
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.94%E -4.28%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.38%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 20:49
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.51%E -4.66%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 20:49
PointsBet (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.08%E -5.05%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 20:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.08%E -5.05%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 20:49
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.08%E -5.05%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.38%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 20:49
Betsson1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -9.81%E -6.25%K -17.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -0.001%E -0.000%K -0.001%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 20:49
NordicBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -9.81%E -6.25%K -17.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -0.001%E -0.000%K -0.001%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 20:49
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -9.81%E -6.25%K -17.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -2.13%E -0.925%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 20:49
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -9.81%E -6.25%K -17.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -2.13%E -0.925%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 20:47
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -9.81%E -6.25%K -17.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -2.13%E -0.925%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 20:47
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV -9.81%E -6.25%K -17.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -8.51%E -3.96%K -7.40%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 20:49
Coolbet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -10.38%E -6.66%K -18.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV +4.25%E +1.74%K +2.93%G +0.125%4.9%2026-03-21 20:49
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -10.38%E -6.66%K -18.54%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +3.40%E +1.40%K +2.38%G +0.081%5.3%2026-03-21 20:49
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -10.38%E -6.66%K -18.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 20:49
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -10.38%E -6.66%K -18.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -8.51%E -3.96%K -7.40%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-21 20:49
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -11.53%E -7.49%K -21.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +8.51%E +3.34%K +5.49%G +0.467%4.2%2026-03-21 20:46
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -13.83%E -9.22%K -27.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +6.38%E +2.55%K +4.25%G +0.272%6.7%2026-03-21 20:49
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -13.83%E -9.22%K -27.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV +4.25%E +1.74%K +2.93%G +0.125%7.5%2026-03-21 20:49
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -14.98%E -10.12%K -31.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV +14.89%E +5.52%K +8.76%G +1.30%4.6%2026-03-21 20:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-03-21 20:50
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%2.3%2026-03-21 20:50
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 59.75%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.25%2.7%2026-03-21 20:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%3.0%2026-03-21 20:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%4.3%2026-03-21 20:50
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%5.6%2026-03-21 20:50
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 59.10%2.24I 44.64%NM 40.90%9.2%2026-03-21 20:49