La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Sorana Cirstea v Elise Mertens
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sorana Cirstea (Local)
Predicción 57.45%1.74momio equitativo
EV +20.64%
Ventaja +9.83%
Kelly +18.76%
Crecimiento +3.87%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.17%56.02%57.69%64.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.481.741.662.1067.57%57.63%60.24%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Elise Mertens (Visitante)
Predicción 42.55%2.35momio equitativo
EV +14.89%
Ventaja +5.52%
Kelly +8.76%
Crecimiento +1.30%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.41%43.98%42.31%54.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.732.102.152.7057.80%47.58%46.51%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +20.64%E +9.83%K +18.76%G +3.87% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -26.38%E -15.25%K -36.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 20:36 |
| Pinnacle | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV +20.06%E +9.60%K +18.41%G +3.69% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -22.13%E -12.09%K -26.66%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-21 20:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +17.77%E +8.67%K +16.92%G +3.01% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -23.40%E -13.00%K -29.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 20:38 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +17.77%E +8.67%K +16.92%G +3.01% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -23.40%E -13.00%K -29.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 20:38 |
| PlayUp | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +17.77%E +8.67%K +16.92%G +3.01% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -25.53%E -14.59%K -34.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 20:39 |
| 1xBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +16.04%E +7.94%K +15.73%G +2.52% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -22.55%E -12.39%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-21 20:38 |
| Bet Right | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV +16.04%E +7.94%K +15.73%G +2.52% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -23.40%E -13.00%K -29.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 20:36 |
| SportsBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV +16.04%E +7.94%K +15.73%G +2.52% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -24.68%E -13.94%K -32.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 20:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV +15.47%E +7.70%K +15.32%G +2.37% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -23.40%E -13.00%K -29.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV +14.89%E +7.45%K +14.89%G +2.22% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -24.26%E -13.63%K -31.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 20:32 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV +14.89%E +7.45%K +14.89%G +2.22% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -24.68%E -13.94%K -32.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 20:36 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.63%EV +13.75%E +6.94%K +14.03%G +1.93% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%EV -26.38%E -15.25%K -36.14%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 20:38 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +12.02%E +6.17%K +12.65%G +1.52% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -23.40%E -13.00%K -29.26%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 20:40 |
| BetUS | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +12.02%E +6.17%K +12.65%G +1.52% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -23.40%E -13.00%K -29.26%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 20:39 |
| Everygame | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV +12.02%E +6.17%K +12.65%G +1.52% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -25.53%E -14.59%K -34.04%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-21 20:33 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV +9.72%E +5.09%K +10.69%G +1.04% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -22.55%E -12.39%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 20:37 |
| Neds | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV +9.72%E +5.09%K +10.69%G +1.04% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -22.55%E -12.39%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 20:37 |
| TAB | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +3.40%E +1.89%K +4.26%G +0.145% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -14.89%E -7.45%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-21 20:48 |
| TABtouch | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV +1.68%E +0.950%K +2.18%G +0.037% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -14.89%E -7.45%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 20:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.34%E -1.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.64%E -5.07%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 20:42 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -3.49%E -2.08%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -7.66%E -3.53%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-21 20:49 |
| Casumo | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -3.49%E -2.08%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -7.66%E -3.53%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-21 20:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -3.49%E -2.08%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -7.66%E -3.53%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-21 20:49 |
| betPARX | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -3.49%E -2.08%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -7.66%E -3.53%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-21 20:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -3.49%E -2.08%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -7.66%E -3.53%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-21 20:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -3.49%E -2.08%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -7.66%E -3.53%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-21 20:49 |
| BetRivers | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -8.94%E -4.18%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 20:49 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.64%E -5.07%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 20:47 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -4.64%E -2.79%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -9.79%E -4.62%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 20:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -4.64%E -2.79%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -9.79%E -4.62%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 20:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -4.64%E -2.79%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -9.79%E -4.62%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 20:49 |
| Bally Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -4.64%E -2.79%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -9.79%E -4.62%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 20:49 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.21%E -3.16%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 20:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -5.79%E -3.53%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -5.11%E -2.29%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 20:49 |
| LeoVegas | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -5.79%E -3.53%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -10.64%E -5.07%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 20:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.06%EV -6.36%E -3.90%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.94%EV -11.49%E -5.52%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 20:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.94%E -4.28%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.13%E -0.925%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 20:49 |
| Caesars | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.94%E -4.28%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 20:47 |
| theScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.94%E -4.28%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.38%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 20:49 |
| BetMGM | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.51%E -4.66%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 20:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.08%E -5.05%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 20:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.08%E -5.05%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 20:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.08%E -5.05%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.38%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 20:49 |
| Betsson | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -9.81%E -6.25%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -0.001%E -0.000%K -0.001%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 20:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -9.81%E -6.25%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -0.001%E -0.000%K -0.001%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 20:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -9.81%E -6.25%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -2.13%E -0.925%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 20:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -9.81%E -6.25%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -2.13%E -0.925%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 20:47 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -9.81%E -6.25%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -2.13%E -0.925%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 20:47 |
| Fliff | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV -9.81%E -6.25%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -8.51%E -3.96%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 20:49 |
| Coolbet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -10.38%E -6.66%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV +4.25%E +1.74%K +2.93%G +0.125% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 20:49 |
| Unibet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -10.38%E -6.66%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +3.40%E +1.40%K +2.38%G +0.081% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:49 |
| Fanatics | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -10.38%E -6.66%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 20:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -10.38%E -6.66%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -8.51%E -3.96%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-21 20:49 |
| Bovada | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -11.53%E -7.49%K -21.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +8.51%E +3.34%K +5.49%G +0.467% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 20:46 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -13.83%E -9.22%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +6.38%E +2.55%K +4.25%G +0.272% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 20:49 |
| Coral | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -13.83%E -9.22%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV +4.25%E +1.74%K +2.93%G +0.125% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 20:49 |
| FanDuel | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -14.98%E -10.12%K -31.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV +14.89%E +5.52%K +8.76%G +1.30% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 20:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-03-21 20:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86% | 2.3% | 2026-03-21 20:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.75% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.25% | 2.7% | 2026-03-21 20:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15% | 3.0% | 2026-03-21 20:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 20:50 |
| ProphetX | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54% | 5.6% | 2026-03-21 20:50 |
| Novig | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.10% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 40.90% | 9.2% | 2026-03-21 20:49 |