مدرسة الاحتمالات

Sorana Cirstea v Elise Mertens

البداية: 2026-03-21 20:59 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Sorana Cirstea (المضيف)

التنبؤ 57.45%1.74السعر العادل
EV +20.64%
الأفضلية +9.83%
Kelly +18.76%
النمو +3.87%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
45.17%56.02%57.69%64.59%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.481.741.662.1067.57%57.63%60.24%47.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Elise Mertens (الضيف)

التنبؤ 42.55%2.35السعر العادل
EV +14.89%
الأفضلية +5.52%
Kelly +8.76%
النمو +1.30%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
35.41%43.98%42.31%54.83%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.732.102.152.7057.80%47.58%46.51%37.04%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +20.64%E +9.83%K +18.76%G +3.87%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -26.38%E -15.25%K -36.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 20:36
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV +20.06%E +9.60%K +18.41%G +3.69%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -22.13%E -12.09%K -26.66%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-21 20:40
LowVig.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +17.77%E +8.67%K +16.92%G +3.01%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -23.40%E -13.00%K -29.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 20:38
BetOnline.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +17.77%E +8.67%K +16.92%G +3.01%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -23.40%E -13.00%K -29.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 20:38
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +17.77%E +8.67%K +16.92%G +3.01%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -25.53%E -14.59%K -34.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 20:39
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +16.04%E +7.94%K +15.73%G +2.52%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -22.55%E -12.39%K -27.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 20:38
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV +16.04%E +7.94%K +15.73%G +2.52%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -23.40%E -13.00%K -29.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 20:36
SportsBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV +16.04%E +7.94%K +15.73%G +2.52%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -24.68%E -13.94%K -32.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 20:39
Marathon Bet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV +15.47%E +7.70%K +15.32%G +2.37%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -23.40%E -13.00%K -29.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:35
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV +14.89%E +7.45%K +14.89%G +2.22%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -24.26%E -13.63%K -31.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 20:32
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV +14.89%E +7.45%K +14.89%G +2.22%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -24.68%E -13.94%K -32.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 20:36
NetBet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.63%EV +13.75%E +6.94%K +14.03%G +1.93%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%EV -26.38%E -15.25%K -36.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 20:38
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +12.02%E +6.17%K +12.65%G +1.52%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -23.40%E -13.00%K -29.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 20:40
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +12.02%E +6.17%K +12.65%G +1.52%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -23.40%E -13.00%K -29.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 20:39
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV +12.02%E +6.17%K +12.65%G +1.52%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -25.53%E -14.59%K -34.04%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 20:33
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV +9.72%E +5.09%K +10.69%G +1.04%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -22.55%E -12.39%K -27.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 20:37
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV +9.72%E +5.09%K +10.69%G +1.04%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -22.55%E -12.39%K -27.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 20:37
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +3.40%E +1.89%K +4.26%G +0.145%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -14.89%E -7.45%K -14.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 20:48
TABtouch1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV +1.68%E +0.950%K +2.18%G +0.037%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -14.89%E -7.45%K -14.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 20:50
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.34%E -1.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.64%E -5.07%K -9.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 20:42
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -3.49%E -2.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -7.66%E -3.53%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 20:49
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -3.49%E -2.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -7.66%E -3.53%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 20:49
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -3.49%E -2.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -7.66%E -3.53%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 20:49
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -3.49%E -2.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -7.66%E -3.53%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 20:49
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -3.49%E -2.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -7.66%E -3.53%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 20:49
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -3.49%E -2.08%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -7.66%E -3.53%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 20:49
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 56.17%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.83%EV -8.94%E -4.18%K -7.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 20:49
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.06%E -2.43%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.64%E -5.07%K -9.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 20:47
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -4.64%E -2.79%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -9.79%E -4.62%K -8.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 20:49
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -4.64%E -2.79%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -9.79%E -4.62%K -8.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 20:49
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -4.64%E -2.79%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -9.79%E -4.62%K -8.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 20:49
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -4.64%E -2.79%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -9.79%E -4.62%K -8.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 20:49
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.21%E -3.16%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 20:50
DraftKings1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -5.79%E -3.53%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -5.11%E -2.29%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 20:49
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -5.79%E -3.53%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -10.64%E -5.07%K -9.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 20:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.06%EV -6.36%E -3.90%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.94%EV -11.49%E -5.52%K -10.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 20:49
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.94%E -4.28%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.13%E -0.925%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 20:49
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.94%E -4.28%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 20:47
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.94%E -4.28%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.38%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 20:49
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.51%E -4.66%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 20:49
PointsBet (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.08%E -5.05%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 20:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.08%E -5.05%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 20:49
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.08%E -5.05%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.38%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 20:49
Betsson1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -9.81%E -6.25%K -17.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -0.001%E -0.000%K -0.001%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 20:49
NordicBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -9.81%E -6.25%K -17.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -0.001%E -0.000%K -0.001%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 20:49
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -9.81%E -6.25%K -17.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -2.13%E -0.925%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 20:49
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -9.81%E -6.25%K -17.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -2.13%E -0.925%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 20:47
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -9.81%E -6.25%K -17.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -2.13%E -0.925%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 20:47
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV -9.81%E -6.25%K -17.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -8.51%E -3.96%K -7.40%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 20:49
Coolbet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -10.38%E -6.66%K -18.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV +4.25%E +1.74%K +2.93%G +0.125%4.9%2026-03-21 20:49
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -10.38%E -6.66%K -18.54%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV +3.40%E +1.40%K +2.38%G +0.081%5.3%2026-03-21 20:49
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -10.38%E -6.66%K -18.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 20:49
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -10.38%E -6.66%K -18.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -8.51%E -3.96%K -7.40%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-21 20:49
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -11.53%E -7.49%K -21.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +8.51%E +3.34%K +5.49%G +0.467%4.2%2026-03-21 20:46
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -13.83%E -9.22%K -27.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +6.38%E +2.55%K +4.25%G +0.272%6.7%2026-03-21 20:49
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -13.83%E -9.22%K -27.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV +4.25%E +1.74%K +2.93%G +0.125%7.5%2026-03-21 20:49
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -14.98%E -10.12%K -31.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV +14.89%E +5.52%K +8.76%G +1.30%4.6%2026-03-21 20:49
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-03-21 20:50
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%2.3%2026-03-21 20:50
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 59.75%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.25%2.7%2026-03-21 20:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%3.0%2026-03-21 20:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%4.3%2026-03-21 20:50
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%5.6%2026-03-21 20:50
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 59.10%2.24I 44.64%NM 40.90%9.2%2026-03-21 20:49