Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sara Bejlek v Talia Gibson

Kickoff: 2026-03-19 14:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sara Bejlek (Local)

Prediction 45.60%2.19fair odd
EV +0.786%
Edge +0.356%
Kelly +0.650%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 2.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%45.46%45.59%48.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.072.082.2150.76%48.29%48.08%45.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Talia Gibson (Visit)

Prediction 54.40%1.84fair odd
EV -0.457%
Edge -0.249%
Kelly -0.550%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.84%54.54%54.41%56.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.741.751.8360.61%57.36%57.14%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sara Bejlek (Local): 45.60%; Talia Gibson (Visit): 54.40%. For Sara Bejlek (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.19. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.21, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.786%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.91%EV +0.786%E +0.356%K +0.650%G +0.005%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.09%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-19 14:00
Pinnacle🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV +0.330%E +0.150%K +0.275%G +0.001%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -5.35%E -3.08%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-19 13:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.330%E +0.150%K +0.275%G +0.001%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -9.16%E -5.48%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 14:04
LowVig.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -1.49%E -0.692%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -5.35%E -3.08%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-19 14:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -1.49%E -0.692%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -5.35%E -3.08%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-19 14:00
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -1.95%E -0.907%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.72%E -2.10%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-19 14:04
DraftKings🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -3.32%E -1.57%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -7.53%E -4.43%K -10.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 14:04
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -3.32%E -1.57%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -7.53%E -4.43%K -10.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 14:04
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.72%E -2.10%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 13:58
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.26%E -2.42%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 14:00
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 14:00
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 14:00
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 14:00
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 14:00
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 14:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 14:00
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 14:00
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 14:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 14:00
Bally Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 14:00
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.35%E -3.08%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 14:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.35%E -3.08%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 13:58
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 14:00
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.98%E -4.08%K -9.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 14:00
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.53%E -4.43%K -10.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 14:00
Everygame🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -10.25%E -6.21%K -15.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-19 13:57
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.14%E -2.47%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 14:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.14%E -2.47%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.35%E -3.08%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 14:00
ReBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.60%E -2.70%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -3.72%E -2.10%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 13:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.60%E -2.70%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.26%E -2.42%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 13:59
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.51%E -3.18%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.09%E -1.16%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 14:00
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.51%E -3.18%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.72%E -2.10%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 14:00
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.51%E -3.18%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.72%E -2.10%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 14:00
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.51%E -3.18%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 14:00
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.51%E -3.18%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 13:59
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.51%E -3.18%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.35%E -3.08%K -7.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 13:59
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.51%E -3.18%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.35%E -3.08%K -7.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 13:59
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.51%E -3.18%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.35%E -3.08%K -7.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 14:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.51%E -3.18%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.44%E -3.74%K -8.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 14:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.51%E -3.18%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.44%E -3.74%K -8.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 14:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.51%E -3.18%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.44%E -3.74%K -8.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 14:00
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.51%E -3.18%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.53%E -4.43%K -10.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 14:02
Unibet (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -7.88%E -3.90%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -3.72%E -2.10%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 14:05
NetBet (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -7.88%E -3.90%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -6.44%E -3.74%K -8.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 14:00
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.79%E -4.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.09%E -1.16%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 14:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.79%E -4.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.09%E -1.16%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 13:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.79%E -4.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.09%E -1.16%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 13:59
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.79%E -4.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 13:59
PMU (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.79%E -4.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 14:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.79%E -4.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 14:00
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.79%E -4.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 14:00
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.79%E -4.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.79%E -4.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 14:00
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.79%E -4.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.79%E -4.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 14:00
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.79%E -4.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 14:04
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.79%E -4.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.98%E -4.08%K -9.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 13:59
GTbets🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -10.16%E -5.16%K -10.47%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -0.457%E -0.249%K -0.550%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 14:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX2.29I 43.67%NM 43.46%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.54%0.5%2026-03-19 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%0.9%2026-03-19 14:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%0.9%2026-03-19 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%0.9%2026-03-19 14:04
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%0.9%2026-03-19 14:05
Novig2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%3.2%2026-03-19 14:00
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 43.87%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.13%10.7%2026-03-19 14:00