StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Sara Bejlek v Talia Gibson

Matchstart: 2026-03-19 14:15 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

61 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Sara Bejlek (Hemma)

Prognos 45.60%2.19rättvist odds
EV +0.786%
Fördel +0.356%
Kelly +0.650%
Tillväxt +0.005%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.21

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
43.15%45.46%45.59%48.16%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.972.072.082.2150.76%48.29%48.08%45.25%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Talia Gibson (Borta)

Prognos 54.40%1.84rättvist odds
EV -0.457%
Fördel -0.249%
Kelly -0.550%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.83

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
51.84%54.54%54.41%56.85%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.651.741.751.8360.61%57.36%57.14%54.64%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Sara Bejlek (Hemma): 45.60%; Talia Gibson (Borta): 54.40%. För Sara Bejlek (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.19. 3 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.21, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.786%.

Spelbolagsodds (61 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.91%EV +0.786%E +0.356%K +0.650%G +0.005%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.09%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-19 14:00
Pinnacle🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV +0.330%E +0.150%K +0.275%G +0.001%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -5.35%E -3.08%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-19 13:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.330%E +0.150%K +0.275%G +0.001%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -9.16%E -5.48%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 14:04
LowVig.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -1.49%E -0.692%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -5.35%E -3.08%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-19 14:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -1.49%E -0.692%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -5.35%E -3.08%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-19 14:00
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -1.95%E -0.907%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.72%E -2.10%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-19 14:04
DraftKings🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -3.32%E -1.57%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -7.53%E -4.43%K -10.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 14:04
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -3.32%E -1.57%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -7.53%E -4.43%K -10.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 14:04
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.72%E -2.10%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 13:58
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.26%E -2.42%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 14:00
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 14:00
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 14:00
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 14:00
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 14:00
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 14:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 14:00
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 14:00
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 14:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 14:00
Bally Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 14:00
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.35%E -3.08%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 14:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.35%E -3.08%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 13:58
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 14:00
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.98%E -4.08%K -9.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 14:00
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.53%E -4.43%K -10.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 14:00
Everygame🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -4.23%E -2.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -10.25%E -6.21%K -15.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-19 13:57
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.14%E -2.47%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 14:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.14%E -2.47%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.35%E -3.08%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 14:00
ReBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.60%E -2.70%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -3.72%E -2.10%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 13:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.60%E -2.70%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.26%E -2.42%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 13:59
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.51%E -3.18%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.09%E -1.16%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 14:00
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.51%E -3.18%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.72%E -2.10%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 14:00
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.51%E -3.18%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.72%E -2.10%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 14:00
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.51%E -3.18%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 14:00
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.51%E -3.18%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 13:59
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.51%E -3.18%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.35%E -3.08%K -7.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 13:59
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.51%E -3.18%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.35%E -3.08%K -7.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 13:59
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.51%E -3.18%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.35%E -3.08%K -7.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 14:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.51%E -3.18%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.44%E -3.74%K -8.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 14:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.51%E -3.18%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.44%E -3.74%K -8.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 14:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.51%E -3.18%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.44%E -3.74%K -8.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 14:00
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.51%E -3.18%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.53%E -4.43%K -10.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 14:02
Unibet (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -7.88%E -3.90%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -3.72%E -2.10%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 14:05
NetBet (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -7.88%E -3.90%K -7.72%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -6.44%E -3.74%K -8.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 14:00
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.79%E -4.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.09%E -1.16%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 14:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.79%E -4.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.09%E -1.16%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 13:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.79%E -4.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.09%E -1.16%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 13:59
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.79%E -4.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 13:59
PMU (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.79%E -4.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 14:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.79%E -4.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.81%E -2.75%K -6.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 14:00
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.79%E -4.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 14:00
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.79%E -4.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.79%E -4.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 14:00
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.79%E -4.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.79%E -4.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 14:00
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.79%E -4.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.90%E -3.41%K -8.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 14:04
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.79%E -4.40%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.98%E -4.08%K -9.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 13:59
GTbets🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -10.16%E -5.16%K -10.47%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -0.457%E -0.249%K -0.550%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 14:00
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
ProphetX2.29I 43.67%NM 43.46%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.54%0.5%2026-03-19 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%0.9%2026-03-19 14:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%0.9%2026-03-19 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%0.9%2026-03-19 14:04
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%0.9%2026-03-19 14:05
Novig2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%3.2%2026-03-19 14:00
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 43.87%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.13%10.7%2026-03-19 14:00