Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Qinwen Zheng v Sloane Stephens

Início: 2026-03-21 16:50 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Qinwen Zheng (Local)

Previsão 84.40%1.18odd justa
EV -2.09%
Vantagem -1.81%
Kelly -13.09%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.16

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
81.30%84.20%84.39%86.42%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.081.131.131.1692.59%88.86%88.50%86.21%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Sloane Stephens (Visitante)

Previsão 15.60%6.41odd justa
EV +9.19%
Vantagem +1.31%
Kelly +1.53%
Crescimento +0.141%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
13.58%15.80%15.61%18.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.005.896.007.0020.00%16.97%16.67%14.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Qinwen Zheng (Local): 84.40%; Sloane Stephens (Visitante): 15.60%. Para Sloane Stephens (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 6.41. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 7.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +9.19%.

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BoyleSports🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.16%E -6.51%K -71.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +9.19%E +1.31%K +1.53%G +0.141%5.2%2026-03-21 16:44
Coolbet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -6.31%E -5.69%K -57.40%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +4.51%E +0.673%K +0.791%G +0.036%5.0%2026-03-21 16:44
Pinnacle🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 85.10%EV -3.78%E -3.32%K -27.01%G +0.000%6.51I 15.36%NM 14.90%EV +1.54%E +0.237%K +0.280%G +0.004%3.1%2026-03-21 14:54
DraftKings🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.15%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%6.48I 15.43%NM 14.85%EV +1.08%E +0.166%K +0.196%G +0.002%3.9%2026-03-21 16:44
FanDuel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.47%E -4.88%K -45.58%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -0.172%E -0.027%K -0.032%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 03:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -3.78%E -3.32%K -27.01%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV -2.51%E -0.402%K -0.478%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 07:44
Betsson🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.47%E -4.88%K -45.58%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -2.51%E -0.402%K -0.478%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 16:45
NordicBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.47%E -4.88%K -45.58%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -2.51%E -0.402%K -0.478%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 16:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.27%EV -8.85%E -8.19%K -110.57%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -2.51%E -0.402%K -0.478%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 16:45
Fanatics🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.47%E -4.88%K -45.58%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -3.29%E -0.531%K -0.633%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 16:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.84%EV -8.00%E -7.34%K -88.91%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.16%EV -4.85%E -0.795%K -0.951%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 16:19
1xBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -3.78%E -3.32%K -27.01%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -5.63%E -0.931%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 16:30
Bet Right🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 03:35
Bovada🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 16:30
Unibet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 16:44
LeoVegas🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 16:44
Casumo🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 16:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 16:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 16:45
BetRivers🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 16:44
Grosvenor🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 16:44
TABtouch🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 16:45
Bally Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 16:44
betPARX🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 16:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 16:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 16:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 16:44
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.47%E -4.88%K -45.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 22:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.31%E -5.69%K -57.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 00:44
Paddy Power🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.31%E -5.69%K -57.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 12:30
888sport🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.31%E -5.69%K -57.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 16:45
theScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.31%E -5.69%K -57.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 16:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.31%E -5.69%K -57.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 16:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.31%E -5.69%K -57.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 16:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.16%EV -5.47%E -4.88%K -45.58%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.84%EV -7.19%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 16:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -7.97%E -1.35%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 07:45
ReBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.78%E -3.32%K -27.01%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -9.53%E -1.64%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 15:25
Fliff🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.18%EV -8.00%E -7.34%K -88.91%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.82%EV -9.53%E -1.64%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 16:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.78%E -3.32%K -27.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -10.31%E -1.79%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 11:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -10.31%E -1.79%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 16:30
Coral🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -10.31%E -1.79%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -10.31%E -1.79%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -5.47%E -4.88%K -45.58%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -12.65%E -2.26%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 22:25
Neds🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -5.47%E -4.88%K -45.58%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -12.65%E -2.26%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 22:25
PlayUp🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.78%E -3.32%K -27.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -14.21%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 22:25
William Hill🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.78%E -3.32%K -27.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -14.21%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 22:25
BetUS🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.78%E -3.32%K -27.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -14.21%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 00:45
BetMGM🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -14.21%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 16:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.47%E -4.88%K -45.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -14.21%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 16:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.47%E -4.88%K -45.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -14.21%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 16:45
Everygame🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.47%E -4.88%K -45.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -14.21%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 22:25
Caesars🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.47%E -4.88%K -45.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -14.21%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 22:24
SportsBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.31%E -5.69%K -57.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -14.21%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 12:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -2.09%E -1.81%K -13.09%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -15.30%E -2.82%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 16:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -2.09%E -1.81%K -13.09%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -15.30%E -2.82%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 16:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -2.94%E -2.55%K -19.59%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -17.33%E -3.27%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 16:34
TAB🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -2.94%E -2.55%K -19.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -22.01%E -4.40%K -5.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 16:42
Bet Victor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -5.47%E -4.88%K -45.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -22.01%E -4.40%K -5.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 16:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45%0.5%2026-03-21 16:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45%0.5%2026-03-21 16:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45%0.5%2026-03-21 16:39
Matchbook1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45%0.5%2026-03-21 16:34
ProphetX1.14I 87.72%NM 86.00%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.00%2.0%2026-03-21 16:45
Smarkets1.13I 88.50%NM 86.75%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.25%2.0%2026-03-21 16:35
Novig1.14I 87.72%NM 84.32%6.13I 16.31%NM 15.68%4.0%2026-03-21 16:45