La escuela de los momios

Qinwen Zheng v Sloane Stephens

Inicio: 2026-03-21 16:50 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Qinwen Zheng (Local)

Predicción 84.40%1.18momio equitativo
EV -2.09%
Ventaja -1.81%
Kelly -13.09%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.16

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
81.30%84.20%84.39%86.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.081.131.131.1692.59%88.86%88.50%86.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Sloane Stephens (Visitante)

Predicción 15.60%6.41momio equitativo
EV +9.19%
Ventaja +1.31%
Kelly +1.53%
Crecimiento +0.141%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.58%15.80%15.61%18.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.896.007.0020.00%16.97%16.67%14.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
BoyleSports1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.16%E -6.51%K -71.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +9.19%E +1.31%K +1.53%G +0.141%5.2%2026-03-21 16:44
Coolbet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -6.31%E -5.69%K -57.40%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +4.51%E +0.673%K +0.791%G +0.036%5.0%2026-03-21 16:44
Pinnacle1.14I 87.72%NM 85.10%EV -3.78%E -3.32%K -27.01%G +0.000%6.51I 15.36%NM 14.90%EV +1.54%E +0.237%K +0.280%G +0.004%3.1%2026-03-21 14:54
DraftKings1.13I 88.50%NM 85.15%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%6.48I 15.43%NM 14.85%EV +1.08%E +0.166%K +0.196%G +0.002%3.9%2026-03-21 16:44
FanDuel1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.47%E -4.88%K -45.58%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -0.172%E -0.027%K -0.032%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 03:05
Winamax (DE)1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -3.78%E -3.32%K -27.01%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV -2.51%E -0.402%K -0.478%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 07:44
Betsson1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.47%E -4.88%K -45.58%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -2.51%E -0.402%K -0.478%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 16:45
NordicBet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.47%E -4.88%K -45.58%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -2.51%E -0.402%K -0.478%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 16:44
PointsBet (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 85.27%EV -8.85%E -8.19%K -110.57%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -2.51%E -0.402%K -0.478%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 16:45
Fanatics1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.47%E -4.88%K -45.58%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -3.29%E -0.531%K -0.633%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 16:45
NetBet (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 84.84%EV -8.00%E -7.34%K -88.91%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.16%EV -4.85%E -0.795%K -0.951%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 16:19
1xBet1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -3.78%E -3.32%K -27.01%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -5.63%E -0.931%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 16:30
Bet Right1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 03:35
Bovada1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 16:30
Unibet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 16:44
LeoVegas1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 16:44
Casumo1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 16:45
Unibet (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 16:44
Unibet (NL)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 16:45
BetRivers1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 16:44
Grosvenor1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 16:44
TABtouch1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 16:45
Bally Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 16:44
betPARX1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 16:44
Svenska Spel1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 16:44
ATG (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 16:45
Hard Rock Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 16:44
Betway1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.47%E -4.88%K -45.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 22:25
PMU (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.31%E -5.69%K -57.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 00:44
Paddy Power1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.31%E -5.69%K -57.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 12:30
888sport1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.31%E -5.69%K -57.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 16:45
theScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.31%E -5.69%K -57.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 16:44
888sport (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.31%E -5.69%K -57.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 16:45
Mr Green (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.31%E -5.69%K -57.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 16:45
Unibet (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.16%EV -5.47%E -4.88%K -45.58%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.84%EV -7.19%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 16:05
Winamax (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -7.97%E -1.35%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 07:45
ReBet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.78%E -3.32%K -27.01%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -9.53%E -1.64%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 15:25
Fliff1.09I 91.74%NM 84.18%EV -8.00%E -7.34%K -88.91%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.82%EV -9.53%E -1.64%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 16:44
Unibet (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.78%E -3.32%K -27.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -10.31%E -1.79%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 11:20
Betr (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -10.31%E -1.79%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 16:30
Coral1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -10.31%E -1.79%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -10.31%E -1.79%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -5.47%E -4.88%K -45.58%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -12.65%E -2.26%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 22:25
Neds1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -5.47%E -4.88%K -45.58%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -12.65%E -2.26%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 22:25
PlayUp1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.78%E -3.32%K -27.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -14.21%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 22:25
William Hill1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.78%E -3.32%K -27.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -14.21%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 22:25
BetUS1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.78%E -3.32%K -27.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -14.21%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 00:45
BetMGM1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -14.21%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 16:45
LiveScore Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.47%E -4.88%K -45.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -14.21%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 16:45
Virgin Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.47%E -4.88%K -45.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -14.21%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 16:45
Everygame1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.47%E -4.88%K -45.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -14.21%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 22:25
Caesars1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.47%E -4.88%K -45.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -14.21%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 22:24
SportsBet1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.31%E -5.69%K -57.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -14.21%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 12:30
LowVig.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -2.09%E -1.81%K -13.09%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -15.30%E -2.82%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 16:45
BetOnline.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -2.09%E -1.81%K -13.09%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -15.30%E -2.82%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 16:45
Marathon Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -2.94%E -2.55%K -19.59%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -17.33%E -3.27%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 16:34
TAB1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -2.94%E -2.55%K -19.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -22.01%E -4.40%K -5.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 16:42
Bet Victor1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -5.47%E -4.88%K -45.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -22.01%E -4.40%K -5.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 16:44
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45%0.5%2026-03-21 16:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45%0.5%2026-03-21 16:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45%0.5%2026-03-21 16:39
Matchbook1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45%0.5%2026-03-21 16:34
ProphetX1.14I 87.72%NM 86.00%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.00%2.0%2026-03-21 16:45
Smarkets1.13I 88.50%NM 86.75%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.25%2.0%2026-03-21 16:35
Novig1.14I 87.72%NM 84.32%6.13I 16.31%NM 15.68%4.0%2026-03-21 16:45