L’École des cotes

Qinwen Zheng v Sloane Stephens

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 16:50 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Qinwen Zheng (Local)

Prévision 84.40%1.18cote équitable
EV -2.09%
Avantage -1.81%
Kelly -13.09%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
81.30%84.20%84.39%86.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.081.131.131.1692.59%88.86%88.50%86.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sloane Stephens (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.60%6.41cote équitable
EV +9.19%
Avantage +1.31%
Kelly +1.53%
Croissance +0.141%

avec la cote maximale 7.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.58%15.80%15.61%18.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.896.007.0020.00%16.97%16.67%14.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BoyleSports1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.16%E -6.51%K -71.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +9.19%E +1.31%K +1.53%G +0.141%5.2%2026-03-21 16:44
Coolbet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -6.31%E -5.69%K -57.40%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +4.51%E +0.673%K +0.791%G +0.036%5.0%2026-03-21 16:44
Pinnacle1.14I 87.72%NM 85.10%EV -3.78%E -3.32%K -27.01%G +0.000%6.51I 15.36%NM 14.90%EV +1.54%E +0.237%K +0.280%G +0.004%3.1%2026-03-21 14:54
DraftKings1.13I 88.50%NM 85.15%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%6.48I 15.43%NM 14.85%EV +1.08%E +0.166%K +0.196%G +0.002%3.9%2026-03-21 16:44
FanDuel1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.47%E -4.88%K -45.58%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -0.172%E -0.027%K -0.032%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 03:05
Winamax (DE)1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -3.78%E -3.32%K -27.01%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV -2.51%E -0.402%K -0.478%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 07:44
Betsson1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.47%E -4.88%K -45.58%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -2.51%E -0.402%K -0.478%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 16:45
NordicBet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.47%E -4.88%K -45.58%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -2.51%E -0.402%K -0.478%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 16:44
PointsBet (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 85.27%EV -8.85%E -8.19%K -110.57%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -2.51%E -0.402%K -0.478%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 16:45
Fanatics1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.47%E -4.88%K -45.58%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -3.29%E -0.531%K -0.633%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 16:45
NetBet (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 84.84%EV -8.00%E -7.34%K -88.91%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.16%EV -4.85%E -0.795%K -0.951%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 16:19
1xBet1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -3.78%E -3.32%K -27.01%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -5.63%E -0.931%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 16:30
Bet Right1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 03:35
Bovada1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 16:30
Unibet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 16:44
LeoVegas1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 16:44
Casumo1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 16:45
Unibet (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 16:44
Unibet (NL)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 16:45
BetRivers1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 16:44
Grosvenor1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 16:44
TABtouch1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 16:45
Bally Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 16:44
betPARX1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 16:44
Svenska Spel1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 16:44
ATG (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 16:45
Hard Rock Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 16:44
Betway1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.47%E -4.88%K -45.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 22:25
PMU (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.31%E -5.69%K -57.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 00:44
Paddy Power1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.31%E -5.69%K -57.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 12:30
888sport1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.31%E -5.69%K -57.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 16:45
theScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.31%E -5.69%K -57.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 16:44
888sport (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.31%E -5.69%K -57.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 16:45
Mr Green (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.31%E -5.69%K -57.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -6.41%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 16:45
Unibet (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.16%EV -5.47%E -4.88%K -45.58%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.84%EV -7.19%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 16:05
Winamax (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -7.97%E -1.35%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 07:45
ReBet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.78%E -3.32%K -27.01%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -9.53%E -1.64%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 15:25
Fliff1.09I 91.74%NM 84.18%EV -8.00%E -7.34%K -88.91%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.82%EV -9.53%E -1.64%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 16:44
Unibet (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.78%E -3.32%K -27.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -10.31%E -1.79%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 11:20
Betr (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -10.31%E -1.79%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 16:30
Coral1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -10.31%E -1.79%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -10.31%E -1.79%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -5.47%E -4.88%K -45.58%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -12.65%E -2.26%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 22:25
Neds1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -5.47%E -4.88%K -45.58%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -12.65%E -2.26%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 22:25
PlayUp1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.78%E -3.32%K -27.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -14.21%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 22:25
William Hill1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.78%E -3.32%K -27.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -14.21%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 22:25
BetUS1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.78%E -3.32%K -27.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -14.21%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 00:45
BetMGM1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.63%E -4.09%K -35.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -14.21%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 16:45
LiveScore Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.47%E -4.88%K -45.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -14.21%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 16:45
Virgin Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.47%E -4.88%K -45.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -14.21%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 16:45
Everygame1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.47%E -4.88%K -45.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -14.21%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 22:25
Caesars1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.47%E -4.88%K -45.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -14.21%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 22:24
SportsBet1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.31%E -5.69%K -57.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -14.21%E -2.58%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 12:30
LowVig.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -2.09%E -1.81%K -13.09%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -15.30%E -2.82%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 16:45
BetOnline.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -2.09%E -1.81%K -13.09%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -15.30%E -2.82%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 16:45
Marathon Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -2.94%E -2.55%K -19.59%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -17.33%E -3.27%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 16:34
TAB1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -2.94%E -2.55%K -19.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -22.01%E -4.40%K -5.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 16:42
Bet Victor1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -5.47%E -4.88%K -45.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -22.01%E -4.40%K -5.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 16:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45%0.5%2026-03-21 16:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45%0.5%2026-03-21 16:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45%0.5%2026-03-21 16:39
Matchbook1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45%0.5%2026-03-21 16:34
ProphetX1.14I 87.72%NM 86.00%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.00%2.0%2026-03-21 16:45
Smarkets1.13I 88.50%NM 86.75%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.25%2.0%2026-03-21 16:35
Novig1.14I 87.72%NM 84.32%6.13I 16.31%NM 15.68%4.0%2026-03-21 16:45