Language:English
Qinwen Zheng v Madison Keys
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Qinwen Zheng (Local)
Prediction 44.78%2.23fair odd
EV -2.39%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -2.02%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.23%44.90%44.74%46.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.112.122.1850.00%47.28%47.28%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Madison Keys (Visit)
Prediction 55.22%1.81fair odd
EV -1.70%
Edge -0.956%
Kelly -2.18%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.33%55.10%55.26%56.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.721.721.7860.24%58.20%58.14%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Qinwen Zheng (Local): 44.78%; Madison Keys (Visit): 55.22%. For Madison Keys (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.81. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.78, with an expected value of -1.70%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.39%E -1.10%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.25%E -1.27%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.39%E -1.10%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.36%E -1.92%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-22 20:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.39%E -1.10%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.36%E -1.92%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-22 20:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.39%E -1.10%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.39%E -1.10%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -2.39%E -1.10%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -8.33%E -5.02%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 21:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.73%E -1.74%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.91%E -2.25%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-22 20:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.73%E -1.74%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-22 20:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.73%E -1.74%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 20:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.73%E -1.74%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 20:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.18%E -1.95%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 20:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.18%E -1.95%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 20:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.18%E -1.95%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 20:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.18%E -1.95%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 20:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.18%E -1.95%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 20:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.18%E -1.95%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 20:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.18%E -1.95%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 20:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.18%E -1.95%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 20:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.18%E -1.95%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 20:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.18%E -1.95%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 20:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.18%E -1.95%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 20:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.18%E -1.95%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 20:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.18%E -1.95%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 20:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.18%E -1.95%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 20:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.18%E -1.95%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.18%E -1.95%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 20:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.18%E -1.95%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 20:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.18%E -1.95%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 20:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.63%E -2.17%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 20:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.07%E -2.39%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 20:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -5.52%E -2.62%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-22 20:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-22 20:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-22 21:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-22 20:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-22 20:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-22 20:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-22 20:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-22 20:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 20:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 21:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 20:52 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 21:04 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.12%E -3.60%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-22 20:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.12%E -3.60%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-22 20:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.12%E -3.60%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-22 20:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.12%E -3.60%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-22 20:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.12%E -3.60%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-22 20:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.12%E -3.60%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-22 20:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.67%E -3.95%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-22 20:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.22%E -4.30%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-22 20:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.22%E -4.30%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-22 20:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.87%E -3.30%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.36%E -1.92%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 20:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -7.76%E -3.77%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -1.70%E -0.956%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-22 20:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.21%E -4.00%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.25%E -1.27%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 20:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.21%E -4.00%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.12%E -3.60%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-22 20:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.21%E -4.00%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.12%E -3.60%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-22 20:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.21%E -4.00%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.67%E -3.95%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-22 20:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.45%E -5.22%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.36%E -1.92%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-22 20:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.45%E -5.22%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 20:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.45%E -5.22%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.12%E -3.60%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-22 20:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 0.6% | 2026-03-22 21:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 0.6% | 2026-03-22 21:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 0.6% | 2026-03-22 21:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 0.6% | 2026-03-22 21:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-03-22 21:04 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05% | 2.1% | 2026-03-22 21:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94% | 2.3% | 2026-03-22 21:05 |