L’École des cotes

Qinwen Zheng v Madison Keys

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-22 21:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Qinwen Zheng (Local)

Prévision 44.78%2.23cote équitable
EV -2.39%
Avantage -1.10%
Kelly -2.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.18

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.23%44.90%44.74%46.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.112.122.1850.00%47.28%47.28%45.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Madison Keys (Visiteur)

Prévision 55.22%1.81cote équitable
EV -1.70%
Avantage -0.956%
Kelly -2.18%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.33%55.10%55.26%56.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.661.721.721.7860.24%58.20%58.14%56.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.39%E -1.10%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.25%E -1.27%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-22 21:00
1xBet2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.39%E -1.10%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.36%E -1.92%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-22 20:55
Coolbet2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.39%E -1.10%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.36%E -1.92%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-22 20:55
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.39%E -1.10%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 21:00
BetOnline.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.39%E -1.10%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 21:00
Unibet (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -2.39%E -1.10%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -8.33%E -5.02%K -12.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 21:05
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.73%E -1.74%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.91%E -2.25%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 20:55
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.73%E -1.74%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 20:59
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.73%E -1.74%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 20:54
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.73%E -1.74%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 20:55
Unibet (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.18%E -1.95%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 20:55
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.18%E -1.95%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 20:55
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.18%E -1.95%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 20:54
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.18%E -1.95%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 20:55
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.18%E -1.95%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 20:54
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.18%E -1.95%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 20:55
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.18%E -1.95%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 20:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.18%E -1.95%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 20:54
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.18%E -1.95%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 20:54
LeoVegas2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.18%E -1.95%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 20:54
betPARX2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.18%E -1.95%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 20:55
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.18%E -1.95%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 20:55
Svenska Spel2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.18%E -1.95%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 20:55
Bally Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.18%E -1.95%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 20:55
GTbets2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.18%E -1.95%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 21:00
Betsson2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.18%E -1.95%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 20:54
NordicBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.18%E -1.95%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 20:55
ReBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.18%E -1.95%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 20:54
DraftKings2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.63%E -2.17%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 20:55
Bet Right2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.07%E -2.39%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 20:55
PointsBet (AU)2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -5.52%E -2.62%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 20:55
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 20:55
Marathon Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 21:05
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 20:54
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 20:54
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 20:55
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 20:55
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.02%E -2.92%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 20:55
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 20:54
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 21:05
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 20:52
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.57%E -3.26%K -7.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 21:04
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.12%E -3.60%K -8.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 20:55
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.12%E -3.60%K -8.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 20:55
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.12%E -3.60%K -8.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 20:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.12%E -3.60%K -8.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 20:55
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.12%E -3.60%K -8.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 20:55
NetBet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.12%E -3.60%K -8.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 20:54
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.67%E -3.95%K -9.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 20:55
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.22%E -4.30%K -10.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 20:55
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.97%E -2.84%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.22%E -4.30%K -10.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 20:54
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.87%E -3.30%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.36%E -1.92%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 20:54
FanDuel2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -7.76%E -3.77%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -1.70%E -0.956%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 20:54
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.21%E -4.00%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.25%E -1.27%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 20:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.21%E -4.00%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.12%E -3.60%K -8.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 20:55
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.21%E -4.00%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.12%E -3.60%K -8.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 20:55
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.21%E -4.00%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.67%E -3.95%K -9.67%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 20:54
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.45%E -5.22%K -10.45%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.36%E -1.92%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 20:55
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.45%E -5.22%K -10.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 20:54
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.45%E -5.22%K -10.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.12%E -3.60%K -8.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 20:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-03-22 21:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-03-22 21:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-03-22 21:05
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-03-22 21:05
ProphetX2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-03-22 21:04
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%2.1%2026-03-22 21:05
Novig2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%2.3%2026-03-22 21:05