Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mirra Andreeva v McCartney Kessler

Kickoff: 2026-03-20 03:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mirra Andreeva (Local)

Prediction 77.36%1.29fair odd
EV +5.21%
Edge +3.83%
Kelly +14.46%
Growth +0.753%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.18%77.22%77.21%80.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.221.221.3685.47%82.19%81.97%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

McCartney Kessler (Visit)

Prediction 22.64%4.42fair odd
EV +8.69%
Edge +1.81%
Kelly +2.29%
Growth +0.199%

assuming max odds 4.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.73%22.78%22.79%29.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.204.184.204.8031.25%23.91%23.81%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mirra Andreeva (Local): 77.36%; McCartney Kessler (Visit): 22.64%. For McCartney Kessler (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.42. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.69%.

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV +5.21%E +3.83%K +14.46%G +0.753%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -27.54%E -8.61%K -12.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 02:48
DraftKings🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.00%EV -1.76%E -1.38%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.00%EV -13.73%E -3.60%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 02:49
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.30%E -2.64%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.43%E -2.36%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 02:44
Unibet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.30%E -2.64%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.56%E -2.67%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 02:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.30%E -2.64%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -15.09%E -4.02%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 02:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -3.30%E -2.64%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -18.48%E -5.13%K -7.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-20 02:49
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -3.30%E -2.64%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -18.48%E -5.13%K -7.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-20 02:49
Pinnacle🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.25%EV -4.08%E -3.29%K -16.99%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.75%EV +0.989%E +0.222%K +0.286%G +0.003%3.1%2026-03-20 02:40
TAB🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.08%E -3.29%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -13.96%E -3.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 02:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -4.08%E -3.29%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -16.22%E -4.38%K -6.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 02:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -4.85%E -3.94%K -21.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -12.82%E -3.33%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-20 02:45
FanDuel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.62%E -4.61%K -25.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -0.369%E -0.084%K -0.109%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 02:50
GTbets🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.94%EV -5.62%E -4.61%K -25.57%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.06%EV -2.41%E -0.559%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 02:40
Coolbet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.62%E -4.61%K -25.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.63%E -0.612%K -0.798%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 02:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.62%E -4.61%K -25.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.63%E -0.612%K -0.798%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 02:49
Casumo🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.62%E -4.61%K -25.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.63%E -0.612%K -0.798%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 02:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.62%E -4.61%K -25.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.63%E -0.612%K -0.798%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 02:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.62%E -4.61%K -25.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.63%E -0.612%K -0.798%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 02:49
betPARX🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.62%E -4.61%K -25.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.63%E -0.612%K -0.798%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 02:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.62%E -4.61%K -25.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.63%E -0.612%K -0.798%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 02:49
BetUS🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.62%E -4.61%K -25.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -3.77%E -0.886%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 02:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.62%E -4.61%K -25.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -3.77%E -0.886%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 02:49
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.62%E -4.61%K -25.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.90%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 02:43
BetRivers🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.62%E -4.61%K -25.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.90%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 02:49
TABtouch🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.62%E -4.61%K -25.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.90%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 02:49
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.62%E -4.61%K -25.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.90%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 02:39
Betsson🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.62%E -4.61%K -25.57%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -8.29%E -2.05%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 02:50
NordicBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.62%E -4.61%K -25.57%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -8.29%E -2.05%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 02:50
Bet Victor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.62%E -4.61%K -25.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.43%E -2.36%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 02:49
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.62%E -4.61%K -25.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.43%E -2.36%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 02:49
Caesars🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.62%E -4.61%K -25.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.43%E -2.36%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 02:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.62%E -4.61%K -25.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.43%E -2.36%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 02:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.62%E -4.61%K -25.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.43%E -2.36%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 02:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -6.40%E -5.29%K -30.47%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV +5.74%E +1.23%K +1.57%G +0.090%4.1%2026-03-20 02:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -6.40%E -5.29%K -30.47%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV +5.74%E +1.23%K +1.57%G +0.090%4.1%2026-03-20 02:40
1xBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -6.40%E -5.29%K -30.47%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV +2.80%E +0.617%K +0.791%G +0.022%4.7%2026-03-20 02:40
Bet Right🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.40%E -5.29%K -30.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +1.90%E +0.421%K +0.541%G +0.010%4.9%2026-03-20 02:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.40%E -5.29%K -30.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.16%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 02:49
Grosvenor🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.40%E -5.29%K -30.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.16%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 02:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.40%E -5.29%K -30.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.16%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 02:49
Bally Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.40%E -5.29%K -30.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.16%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 02:49
ReBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.17%E -5.98%K -35.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +4.16%E +0.904%K +1.16%G +0.048%5.1%2026-03-20 02:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.17%E -5.98%K -35.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +1.90%E +0.421%K +0.541%G +0.010%5.6%2026-03-20 02:39
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -7.17%E -5.98%K -35.86%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV +0.763%E +0.171%K +0.221%G +0.002%5.8%2026-03-20 02:38
Unibet (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -7.17%E -5.98%K -35.86%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV +0.763%E +0.171%K +0.221%G +0.002%5.8%2026-03-20 02:36
Betr (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -7.17%E -5.98%K -35.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -0.369%E -0.084%K -0.109%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 02:40
Coral🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -7.17%E -5.98%K -35.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -0.369%E -0.084%K -0.109%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 02:49
theScore Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.17%E -5.98%K -35.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -3.77%E -0.886%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 02:49
Neds🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.17%E -5.98%K -35.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.16%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 02:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.17%E -5.98%K -35.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.16%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 02:40
LeoVegas🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.17%E -5.98%K -35.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.16%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 02:49
Fanatics🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.17%E -5.98%K -35.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.43%E -2.36%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-20 02:49
BetMGM🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.44%EV -7.95%E -6.68%K -41.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.56%EV -1.95%E -0.451%K -0.587%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 02:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -7.95%E -6.68%K -41.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -4.90%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-20 02:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -7.95%E -6.68%K -41.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -9.43%E -2.36%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-20 02:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -8.72%E -7.39%K -48.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +8.69%E +1.81%K +2.29%G +0.199%5.6%2026-03-20 02:34
NetBet (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -8.72%E -7.39%K -48.44%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -2.63%E -0.612%K -0.798%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-20 02:40
Fliff🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -8.72%E -7.39%K -48.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -4.90%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 02:50
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.49%E -8.11%K -55.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +1.90%E +0.421%K +0.541%G +0.010%7.7%2026-03-20 02:43
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.49%E -8.11%K -55.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +1.90%E +0.421%K +0.541%G +0.010%7.7%2026-03-20 02:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-03-20 02:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-03-20 02:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-03-20 02:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-03-20 02:50
ProphetX1.29I 77.52%NM 76.07%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93%1.9%2026-03-20 02:50
Matchbook1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36%1.9%2026-03-20 02:50
Novig1.28I 78.13%NM 75.85%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.15%3.0%2026-03-20 02:50