L’École des cotes

Mirra Andreeva v McCartney Kessler

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-20 03:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Mirra Andreeva (Local)

Prévision 77.36%1.29cote équitable
EV +5.21%
Avantage +3.83%
Kelly +14.46%
Croissance +0.753%

avec la cote maximale 1.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.18%77.22%77.21%80.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.171.221.221.3685.47%82.19%81.97%73.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

McCartney Kessler (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.64%4.42cote équitable
EV +8.69%
Avantage +1.81%
Kelly +2.29%
Croissance +0.199%

avec la cote maximale 4.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.73%22.78%22.79%29.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.204.184.204.8031.25%23.91%23.81%20.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV +5.21%E +3.83%K +14.46%G +0.753%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -27.54%E -8.61%K -12.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 02:48
DraftKings1.27I 78.74%NM 75.00%EV -1.76%E -1.38%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.00%EV -13.73%E -3.60%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 02:49
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.30%E -2.64%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.43%E -2.36%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 02:44
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.30%E -2.64%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.56%E -2.67%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 02:50
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.30%E -2.64%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -15.09%E -4.02%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 02:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -3.30%E -2.64%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -18.48%E -5.13%K -7.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-20 02:49
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -3.30%E -2.64%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -18.48%E -5.13%K -7.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-20 02:49
Pinnacle1.24I 80.65%NM 78.25%EV -4.08%E -3.29%K -16.99%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.75%EV +0.989%E +0.222%K +0.286%G +0.003%3.1%2026-03-20 02:40
TAB1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.08%E -3.29%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -13.96%E -3.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 02:49
Winamax (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -4.08%E -3.29%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -16.22%E -4.38%K -6.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 02:50
Winamax (DE)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -4.85%E -3.94%K -21.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -12.82%E -3.33%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-20 02:45
FanDuel1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.62%E -4.61%K -25.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -0.369%E -0.084%K -0.109%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 02:50
GTbets1.22I 81.97%NM 77.94%EV -5.62%E -4.61%K -25.57%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.06%EV -2.41%E -0.559%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 02:40
Coolbet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.62%E -4.61%K -25.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.63%E -0.612%K -0.798%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 02:49
Unibet (NL)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.62%E -4.61%K -25.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.63%E -0.612%K -0.798%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 02:49
Casumo1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.62%E -4.61%K -25.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.63%E -0.612%K -0.798%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 02:49
Unibet (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.62%E -4.61%K -25.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.63%E -0.612%K -0.798%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 02:49
Svenska Spel1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.62%E -4.61%K -25.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.63%E -0.612%K -0.798%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 02:49
betPARX1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.62%E -4.61%K -25.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.63%E -0.612%K -0.798%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 02:49
ATG (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.62%E -4.61%K -25.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.63%E -0.612%K -0.798%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 02:49
BetUS1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.62%E -4.61%K -25.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -3.77%E -0.886%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 02:34
Hard Rock Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.62%E -4.61%K -25.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -3.77%E -0.886%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 02:49
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.62%E -4.61%K -25.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.90%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 02:43
BetRivers1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.62%E -4.61%K -25.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.90%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 02:49
TABtouch1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.62%E -4.61%K -25.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.90%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 02:49
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.62%E -4.61%K -25.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.90%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 02:39
Betsson1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.62%E -4.61%K -25.57%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -8.29%E -2.05%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 02:50
NordicBet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.62%E -4.61%K -25.57%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -8.29%E -2.05%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 02:50
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.62%E -4.61%K -25.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.43%E -2.36%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 02:49
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.62%E -4.61%K -25.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.43%E -2.36%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 02:49
Caesars1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.62%E -4.61%K -25.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.43%E -2.36%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 02:49
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.62%E -4.61%K -25.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.43%E -2.36%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 02:49
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.62%E -4.61%K -25.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.43%E -2.36%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 02:49
LowVig.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -6.40%E -5.29%K -30.47%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV +5.74%E +1.23%K +1.57%G +0.090%4.1%2026-03-20 02:40
BetOnline.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 79.42%EV -6.40%E -5.29%K -30.47%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.58%EV +5.74%E +1.23%K +1.57%G +0.090%4.1%2026-03-20 02:40
1xBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -6.40%E -5.29%K -30.47%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV +2.80%E +0.617%K +0.791%G +0.022%4.7%2026-03-20 02:40
Bet Right1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.40%E -5.29%K -30.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +1.90%E +0.421%K +0.541%G +0.010%4.9%2026-03-20 02:40
LiveScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.40%E -5.29%K -30.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.16%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 02:49
Grosvenor1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.40%E -5.29%K -30.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.16%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 02:49
Virgin Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.40%E -5.29%K -30.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.16%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 02:49
Bally Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.40%E -5.29%K -30.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.16%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 02:49
ReBet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -7.17%E -5.98%K -35.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +4.16%E +0.904%K +1.16%G +0.048%5.1%2026-03-20 02:39
Unibet (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.17%E -5.98%K -35.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +1.90%E +0.421%K +0.541%G +0.010%5.6%2026-03-20 02:39
Parions Sport (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -7.17%E -5.98%K -35.86%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV +0.763%E +0.171%K +0.221%G +0.002%5.8%2026-03-20 02:38
Unibet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -7.17%E -5.98%K -35.86%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV +0.763%E +0.171%K +0.221%G +0.002%5.8%2026-03-20 02:36
Betr (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -7.17%E -5.98%K -35.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -0.369%E -0.084%K -0.109%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 02:40
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -7.17%E -5.98%K -35.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -0.369%E -0.084%K -0.109%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 02:49
theScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.17%E -5.98%K -35.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -3.77%E -0.886%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 02:49
Neds1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.17%E -5.98%K -35.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.16%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 02:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.17%E -5.98%K -35.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.16%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 02:40
LeoVegas1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.17%E -5.98%K -35.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.16%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-20 02:49
Fanatics1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.17%E -5.98%K -35.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.43%E -2.36%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-20 02:49
BetMGM1.19I 84.03%NM 78.44%EV -7.95%E -6.68%K -41.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.56%EV -1.95%E -0.451%K -0.587%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 02:49
PMU (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -7.95%E -6.68%K -41.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -4.90%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-20 02:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -7.95%E -6.68%K -41.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -9.43%E -2.36%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-20 02:49
Marathon Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -8.72%E -7.39%K -48.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +8.69%E +1.81%K +2.29%G +0.199%5.6%2026-03-20 02:34
NetBet (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -8.72%E -7.39%K -48.44%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -2.63%E -0.612%K -0.798%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-20 02:40
Fliff1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -8.72%E -7.39%K -48.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -4.90%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-20 02:50
SportsBet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.49%E -8.11%K -55.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +1.90%E +0.421%K +0.541%G +0.010%7.7%2026-03-20 02:43
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.49%E -8.11%K -55.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +1.90%E +0.421%K +0.541%G +0.010%7.7%2026-03-20 02:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-03-20 02:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-03-20 02:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-03-20 02:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-03-20 02:50
ProphetX1.29I 77.52%NM 76.07%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93%1.9%2026-03-20 02:50
Matchbook1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36%1.9%2026-03-20 02:50
Novig1.28I 78.13%NM 75.85%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.15%3.0%2026-03-20 02:50