Language:English
Leylah Fernandez v Jessica Pegula
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Leylah Fernandez (Local)
Prediction 15.55%6.43fair odd
EV +24.42%
Edge +3.05%
Kelly +3.49%
Growth +0.852%
assuming max odds 8.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.89%15.44%15.61%18.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.905.845.758.0020.41%17.14%17.39%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jessica Pegula (Visit)
Prediction 84.45%1.18fair odd
EV -1.20%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -7.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.26%84.56%84.39%88.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.071.131.131.1793.46%88.82%88.50%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Leylah Fernandez (Local): 15.55%; Jessica Pegula (Visit): 84.45%. For Leylah Fernandez (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.43. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +24.42%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +24.42%E +3.05%K +3.49%G +0.852% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -8.80%E -8.14%K -109.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 16:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +8.87%E +1.27%K +1.48%G +0.131% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.11%E -6.46%K -71.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 16:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +8.87%E +1.27%K +1.48%G +0.131% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.80%E -8.14%K -109.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 16:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV +4.20%E +0.627%K +0.737%G +0.031% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -9.64%E -9.01%K -137.73%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-22 16:13 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.69I 14.95%NM 14.67%EV +4.04%E +0.605%K +0.711%G +0.029% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.33%EV -2.89%E -2.51%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +1.09%E +0.168%K +0.198%G +0.002% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.42%E -4.84%K -45.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-22 16:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +1.09%E +0.168%K +0.198%G +0.002% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.42%E -4.84%K -45.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-22 16:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +1.09%E +0.168%K +0.198%G +0.002% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.26%E -5.64%K -56.94%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +1.09%E +0.168%K +0.198%G +0.002% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.26%E -5.64%K -56.94%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +1.09%E +0.168%K +0.198%G +0.002% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.11%E -6.46%K -71.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-22 16:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -0.465%E -0.073%K -0.086%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.42%E -4.84%K -45.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -2.80%E -0.448%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -6.26%E -5.64%K -56.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 15:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -2.80%E -0.448%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -7.95%E -7.30%K -88.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-22 16:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -5.13%E -0.841%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -6.26%E -5.64%K -56.94%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-22 15:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.69%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.57%E -4.05%K -35.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 16:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.69%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.42%E -4.84%K -45.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 16:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.69%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.42%E -4.84%K -45.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 16:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -6.69%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.26%E -5.64%K -56.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -6.69%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.26%E -5.64%K -56.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-22 16:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -6.69%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.26%E -5.64%K -56.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-22 15:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -6.69%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.26%E -5.64%K -56.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-22 16:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -6.69%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.26%E -5.64%K -56.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-22 16:14 |
| Everygame🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -6.69%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.11%E -6.46%K -71.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-22 15:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.95I 16.81%NM 16.08%EV -7.46%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.92%EV -3.73%E -3.27%K -26.64%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 5.95I 16.81%NM 15.48%EV -7.46%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.52%EV -7.95%E -7.30%K -88.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.91I 16.92%NM 16.29%EV -8.09%E -1.37%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.71%EV -2.89%E -2.51%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-22 15:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.91I 16.92%NM 16.29%EV -8.09%E -1.37%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.71%EV -2.89%E -2.51%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-22 15:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -9.80%E -1.69%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.73%E -3.27%K -26.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 16:14 |
| ReBet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -9.80%E -1.69%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.73%E -3.27%K -26.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 15:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.77I 17.33%NM 16.86%EV -10.26%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.14%EV -1.20%E -1.02%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-22 16:02 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -10.57%E -1.84%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.73%E -3.27%K -26.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 15:58 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -10.57%E -1.84%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.73%E -3.27%K -26.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 15:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -10.57%E -1.84%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.57%E -4.05%K -35.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -11.35%E -1.99%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -4.57%E -4.05%K -35.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 15:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -12.91%E -2.30%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -5.42%E -4.84%K -45.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-22 15:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -12.91%E -2.30%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -5.42%E -4.84%K -45.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-22 15:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV -13.68%E -2.47%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -2.89%E -2.51%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 15:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -14.46%E -2.63%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.73%E -3.27%K -26.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-22 16:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -14.46%E -2.63%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.73%E -3.27%K -26.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-22 16:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -14.46%E -2.63%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.73%E -3.27%K -26.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-22 16:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -14.46%E -2.63%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.73%E -3.27%K -26.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-22 15:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -14.46%E -2.63%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.57%E -4.05%K -35.19%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -14.46%E -2.63%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.42%E -4.84%K -45.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-22 16:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -14.46%E -2.63%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.42%E -4.84%K -45.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -14.46%E -2.63%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.42%E -4.84%K -45.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -14.46%E -2.63%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.42%E -4.84%K -45.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-22 16:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -14.46%E -2.63%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.42%E -4.84%K -45.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-22 16:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -14.46%E -2.63%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.42%E -4.84%K -45.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -16.02%E -2.97%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -2.89%E -2.51%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -16.02%E -2.97%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -2.89%E -2.51%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -16.02%E -2.97%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -2.89%E -2.51%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -16.02%E -2.97%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -2.89%E -2.51%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -16.02%E -2.97%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -2.89%E -2.51%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -16.02%E -2.97%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -2.89%E -2.51%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -20.68%E -4.06%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -2.89%E -2.51%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -20.68%E -4.06%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -3.73%E -3.27%K -26.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -20.68%E -4.06%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -3.73%E -3.27%K -26.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -20.68%E -4.06%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -3.73%E -3.27%K -26.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -20.68%E -4.06%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -3.73%E -3.27%K -26.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -22.24%E -4.45%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -4.57%E -4.05%K -35.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -23.79%E -4.86%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.26%EV -4.57%E -4.05%K -35.19%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.88% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 86.12% | 0.1% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.88% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 86.12% | 0.1% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 0.8% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 0.8% | 2026-03-22 16:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12% | 1.6% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22% | 5.7% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |
| Novig◎ | 6.49I 15.41%NM 14.38% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.62% | 7.2% | 2026-03-22 16:15 |