La escuela de los momios

Leylah Fernandez v Jessica Pegula

Inicio: 2026-03-22 16:20 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Leylah Fernandez (Local)

Predicción 15.55%6.43momio equitativo
EV +24.42%
Ventaja +3.05%
Kelly +3.49%
Crecimiento +0.852%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.89%15.44%15.61%18.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.905.845.758.0020.41%17.14%17.39%12.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Jessica Pegula (Visitante)

Predicción 84.45%1.18momio equitativo
EV -1.20%
Ventaja -1.02%
Kelly -7.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.17

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
81.26%84.56%84.39%88.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.071.131.131.1793.46%88.82%88.50%85.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
FanDuel8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +24.42%E +3.05%K +3.49%G +0.852%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -8.80%E -8.14%K -109.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 16:14
Betway7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +8.87%E +1.27%K +1.48%G +0.131%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.11%E -6.46%K -71.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 16:14
Caesars7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +8.87%E +1.27%K +1.48%G +0.131%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.80%E -8.14%K -109.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 16:14
Fanatics6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV +4.20%E +0.627%K +0.737%G +0.031%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -9.64%E -9.01%K -137.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 16:13
Pinnacle6.69I 14.95%NM 14.67%EV +4.04%E +0.605%K +0.711%G +0.029%1.15I 86.96%NM 85.33%EV -2.89%E -2.51%K -19.23%G +0.000%1.9%2026-03-22 16:15
Unibet (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +1.09%E +0.168%K +0.198%G +0.002%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.42%E -4.84%K -45.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 16:14
Bovada6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +1.09%E +0.168%K +0.198%G +0.002%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.42%E -4.84%K -45.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 16:14
Ladbrokes (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +1.09%E +0.168%K +0.198%G +0.002%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.26%E -5.64%K -56.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 16:15
Coral6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +1.09%E +0.168%K +0.198%G +0.002%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.26%E -5.64%K -56.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 16:15
Betsson6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +1.09%E +0.168%K +0.198%G +0.002%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.11%E -6.46%K -71.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 16:14
Coolbet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -0.465%E -0.073%K -0.086%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.42%E -4.84%K -45.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 16:15
Unibet (FR)6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -2.80%E -0.448%K -0.533%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -6.26%E -5.64%K -56.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 15:59
Winamax (DE)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -2.80%E -0.448%K -0.533%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -7.95%E -7.30%K -88.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 16:14
NetBet (FR)6.10I 16.39%NM 15.40%EV -5.13%E -0.841%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.60%EV -6.26%E -5.64%K -56.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 15:59
Hard Rock Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.69%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.57%E -4.05%K -35.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 16:14
NordicBet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.69%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.42%E -4.84%K -45.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 16:14
Winamax (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.69%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.42%E -4.84%K -45.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 16:14
PointsBet (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -6.69%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.26%E -5.64%K -56.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 16:15
SportsBet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -6.69%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.26%E -5.64%K -56.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 16:09
PMU (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -6.69%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.26%E -5.64%K -56.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 15:59
TAB6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -6.69%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.26%E -5.64%K -56.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 16:14
BetMGM6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -6.69%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.26%E -5.64%K -56.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 16:14
Everygame6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -6.69%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.11%E -6.46%K -71.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 15:59
DraftKings5.95I 16.81%NM 16.08%EV -7.46%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.92%EV -3.73%E -3.27%K -26.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 16:15
Fliff5.95I 16.81%NM 15.48%EV -7.46%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 84.52%EV -7.95%E -7.30%K -88.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 16:15
LowVig.ag5.91I 16.92%NM 16.29%EV -8.09%E -1.37%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.71%EV -2.89%E -2.51%K -19.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-22 15:59
BetOnline.ag5.91I 16.92%NM 16.29%EV -8.09%E -1.37%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.71%EV -2.89%E -2.51%K -19.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-22 15:59
Unibet5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -9.80%E -1.69%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.73%E -3.27%K -26.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 16:14
ReBet5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -9.80%E -1.69%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.73%E -3.27%K -26.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 15:59
GTbets5.77I 17.33%NM 16.86%EV -10.26%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 83.14%EV -1.20%E -1.02%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-22 16:02
Marathon Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -10.57%E -1.84%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.73%E -3.27%K -26.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 15:58
Bet Right5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -10.57%E -1.84%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.73%E -3.27%K -26.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 15:59
TABtouch5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -10.57%E -1.84%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.57%E -4.05%K -35.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 16:15
Parions Sport (FR)5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -11.35%E -1.99%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -4.57%E -4.05%K -35.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 15:59
Ladbrokes (AU)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -12.91%E -2.30%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -5.42%E -4.84%K -45.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 15:59
Neds5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -12.91%E -2.30%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -5.42%E -4.84%K -45.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 15:59
1xBet5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV -13.68%E -2.47%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -2.89%E -2.51%K -19.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 15:59
Betr (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -14.46%E -2.63%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.73%E -3.27%K -26.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 16:04
William Hill5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -14.46%E -2.63%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.73%E -3.27%K -26.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 16:00
PlayUp5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -14.46%E -2.63%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.73%E -3.27%K -26.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 16:09
BetUS5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -14.46%E -2.63%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.73%E -3.27%K -26.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 15:59
theScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -14.46%E -2.63%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.57%E -4.05%K -35.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 16:15
Bet Victor5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -14.46%E -2.63%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.42%E -4.84%K -45.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 16:14
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -14.46%E -2.63%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.42%E -4.84%K -45.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 16:15
888sport5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -14.46%E -2.63%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.42%E -4.84%K -45.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 16:15
BoyleSports5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -14.46%E -2.63%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.42%E -4.84%K -45.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 16:14
Mr Green (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -14.46%E -2.63%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.42%E -4.84%K -45.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 16:14
888sport (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -14.46%E -2.63%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.42%E -4.84%K -45.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 16:15
Unibet (NL)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -16.02%E -2.97%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -2.89%E -2.51%K -19.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 16:15
Unibet (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -16.02%E -2.97%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -2.89%E -2.51%K -19.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 16:15
Casumo5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -16.02%E -2.97%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -2.89%E -2.51%K -19.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 16:15
betPARX5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -16.02%E -2.97%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -2.89%E -2.51%K -19.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 16:15
ATG (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -16.02%E -2.97%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -2.89%E -2.51%K -19.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 16:15
Svenska Spel5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -16.02%E -2.97%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -2.89%E -2.51%K -19.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 16:15
BetRivers5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -20.68%E -4.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -2.89%E -2.51%K -19.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 16:15
LiveScore Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -20.68%E -4.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -3.73%E -3.27%K -26.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 16:15
Virgin Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -20.68%E -4.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -3.73%E -3.27%K -26.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 16:15
Grosvenor5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -20.68%E -4.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -3.73%E -3.27%K -26.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 16:15
Bally Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -20.68%E -4.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -3.73%E -3.27%K -26.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 16:15
LeoVegas5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -22.24%E -4.45%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -4.57%E -4.05%K -35.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -23.79%E -4.86%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.26%EV -4.57%E -4.05%K -35.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 16:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.88%1.16I 86.21%NM 86.12%0.1%2026-03-22 16:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.88%1.16I 86.21%NM 86.12%0.1%2026-03-22 16:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%0.8%2026-03-22 16:15
Smarkets7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%0.8%2026-03-22 16:10
Matchbook6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12%1.6%2026-03-22 16:15
ProphetX6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%5.7%2026-03-22 16:15
Novig6.49I 15.41%NM 14.38%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.62%7.2%2026-03-22 16:15