Language:English
Katie Boulter v Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Katie Boulter (Local)
Prediction 44.71%2.24fair odd
EV +0.603%
Edge +0.268%
Kelly +0.483%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.86%46.82%44.30%58.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.962.052.2563.29%50.97%48.78%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Visit)
Prediction 55.29%1.81fair odd
EV +27.16%
Edge +11.81%
Kelly +20.89%
Growth +5.67%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.33%53.18%55.70%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.851.752.3062.11%54.05%57.14%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Katie Boulter (Local): 44.71%; Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Visit): 55.29%. For Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.81. 17 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +27.16%.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -27.57%E -17.02%K -44.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +27.16%E +11.81%K +20.89%G +5.67% | 5.2% | 2026-03-17 21:06 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -24.44%E -14.46%K -35.41%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV +23.84%E +10.64%K +19.23%G +4.58% | 3.8% | 2026-03-17 21:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -24.44%E -14.46%K -35.41%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV +23.84%E +10.64%K +19.23%G +4.58% | 3.8% | 2026-03-17 21:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -26.22%E -15.89%K -40.35%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV +23.84%E +10.64%K +19.23%G +4.58% | 5.2% | 2026-03-17 21:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -25.78%E -15.53%K -39.06%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +23.29%E +10.44%K +18.94%G +4.41% | 5.1% | 2026-03-17 21:08 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -25.78%E -15.53%K -39.06%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +23.29%E +10.44%K +18.94%G +4.41% | 5.1% | 2026-03-17 21:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -25.78%E -15.53%K -39.06%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV +22.74%E +10.24%K +18.64%G +4.24% | 5.3% | 2026-03-17 21:08 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.01%EV -28.46%E -17.79%K -47.43%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 41.99%EV +22.19%E +10.04%K +18.33%G +4.07% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 21:07 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -22.20%E -12.76%K -30.00%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV +21.63%E +9.83%K +18.03%G +3.90% | 2.9% | 2026-03-17 21:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -25.78%E -15.53%K -39.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV +21.63%E +9.83%K +18.03%G +3.90% | 5.7% | 2026-03-17 21:08 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -27.12%E -16.64%K -43.05%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV +21.63%E +9.83%K +18.03%G +3.90% | 6.8% | 2026-03-17 21:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -27.57%E -17.02%K -44.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +21.63%E +9.83%K +18.03%G +3.90% | 7.2% | 2026-03-17 21:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -24.88%E -14.81%K -36.59%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV +18.87%E +8.78%K +16.41%G +3.10% | 6.0% | 2026-03-17 21:11 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -26.67%E -16.26%K -41.67%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV +18.87%E +8.78%K +16.41%G +3.10% | 7.5% | 2026-03-17 21:07 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -26.67%E -16.26%K -41.67%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV +18.87%E +8.78%K +16.41%G +3.10% | 7.5% | 2026-03-17 21:07 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.30%EV -29.35%E -18.58%K -50.61%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.70%EV +17.21%E +8.12%K +15.37%G +2.64% | 10.5% | 2026-03-17 21:03 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -23.09%E -13.43%K -32.08%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV +15.00%E +7.21%K +13.89%G +2.08% | 6.2% | 2026-03-17 21:12 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -11.02%E -5.54%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -1.04%E -0.578%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-17 21:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.34%E -4.07%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.14%E -1.21%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-17 21:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.34%E -4.07%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.14%E -1.21%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-17 21:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.34%E -4.07%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.14%E -1.21%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-17 21:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.34%E -4.07%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.14%E -1.21%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-17 21:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.34%E -4.07%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.14%E -1.21%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-17 21:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.34%E -4.07%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.14%E -1.21%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-17 21:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.34%E -4.07%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.14%E -1.21%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-17 21:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -9.68%E -4.79%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -3.25%E -1.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-17 21:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -9.68%E -4.79%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -3.25%E -1.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-17 21:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -9.68%E -4.79%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -3.25%E -1.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-17 21:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -9.68%E -4.79%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -3.25%E -1.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-17 21:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -9.68%E -4.79%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -3.25%E -1.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-17 21:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.34%E -4.07%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.35%E -2.52%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-17 21:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.34%E -4.07%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.35%E -2.52%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-17 21:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.57%E -5.29%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.35%E -2.52%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-17 21:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.57%E -5.29%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.35%E -2.52%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-17 21:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.57%E -5.29%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.35%E -2.52%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-17 21:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.57%E -5.29%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.35%E -2.52%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-17 21:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.32%E -2.02%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.46%E -3.19%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-17 21:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.34%E -4.07%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.01%E -3.54%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 21:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -1.63%E -0.742%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.56%E -3.88%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-17 21:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.63%E -0.742%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.12%E -4.24%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-17 21:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.10%E -2.91%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.12%E -4.24%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-17 21:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.63%E -0.742%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.67%E -4.59%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-17 21:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.10%E -2.91%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.67%E -4.59%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-17 21:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.10%E -2.91%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.67%E -4.59%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-17 21:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.62%EV -7.89%E -3.83%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -8.22%E -4.95%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-17 21:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -10.57%E -5.29%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -8.22%E -4.95%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-17 21:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.63%E -0.742%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.78%E -5.32%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-17 21:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.63%E -0.742%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.78%E -5.32%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-17 21:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.63%E -0.742%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.78%E -5.32%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-17 21:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.87%E -1.80%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.78%E -5.32%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-17 21:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.87%E -1.80%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.78%E -5.32%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-17 21:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.87%E -1.80%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.78%E -5.32%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-17 21:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV +0.603%E +0.268%K +0.483%G +0.003% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -10.43%E -6.44%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-17 21:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -1.63%E -0.742%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -10.43%E -6.44%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-17 21:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -1.63%E -0.742%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -10.43%E -6.44%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-17 21:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -3.87%E -1.80%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -10.43%E -6.44%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-17 21:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -3.87%E -1.80%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -10.99%E -6.82%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-17 21:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 0.4% | 2026-03-17 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 0.6% | 2026-03-17 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 0.6% | 2026-03-17 21:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64% | 1.1% | 2026-03-17 21:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47% | 3.0% | 2026-03-17 21:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10% | 3.1% | 2026-03-17 21:20 |
| Novig◎ | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99% | 3.3% | 2026-03-17 21:20 |