La escuela de los momios

Katie Boulter v Jessica Bouzas Maneiro

Inicio: 2026-03-17 22:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Katie Boulter (Local)

Predicción 44.71%2.24momio equitativo
EV +0.603%
Ventaja +0.268%
Kelly +0.483%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.86%46.82%44.30%58.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.581.962.052.2563.29%50.97%48.78%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Visitante)

Predicción 55.29%1.81momio equitativo
EV +27.16%
Ventaja +11.81%
Kelly +20.89%
Crecimiento +5.67%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.33%53.18%55.70%58.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.611.851.752.3062.11%54.05%57.14%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -27.57%E -17.02%K -44.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +27.16%E +11.81%K +20.89%G +5.67%5.2%2026-03-17 21:06
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -24.44%E -14.46%K -35.41%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV +23.84%E +10.64%K +19.23%G +4.58%3.8%2026-03-17 21:09
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -24.44%E -14.46%K -35.41%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV +23.84%E +10.64%K +19.23%G +4.58%3.8%2026-03-17 21:09
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -26.22%E -15.89%K -40.35%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV +23.84%E +10.64%K +19.23%G +4.58%5.2%2026-03-17 21:04
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -25.78%E -15.53%K -39.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +23.29%E +10.44%K +18.94%G +4.41%5.1%2026-03-17 21:08
ReBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -25.78%E -15.53%K -39.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +23.29%E +10.44%K +18.94%G +4.41%5.1%2026-03-17 21:04
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -25.78%E -15.53%K -39.06%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV +22.74%E +10.24%K +18.64%G +4.24%5.3%2026-03-17 21:08
GTbets1.60I 62.50%NM 58.01%EV -28.46%E -17.79%K -47.43%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 41.99%EV +22.19%E +10.04%K +18.33%G +4.07%7.7%2026-03-17 21:07
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -22.20%E -12.76%K -30.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV +21.63%E +9.83%K +18.03%G +3.90%2.9%2026-03-17 21:10
Betr (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -25.78%E -15.53%K -39.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV +21.63%E +9.83%K +18.03%G +3.90%5.7%2026-03-17 21:08
Parions Sport (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -27.12%E -16.64%K -43.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV +21.63%E +9.83%K +18.03%G +3.90%6.8%2026-03-17 21:05
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -27.57%E -17.02%K -44.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +21.63%E +9.83%K +18.03%G +3.90%7.2%2026-03-17 21:09
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -24.88%E -14.81%K -36.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV +18.87%E +8.78%K +16.41%G +3.10%6.0%2026-03-17 21:11
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -26.67%E -16.26%K -41.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV +18.87%E +8.78%K +16.41%G +3.10%7.5%2026-03-17 21:07
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -26.67%E -16.26%K -41.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV +18.87%E +8.78%K +16.41%G +3.10%7.5%2026-03-17 21:07
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.30%EV -29.35%E -18.58%K -50.61%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.70%EV +17.21%E +8.12%K +15.37%G +2.64%10.5%2026-03-17 21:03
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -23.09%E -13.43%K -32.08%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV +15.00%E +7.21%K +13.89%G +2.08%6.2%2026-03-17 21:12
DraftKings1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -11.02%E -5.54%K -11.13%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -1.04%E -0.578%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 21:20
Unibet (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.34%E -4.07%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.14%E -1.21%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 21:20
Unibet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.34%E -4.07%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.14%E -1.21%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 21:20
Casumo2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.34%E -4.07%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.14%E -1.21%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 21:20
Svenska Spel2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.34%E -4.07%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.14%E -1.21%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 21:20
ATG (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.34%E -4.07%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.14%E -1.21%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 21:20
betPARX2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.34%E -4.07%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.14%E -1.21%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 21:20
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.34%E -4.07%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.14%E -1.21%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 21:20
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -9.68%E -4.79%K -9.49%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -3.25%E -1.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 21:20
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -9.68%E -4.79%K -9.49%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -3.25%E -1.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 21:20
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -9.68%E -4.79%K -9.49%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -3.25%E -1.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 21:20
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -9.68%E -4.79%K -9.49%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -3.25%E -1.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 21:20
Bally Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -9.68%E -4.79%K -9.49%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -3.25%E -1.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 21:20
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.34%E -4.07%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.35%E -2.52%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 21:20
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.34%E -4.07%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.35%E -2.52%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 21:15
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.57%E -5.29%K -10.57%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.35%E -2.52%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 21:20
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.57%E -5.29%K -10.57%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.35%E -2.52%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 21:20
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.57%E -5.29%K -10.57%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.35%E -2.52%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 21:20
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.57%E -5.29%K -10.57%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.35%E -2.52%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 21:20
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.32%E -2.02%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.46%E -3.19%K -7.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 21:20
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.34%E -4.07%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.01%E -3.54%K -8.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 21:20
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -1.63%E -0.742%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.56%E -3.88%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-17 21:20
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.63%E -0.742%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.12%E -4.24%K -10.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 21:20
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.10%E -2.91%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.12%E -4.24%K -10.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 21:20
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.63%E -0.742%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.67%E -4.59%K -11.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 21:20
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.10%E -2.91%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.67%E -4.59%K -11.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 21:20
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.10%E -2.91%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.67%E -4.59%K -11.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 21:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.62%EV -7.89%E -3.83%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -8.22%E -4.95%K -12.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 21:20
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -10.57%E -5.29%K -10.57%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -8.22%E -4.95%K -12.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-17 21:20
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.63%E -0.742%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.78%E -5.32%K -13.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 21:15
NordicBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.63%E -0.742%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.78%E -5.32%K -13.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 21:20
Betsson2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.63%E -0.742%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.78%E -5.32%K -13.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 21:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.87%E -1.80%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.78%E -5.32%K -13.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 21:20
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.87%E -1.80%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.78%E -5.32%K -13.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 21:20
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.87%E -1.80%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.78%E -5.32%K -13.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 21:20
Caesars2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV +0.603%E +0.268%K +0.483%G +0.003%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -10.43%E -6.44%K -16.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-17 21:20
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -1.63%E -0.742%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -10.43%E -6.44%K -16.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 21:20
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -1.63%E -0.742%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -10.43%E -6.44%K -16.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 21:20
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -3.87%E -1.80%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -10.43%E -6.44%K -16.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-17 21:20
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -3.87%E -1.80%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -10.99%E -6.82%K -18.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-17 21:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%0.4%2026-03-17 21:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-03-17 21:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-03-17 21:20
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%1.1%2026-03-17 21:20
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%3.0%2026-03-17 21:20
ProphetX2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%3.1%2026-03-17 21:20
Novig2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%3.3%2026-03-17 21:20