Language:English
Katie Boulter v Clara Tauson
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Katie Boulter (Local)
Prediction 55.03%1.82fair odd
EV +54.08%
Edge +19.31%
Kelly +30.04%
Growth +16.25%
assuming max odds 2.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.33%52.43%55.06%57.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.991.742.8062.11%50.21%57.47%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Clara Tauson (Visit)
Prediction 44.97%2.22fair odd
EV -1.06%
Edge -0.482%
Kelly -0.885%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.26%47.57%44.94%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.902.062.2071.43%52.66%48.54%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Katie Boulter (Local): 55.03%; Clara Tauson (Visit): 44.97%. For Katie Boulter (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.82. 19 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +54.08%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +54.08%E +19.31%K +30.04%G +16.25% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -37.04%E -26.46%K -92.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-20 18:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +51.33%E +18.66%K +29.33%G +15.05% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -35.24%E -24.47%K -80.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 18:17 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +51.33%E +18.66%K +29.33%G +15.05% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -37.04%E -26.46%K -92.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-20 18:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +51.33%E +18.66%K +29.33%G +15.05% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -37.04%E -26.46%K -92.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-20 18:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV +50.78%E +18.53%K +29.18%G +14.82% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -32.54%E -21.69%K -65.08%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-20 18:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +48.58%E +17.99%K +28.57%G +13.88% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -34.79%E -23.99%K -77.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 18:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV +46.92%E +17.57%K +28.10%G +13.19% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -33.89%E -23.06%K -72.11%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 18:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +45.82%E +17.29%K +27.77%G +12.73% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -33.44%E -22.60%K -69.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 18:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +45.82%E +17.29%K +27.77%G +12.73% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -33.89%E -23.06%K -72.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 18:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV +44.72%E +17.01%K +27.44%G +12.27% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -32.99%E -22.14%K -67.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 18:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV +44.17%E +16.86%K +27.27%G +12.04% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -34.79%E -23.99%K -77.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-20 18:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +43.07%E +16.57%K +26.92%G +11.60% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -32.09%E -21.25%K -62.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV +43.07%E +16.57%K +26.92%G +11.60% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -35.24%E -24.47%K -80.09%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-20 18:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV +43.07%E +16.57%K +26.92%G +11.60% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -35.24%E -24.47%K -80.09%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-20 18:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +40.32%E +15.81%K +26.01%G +10.49% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -32.54%E -21.69%K -65.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 18:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV +39.22%E +15.50%K +25.63%G +10.05% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -29.39%E -18.72%K -51.57%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-20 18:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV +38.12%E +15.19%K +25.25%G +9.62% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -30.74%E -19.96%K -56.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 18:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV +32.07%E +13.36%K +22.91%G +7.34% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -30.29%E -19.54%K -55.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-20 18:23 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV +0.701%E +0.383%K +0.845%G +0.006% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -10.06%E -5.03%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-20 18:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -1.50%E -0.838%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -6.46%E -3.10%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-20 18:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.60%E -1.47%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.81%E -3.81%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 18:28 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.70%E -2.11%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.46%E -3.10%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 18:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.70%E -2.11%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.46%E -3.10%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 18:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.70%E -2.11%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.46%E -3.10%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 18:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.70%E -2.11%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.46%E -3.10%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 18:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.70%E -2.11%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.46%E -3.10%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 18:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.70%E -2.11%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.46%E -3.10%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 18:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.70%E -2.11%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.46%E -3.10%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 18:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.70%E -2.11%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.06%E -5.03%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-20 18:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -4.25%E -2.44%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -7.36%E -3.57%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 18:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -4.25%E -2.44%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -7.36%E -3.57%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 18:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.80%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.66%E -2.20%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 18:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.80%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 18:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -4.80%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -8.26%E -4.05%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-20 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -4.80%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -8.26%E -4.05%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-20 18:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -4.80%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -8.26%E -4.05%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-20 18:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -4.80%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -8.26%E -4.05%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-20 18:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.90%E -3.45%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.31%E -1.54%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 18:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.90%E -3.45%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-20 18:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -5.90%E -3.45%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -9.16%E -4.53%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-20 18:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.45%E -3.80%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-20 18:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.45%E -3.80%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-20 18:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.45%E -3.80%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-20 18:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.45%E -3.80%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.46%E -3.10%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-20 18:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.45%E -3.80%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.06%E -5.03%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-20 18:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -7.00%E -4.14%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -10.06%E -5.03%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-20 18:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -7.55%E -4.50%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -2.86%E -1.32%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 18:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.10%E -4.85%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.31%E -1.54%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-20 18:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.10%E -4.85%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-20 18:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.10%E -4.85%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-20 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.10%E -4.85%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-20 18:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.10%E -4.85%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-20 18:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -8.65%E -5.21%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-20 18:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -8.65%E -5.21%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -10.06%E -5.03%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-20 18:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -9.20%E -5.58%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-20 18:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.41%E -7.08%K -18.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.06%E -0.482%K -0.885%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-20 18:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.41%E -7.08%K -18.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.06%E -0.482%K -0.885%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-20 18:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.41%E -7.08%K -18.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.06%E -0.482%K -0.885%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-20 18:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.41%E -7.08%K -18.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.06%E -0.482%K -0.885%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-20 18:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-03-20 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 0.8% | 2026-03-20 18:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-03-20 18:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36% | 1.1% | 2026-03-20 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60% | 1.2% | 2026-03-20 18:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67% | 3.0% | 2026-03-20 18:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 18:30 |