L’École des cotes

Katie Boulter v Clara Tauson

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-20 18:40 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Katie Boulter (Local)

Prévision 55.03%1.82cote équitable
EV +54.08%
Avantage +19.31%
Kelly +30.04%
Croissance +16.25%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.33%52.43%55.06%57.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.611.991.742.8062.11%50.21%57.47%35.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Clara Tauson (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.97%2.22cote équitable
EV -1.06%
Avantage -0.482%
Kelly -0.885%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.26%47.57%44.94%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.902.062.2071.43%52.66%48.54%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +54.08%E +19.31%K +30.04%G +16.25%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -37.04%E -26.46%K -92.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 18:20
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +51.33%E +18.66%K +29.33%G +15.05%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -35.24%E -24.47%K -80.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 18:17
SportsBet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +51.33%E +18.66%K +29.33%G +15.05%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -37.04%E -26.46%K -92.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-20 18:20
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +51.33%E +18.66%K +29.33%G +15.05%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -37.04%E -26.46%K -92.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-20 18:00
LowVig.ag2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV +50.78%E +18.53%K +29.18%G +14.82%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -32.54%E -21.69%K -65.08%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-20 18:24
Unibet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +48.58%E +17.99%K +28.57%G +13.88%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -34.79%E -23.99%K -77.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 18:05
Marathon Bet2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV +46.92%E +17.57%K +28.10%G +13.19%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -33.89%E -23.06%K -72.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 18:04
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +45.82%E +17.29%K +27.77%G +12.73%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -33.44%E -22.60%K -69.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 18:19
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +45.82%E +17.29%K +27.77%G +12.73%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -33.89%E -23.06%K -72.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 18:19
GTbets2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV +44.72%E +17.01%K +27.44%G +12.27%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -32.99%E -22.14%K -67.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 18:10
NetBet (FR)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV +44.17%E +16.86%K +27.27%G +12.04%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -34.79%E -23.99%K -77.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 18:15
ReBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +43.07%E +16.57%K +26.92%G +11.60%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -32.09%E -21.25%K -62.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 18:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV +43.07%E +16.57%K +26.92%G +11.60%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -35.24%E -24.47%K -80.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-20 18:00
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV +43.07%E +16.57%K +26.92%G +11.60%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -35.24%E -24.47%K -80.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-20 18:00
Parions Sport (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +40.32%E +15.81%K +26.01%G +10.49%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -32.54%E -21.69%K -65.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 18:10
BetOnline.ag2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV +39.22%E +15.50%K +25.63%G +10.05%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -29.39%E -18.72%K -51.57%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-20 18:24
1xBet2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV +38.12%E +15.19%K +25.25%G +9.62%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -30.74%E -19.96%K -56.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 18:10
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV +32.07%E +13.36%K +22.91%G +7.34%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -30.29%E -19.54%K -55.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 18:23
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV +0.701%E +0.383%K +0.845%G +0.006%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -10.06%E -5.03%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 18:29
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -1.50%E -0.838%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -6.46%E -3.10%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-20 18:30
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.60%E -1.47%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.81%E -3.81%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 18:28
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.70%E -2.11%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.46%E -3.10%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 18:30
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.70%E -2.11%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.46%E -3.10%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 18:30
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.70%E -2.11%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.46%E -3.10%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 18:30
Casumo1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.70%E -2.11%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.46%E -3.10%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 18:30
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.70%E -2.11%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.46%E -3.10%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 18:30
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.70%E -2.11%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.46%E -3.10%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 18:30
betPARX1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.70%E -2.11%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.46%E -3.10%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 18:30
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.70%E -2.11%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.06%E -5.03%K -10.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 18:29
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -4.25%E -2.44%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -7.36%E -3.57%K -6.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 18:30
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -4.25%E -2.44%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -7.36%E -3.57%K -6.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 18:30
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.80%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.66%E -2.20%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 18:30
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.80%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 18:29
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -4.80%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -8.26%E -4.05%K -7.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 18:30
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -4.80%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -8.26%E -4.05%K -7.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 18:30
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -4.80%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -8.26%E -4.05%K -7.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 18:30
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -4.80%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -8.26%E -4.05%K -7.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 18:30
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.90%E -3.45%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.31%E -1.54%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 18:30
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.90%E -3.45%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 18:29
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -5.90%E -3.45%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -9.16%E -4.53%K -8.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-20 18:30
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.45%E -3.80%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 18:30
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.45%E -3.80%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 18:30
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.45%E -3.80%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 18:30
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.45%E -3.80%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.46%E -3.10%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.45%E -3.80%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.06%E -5.03%K -10.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 18:30
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -7.00%E -4.14%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -10.06%E -5.03%K -10.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-20 18:30
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -7.55%E -4.50%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -2.86%E -1.32%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 18:29
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.10%E -4.85%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.31%E -1.54%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 18:30
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.10%E -4.85%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 18:30
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.10%E -4.85%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.10%E -4.85%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 18:30
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.10%E -4.85%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-20 18:30
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -8.65%E -5.21%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-20 18:29
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -8.65%E -5.21%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -10.06%E -5.03%K -10.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-20 18:30
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -9.20%E -5.58%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 18:29
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.41%E -7.08%K -18.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.06%E -0.482%K -0.885%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-20 18:30
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.41%E -7.08%K -18.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.06%E -0.482%K -0.885%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-20 18:30
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.41%E -7.08%K -18.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.06%E -0.482%K -0.885%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-20 18:30
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.41%E -7.08%K -18.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -1.06%E -0.482%K -0.885%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-20 18:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-03-20 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-03-20 18:30
ProphetX1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-03-20 18:30
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-03-20 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-03-20 18:30
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%3.0%2026-03-20 18:30
Novig1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%5.0%2026-03-20 18:30