Language:English
Karolina Muchova v Katie Boulter
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Karolina Muchova (Local)
Prediction 75.82%1.32fair odd
EV -2.94%
Edge -2.30%
Kelly -10.52%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.68%76.38%75.73%79.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.251.261.2884.75%79.95%79.37%78.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Katie Boulter (Visit)
Prediction 24.18%4.14fair odd
EV +12.42%
Edge +2.67%
Kelly +3.40%
Growth +0.422%
assuming max odds 4.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.38%23.62%24.27%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.893.804.6528.57%25.69%26.32%21.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Karolina Muchova (Local): 75.82%; Katie Boulter (Visit): 24.18%. For Katie Boulter (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.14. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.42%.
Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -9.77%E -8.21%K -51.41%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV +12.42%E +2.67%K +3.40%G +0.422% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.42%EV -9.01%E -7.51%K -45.05%G +0.000% | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.58%EV +11.93%E +2.58%K +3.29%G +0.392% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -10.53%E -8.92%K -58.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +8.79%E +1.95%K +2.51%G +0.221% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -9.01%E -7.51%K -45.05%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +4.68%E +1.08%K +1.41%G +0.066% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -9.01%E -7.51%K -45.05%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +4.68%E +1.08%K +1.41%G +0.066% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -9.01%E -7.51%K -45.05%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +4.68%E +1.08%K +1.41%G +0.066% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78%EV -3.70%E -2.92%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22%EV +1.54%E +0.366%K +0.480%G +0.007% | 2.5% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -0.881%E -0.215%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-21 20:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -3.06%E -0.762%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 20:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 20:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 20:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 19:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 20:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 20:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.54%EV -7.49%E -6.14%K -34.06%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.46%EV -3.78%E -0.950%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 20:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -4.51%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.72%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 20:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.72%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 19:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.72%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-21 19:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -9.01%E -7.51%K -45.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -5.72%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.92%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.92%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 19:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.92%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 20:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.92%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -2.94%E -2.30%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -7.41%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 20:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -2.94%E -2.30%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -7.41%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 20:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.70%E -2.92%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.70%E -2.92%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.70%E -2.92%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.70%E -2.92%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.70%E -2.92%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.70%E -2.92%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.70%E -2.92%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.70%E -2.92%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.70%E -2.92%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.70%E -2.92%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.70%E -2.92%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.70%E -2.92%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.70%E -2.92%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.70%E -2.92%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 19:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.98%E -4.82%K -24.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.70%E -2.92%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.34%E -2.49%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 20:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.70%E -2.92%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.34%E -2.49%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.34%E -2.49%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 20:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -3.70%E -2.92%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -9.58%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 19:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -7.49%E -6.14%K -34.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -10.55%E -2.85%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 20:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -11.76%E -3.22%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 20:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -11.76%E -3.22%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 20:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 20:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 20:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 20:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -6.74%E -5.48%K -29.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 19:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -15.39%E -4.40%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 19:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 0.5% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.05% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.95% | 0.6% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.71% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 23.29% | 1.0% | 2026-03-21 20:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.4% | 2026-03-21 20:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.4% | 2026-03-21 20:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |