L’École des cotes

Karolina Muchova v Katie Boulter

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 20:07 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Karolina Muchova (Local)

Prévision 75.82%1.32cote équitable
EV -2.94%
Avantage -2.30%
Kelly -10.52%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
73.68%76.38%75.73%79.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.181.251.261.2884.75%79.95%79.37%78.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Katie Boulter (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.18%4.14cote équitable
EV +12.42%
Avantage +2.67%
Kelly +3.40%
Croissance +0.422%

avec la cote maximale 4.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.38%23.62%24.27%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.893.804.6528.57%25.69%26.32%21.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
theScore Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -9.77%E -8.21%K -51.41%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV +12.42%E +2.67%K +3.40%G +0.422%5.5%2026-03-21 20:04
DraftKings1.20I 83.33%NM 79.42%EV -9.01%E -7.51%K -45.05%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.58%EV +11.93%E +2.58%K +3.29%G +0.392%4.9%2026-03-21 20:04
PointsBet (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -10.53%E -8.92%K -58.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +8.79%E +1.95%K +2.51%G +0.221%7.0%2026-03-21 20:04
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -9.01%E -7.51%K -45.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +4.68%E +1.08%K +1.41%G +0.066%6.4%2026-03-21 20:04
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -9.01%E -7.51%K -45.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +4.68%E +1.08%K +1.41%G +0.066%6.4%2026-03-21 20:04
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -9.01%E -7.51%K -45.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +4.68%E +1.08%K +1.41%G +0.066%6.4%2026-03-21 20:04
Pinnacle1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78%EV -3.70%E -2.92%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22%EV +1.54%E +0.366%K +0.480%G +0.007%2.5%2026-03-21 20:04
Winamax (DE)1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -0.881%E -0.215%K -0.284%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-21 20:00
1xBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -3.06%E -0.762%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 20:00
Bet Right1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 20:00
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 20:00
Bovada1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 19:59
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 20:00
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.30%E -0.825%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 20:00
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.54%EV -7.49%E -6.14%K -34.06%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.46%EV -3.78%E -0.950%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 20:00
Winamax (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -4.51%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:00
FanDuel1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.72%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 20:00
ReBet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.72%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 19:49
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.72%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 19:49
Fliff1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -9.01%E -7.51%K -45.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -5.72%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 20:05
Fanatics1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.92%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 20:05
Unibet (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.92%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 19:55
Betr (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.92%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 20:00
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.92%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 20:05
LowVig.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -2.94%E -2.30%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -7.41%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 20:00
BetOnline.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -2.94%E -2.30%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -7.41%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 20:00
Coolbet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.70%E -2.92%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 20:04
TABtouch1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.70%E -2.92%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 20:04
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.70%E -2.92%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 20:04
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.70%E -2.92%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 20:04
LeoVegas1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.70%E -2.92%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 20:04
Grosvenor1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.70%E -2.92%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 20:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.70%E -2.92%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 20:04
Casumo1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.70%E -2.92%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 20:04
BetRivers1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.70%E -2.92%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 20:04
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.70%E -2.92%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 20:05
Svenska Spel1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.70%E -2.92%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 20:04
ATG (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.70%E -2.92%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 20:04
Bally Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.70%E -2.92%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 20:04
betPARX1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.70%E -2.92%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 20:04
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 20:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 20:05
Caesars1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 19:59
BetMGM1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.98%E -4.82%K -24.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 20:04
BetUS1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.70%E -2.92%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.34%E -2.49%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 20:00
Hard Rock Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.70%E -2.92%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.34%E -2.49%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 20:04
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.34%E -2.49%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 20:00
Marathon Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -3.70%E -2.92%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -9.58%E -2.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 19:49
PMU (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -7.49%E -6.14%K -34.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -10.55%E -2.85%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 20:00
LiveScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -11.76%E -3.22%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 20:00
Virgin Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -11.76%E -3.22%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 20:00
Neds1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 20:00
TAB1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.46%E -3.54%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 20:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -6.74%E -5.48%K -29.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -12.97%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 19:49
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -5.22%E -4.18%K -20.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -15.39%E -4.40%K -6.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 19:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%0.5%2026-03-21 20:05
Novig1.29I 77.52%NM 77.05%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.95%0.6%2026-03-21 20:04
ProphetX1.29I 77.52%NM 76.71%4.25I 23.53%NM 23.29%1.0%2026-03-21 20:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-03-21 20:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-03-21 20:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-03-21 20:05
Smarkets1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%3.4%2026-03-21 20:05