Language:English
Kamilla Rakhimova v Marta Kostyuk
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kamilla Rakhimova (Local)
Prediction 24.01%4.16fair odd
EV +5.66%
Edge +1.29%
Kelly +1.67%
Growth +0.094%
assuming max odds 4.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.57%24.11%23.81%27.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.944.004.4029.41%25.40%25.00%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Marta Kostyuk (Visit)
Prediction 75.99%1.32fair odd
EV -1.98%
Edge -1.53%
Kelly -6.82%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.49%75.89%76.19%78.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.191.241.241.2984.03%80.71%80.65%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kamilla Rakhimova (Local): 24.01%; Marta Kostyuk (Visit): 75.99%. For Kamilla Rakhimova (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.16. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.66%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +5.66%E +1.29%K +1.67%G +0.094% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -8.06%E -6.66%K -38.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 00:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.38I 22.83%NM 22.20%EV +5.18%E +1.18%K +1.53%G +0.079% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.80%EV -5.02%E -4.01%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-21 00:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV +3.26%E +0.758%K +0.988%G +0.032% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -9.58%E -8.05%K -50.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 00:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV +2.06%E +0.485%K +0.634%G +0.013% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -8.82%E -7.35%K -44.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 00:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.859%E +0.205%K +0.269%G +0.002% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.30%E -5.98%K -33.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 00:13 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.13%EV -1.06%E -0.258%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.87%EV -5.78%E -4.66%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 00:16 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.54%E -0.376%K -0.497%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.78%E -4.66%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 00:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -1.54%E -0.376%K -0.497%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.30%E -5.98%K -33.17%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 00:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -1.54%E -0.376%K -0.497%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -8.06%E -6.66%K -38.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 00:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -1.54%E -0.376%K -0.497%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -8.06%E -6.66%K -38.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 00:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -1.54%E -0.376%K -0.497%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -8.82%E -7.35%K -44.08%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 00:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -2.74%E -0.677%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -5.78%E -4.66%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 00:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -2.74%E -0.677%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -6.54%E -5.31%K -28.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 00:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV -2.98%E -0.738%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -4.26%E -3.38%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-21 00:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV -2.98%E -0.738%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -4.26%E -3.38%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-21 00:18 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.94%E -0.986%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.26%E -3.38%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 00:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.94%E -0.986%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.02%E -4.01%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 00:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.94%E -0.986%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.02%E -4.01%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 00:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.94%E -0.986%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.02%E -4.01%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 00:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.94%E -0.986%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.02%E -4.01%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 00:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.94%E -0.986%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.02%E -4.01%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 00:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -3.94%E -0.986%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.78%E -4.66%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-21 00:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.94%E -0.986%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.30%E -5.98%K -33.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 00:18 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.94%E -0.986%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.30%E -5.98%K -33.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 00:18 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -3.94%E -0.986%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.82%E -7.35%K -44.08%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 00:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.02%E -4.01%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 00:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.02%E -4.01%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 00:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.02%E -4.01%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 00:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.03%EV -5.86%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.97%EV -5.78%E -4.66%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 00:16 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.56%EV -7.07%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.44%EV -4.26%E -3.38%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 00:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.55%E -1.96%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.02%E -4.01%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 00:17 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -7.55%E -1.96%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.78%E -4.66%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 00:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.75%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.78%E -4.66%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 00:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.75%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.78%E -4.66%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 00:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.75%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.78%E -4.66%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 00:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -9.95%E -2.65%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -1.98%E -1.53%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 00:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -9.95%E -2.65%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.78%E -4.66%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 00:18 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.95%E -2.65%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.30%E -5.98%K -33.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 00:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.95%E -2.65%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.30%E -5.98%K -33.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 00:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.95%E -2.65%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.30%E -5.98%K -33.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 00:13 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.15%E -3.01%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.02%E -4.01%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 00:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -11.15%E -3.01%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -5.78%E -4.66%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 00:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -11.15%E -3.01%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -5.78%E -4.66%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 00:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.55%E -3.76%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.02%E -4.01%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 00:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.55%E -3.76%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.02%E -4.01%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 00:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -15.95%E -4.56%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -1.98%E -1.53%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 00:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -18.35%E -5.40%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -1.98%E -1.53%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 00:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85% | 0.3% | 2026-03-21 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-03-21 00:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34% | 2.6% | 2026-03-21 00:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88% | 2.7% | 2026-03-21 00:18 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35% | 3.1% | 2026-03-21 00:20 |