L’École des cotes

Kamilla Rakhimova v Marta Kostyuk

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 00:21 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Kamilla Rakhimova (Local)

Prévision 24.01%4.16cote équitable
EV +5.66%
Avantage +1.29%
Kelly +1.67%
Croissance +0.094%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.57%24.11%23.81%27.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.944.004.4029.41%25.40%25.00%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Marta Kostyuk (Visiteur)

Prévision 75.99%1.32cote équitable
EV -1.98%
Avantage -1.53%
Kelly -6.82%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.29

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.49%75.89%76.19%78.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.191.241.241.2984.03%80.71%80.65%77.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
FanDuel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +5.66%E +1.29%K +1.67%G +0.094%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -8.06%E -6.66%K -38.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 00:20
Pinnacle4.38I 22.83%NM 22.20%EV +5.18%E +1.18%K +1.53%G +0.079%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.80%EV -5.02%E -4.01%K -20.07%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-21 00:20
Winamax (DE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV +3.26%E +0.758%K +0.988%G +0.032%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -9.58%E -8.05%K -50.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 00:20
PointsBet (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV +2.06%E +0.485%K +0.634%G +0.013%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -8.82%E -7.35%K -44.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 00:20
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.859%E +0.205%K +0.269%G +0.002%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.30%E -5.98%K -33.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 00:13
GTbets4.12I 24.27%NM 23.13%EV -1.06%E -0.258%K -0.340%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.87%EV -5.78%E -4.66%K -24.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 00:16
Bet Right4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.54%E -0.376%K -0.497%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.78%E -4.66%K -24.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 00:14
TABtouch4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -1.54%E -0.376%K -0.497%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.30%E -5.98%K -33.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 00:20
Winamax (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -1.54%E -0.376%K -0.497%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -8.06%E -6.66%K -38.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 00:20
LiveScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -1.54%E -0.376%K -0.497%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -8.06%E -6.66%K -38.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 00:20
LeoVegas4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -1.54%E -0.376%K -0.497%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -8.82%E -7.35%K -44.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 00:20
Marathon Bet4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -2.74%E -0.677%K -0.899%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -5.78%E -4.66%K -24.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 00:09
Betr (AU)4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -2.74%E -0.677%K -0.899%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -6.54%E -5.31%K -28.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 00:14
BetOnline.ag4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV -2.98%E -0.738%K -0.981%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -4.26%E -3.38%K -16.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 00:19
LowVig.ag4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV -2.98%E -0.738%K -0.981%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -4.26%E -3.38%K -16.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 00:18
BetAnything4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.94%E -0.986%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.26%E -3.38%K -16.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 00:19
Betsson4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.94%E -0.986%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.02%E -4.01%K -20.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 00:19
NordicBet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.94%E -0.986%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.02%E -4.01%K -20.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 00:19
Coolbet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.94%E -0.986%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.02%E -4.01%K -20.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 00:20
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.94%E -0.986%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.02%E -4.01%K -20.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 00:20
BetUS4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.94%E -0.986%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.02%E -4.01%K -20.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 00:19
Unibet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -3.94%E -0.986%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.78%E -4.66%K -24.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 00:20
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.94%E -0.986%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.30%E -5.98%K -33.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 00:18
PMU (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.94%E -0.986%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.30%E -5.98%K -33.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 00:18
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -3.94%E -0.986%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.82%E -7.35%K -44.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 00:20
Casumo3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.02%E -4.01%K -20.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 00:20
Unibet (NL)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.02%E -4.01%K -20.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 00:20
Unibet (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.14%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.02%E -4.01%K -20.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 00:20
Unibet (FR)3.92I 25.51%NM 24.03%EV -5.86%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.97%EV -5.78%E -4.66%K -24.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 00:16
DraftKings3.87I 25.84%NM 24.56%EV -7.07%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.44%EV -4.26%E -3.38%K -16.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 00:20
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.55%E -1.96%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.02%E -4.01%K -20.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 00:17
BetRivers3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -7.55%E -1.96%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.78%E -4.66%K -24.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 00:20
TAB3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.75%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.78%E -4.66%K -24.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 00:20
Grosvenor3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.75%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.78%E -4.66%K -24.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 00:20
Virgin Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.75%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.78%E -4.66%K -24.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 00:20
Bovada3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -9.95%E -2.65%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -1.98%E -1.53%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 00:20
BetMGM3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -9.95%E -2.65%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.78%E -4.66%K -24.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 00:18
Fanatics3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.95%E -2.65%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.30%E -5.98%K -33.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.95%E -2.65%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.30%E -5.98%K -33.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 00:20
Everygame3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.95%E -2.65%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.30%E -5.98%K -33.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 00:13
Ladbrokes (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.15%E -3.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.02%E -4.01%K -20.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -11.15%E -3.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -5.78%E -4.66%K -24.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 00:15
Neds3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -11.15%E -3.01%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -5.78%E -4.66%K -24.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 00:15
Coral3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.55%E -3.76%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.02%E -4.01%K -20.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 00:20
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.55%E -3.76%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.02%E -4.01%K -20.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 00:20
888sport3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -15.95%E -4.56%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -1.98%E -1.53%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 00:20
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -18.35%E -5.40%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -1.98%E -1.53%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 00:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%0.3%2026-03-21 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-03-21 00:20
Matchbook4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34%2.6%2026-03-21 00:20
Smarkets4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88%2.7%2026-03-21 00:18
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%3.1%2026-03-21 00:20