A Escola das Odds

Iva Jović v Paula Badosa

Início: 2026-03-21 15:10 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Iva Jović (Local)

Previsão 59.85%1.67odd justa
EV -1.84%
Vantagem -1.12%
Kelly -2.87%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.64

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.74%59.82%59.87%62.07%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.531.581.591.6465.36%63.13%62.89%60.98%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Paula Badosa (Visitante)

Previsão 40.15%2.49odd justa
EV +1.17%
Vantagem +0.464%
Kelly +0.769%
Crescimento +0.009%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.52

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.93%40.18%40.13%42.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.202.352.352.5245.45%42.57%42.55%39.68%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -6.63%E -4.25%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV +1.17%E +0.464%K +0.769%G +0.009%3.8%2026-03-21 14:59
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -6.63%E -4.25%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV +1.17%E +0.464%K +0.769%G +0.009%3.8%2026-03-21 14:59
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -7.83%E -5.08%K -14.49%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV +1.17%E +0.464%K +0.769%G +0.009%4.6%2026-03-21 15:00
BetUS1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.63%E -4.25%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +0.366%E +0.146%K +0.244%G +0.001%4.1%2026-03-21 14:59
Coolbet1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.64%E -2.26%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.64%E -0.670%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-21 15:00
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -7.83%E -5.08%K -14.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -1.64%E -0.670%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 15:05
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%EV -3.04%E -1.87%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%EV -2.04%E -0.837%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-21 14:59
FanDuel1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -5.43%E -3.44%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -2.85%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 14:59
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.23%E -2.65%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.65%E -1.52%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 14:59
Bovada1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.83%E -3.04%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.65%E -1.52%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 14:59
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.65%E -1.52%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 14:59
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.23%E -4.66%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.65%E -1.52%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 15:00
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.23%E -2.65%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.45%E -1.87%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 15:00
Marathon Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.43%E -3.44%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.45%E -1.87%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 14:59
PMU (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.42%E -5.51%K -15.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.45%E -1.87%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:59
GTbets1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -1.84%E -1.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -4.85%E -2.05%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-21 15:00
ReBet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.83%E -3.04%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.85%E -2.05%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 14:59
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -7.23%E -4.66%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -4.85%E -2.05%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 15:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -7.23%E -4.66%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -4.85%E -2.05%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 15:04
SportsBet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.61%EV -7.83%E -5.08%K -14.49%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.39%EV -4.85%E -2.05%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 15:00
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.64%E -2.26%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 14:59
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.64%E -2.26%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 14:59
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.23%E -2.65%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 14:59
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.23%E -2.65%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.23%E -2.65%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 15:00
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.23%E -2.65%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 14:59
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.23%E -2.65%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 15:00
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.23%E -2.65%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 14:59
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.23%E -2.65%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 15:00
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.23%E -2.65%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 14:59
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.23%E -2.65%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 14:59
Bally Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.23%E -2.65%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 14:59
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.23%E -2.65%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 15:00
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.23%E -2.65%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 14:59
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.23%E -2.65%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 14:59
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.83%E -3.04%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 15:00
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.43%E -3.44%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 15:00
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.43%E -3.44%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 14:59
NordicBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 15:04
Betsson1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 15:04
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.23%E -2.65%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -6.06%E -2.59%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 14:59
Unibet (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -4.83%E -3.04%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -6.86%E -2.96%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 15:05
NetBet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -8.42%E -5.51%K -15.89%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV -6.86%E -2.96%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 14:59
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.04%E -1.87%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 14:59
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.04%E -1.87%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 15:05
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.23%E -2.65%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 15:04
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.83%E -3.04%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 14:59
Parions Sport (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.43%E -3.44%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 14:59
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.43%E -3.44%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 14:59
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 15:04
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 15:04
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 14:59
Everygame1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.23%E -4.66%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 14:59
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.42%E -5.51%K -15.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 14:58
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -3.64%E -2.26%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -9.67%E -4.30%K -7.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 15:03
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -5.43%E -3.44%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -9.67%E -4.30%K -7.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 15:00
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -5.43%E -3.44%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -9.67%E -4.30%K -7.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 15:00
PointsBet (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -7.23%E -4.66%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -9.67%E -4.30%K -7.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 15:04
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.64%E -2.26%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -11.68%E -5.31%K -9.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 15:04
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.64%E -2.26%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -11.68%E -5.31%K -9.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 15:04
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.64%E -2.26%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -11.68%E -5.31%K -9.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 15:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-03-21 15:00
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-03-21 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-03-21 15:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-03-21 15:05
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.1%2026-03-21 15:00
Novig1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%2.7%2026-03-21 15:04
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%8.0%2026-03-21 15:05