La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Iva Jović v Paula Badosa
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Iva Jović (Local)
Predicción 59.85%1.67momio equitativo
EV -1.84%
Ventaja -1.12%
Kelly -2.87%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.64
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.74%59.82%59.87%62.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.581.591.6465.36%63.13%62.89%60.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Paula Badosa (Visitante)
Predicción 40.15%2.49momio equitativo
EV +1.17%
Ventaja +0.464%
Kelly +0.769%
Crecimiento +0.009%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.52
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.93%40.18%40.13%42.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.352.352.5245.45%42.57%42.55%39.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -6.63%E -4.25%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV +1.17%E +0.464%K +0.769%G +0.009% | 3.8% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -6.63%E -4.25%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV +1.17%E +0.464%K +0.769%G +0.009% | 3.8% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -7.83%E -5.08%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV +1.17%E +0.464%K +0.769%G +0.009% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| BetUS | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.63%E -4.25%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +0.366%E +0.146%K +0.244%G +0.001% | 4.1% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.64%E -2.26%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.64%E -0.670%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -7.83%E -5.08%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -1.64%E -0.670%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 15:05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%EV -3.04%E -1.87%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%EV -2.04%E -0.837%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -5.43%E -3.44%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -2.85%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.23%E -2.65%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.65%E -1.52%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| Bovada | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.83%E -3.04%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.65%E -1.52%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.65%E -1.52%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| Betway | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.23%E -4.66%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.65%E -1.52%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.23%E -2.65%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.45%E -1.87%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.43%E -3.44%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.45%E -1.87%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.42%E -5.51%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.45%E -1.87%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| GTbets | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -1.84%E -1.12%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -4.85%E -2.05%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| ReBet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.83%E -3.04%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.85%E -2.05%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| Coral | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -7.23%E -4.66%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -4.85%E -2.05%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 15:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -7.23%E -4.66%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -4.85%E -2.05%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 15:04 |
| SportsBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.61%EV -7.83%E -5.08%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.39%EV -4.85%E -2.05%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.64%E -2.26%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.64%E -2.26%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.23%E -2.65%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.23%E -2.65%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.23%E -2.65%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| Casumo | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.23%E -2.65%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.23%E -2.65%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.23%E -2.65%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.23%E -2.65%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.23%E -2.65%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| Unibet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.23%E -2.65%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| Bally Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.23%E -2.65%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| betPARX | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.23%E -2.65%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.23%E -2.65%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.23%E -2.65%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| Fanatics | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.83%E -3.04%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.43%E -3.44%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.43%E -3.44%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 15:04 |
| Betsson | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 15:04 |
| Bet Right | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.23%E -2.65%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -6.06%E -2.59%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -4.83%E -3.04%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -6.86%E -2.96%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 15:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -8.42%E -5.51%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV -6.86%E -2.96%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| William Hill | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.04%E -1.87%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.04%E -1.87%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 15:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.23%E -2.65%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 15:04 |
| Caesars | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.83%E -3.04%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.43%E -3.44%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| TAB | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.43%E -3.44%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 15:04 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 15:04 |
| Fliff | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| Everygame | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.23%E -4.66%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.42%E -5.51%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 14:58 |
| BetMGM | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -3.64%E -2.26%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -9.67%E -4.30%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 15:03 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -5.43%E -3.44%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -9.67%E -4.30%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| Neds | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -5.43%E -3.44%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -9.67%E -4.30%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -7.23%E -4.66%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -9.67%E -4.30%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 15:04 |
| 888sport | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.64%E -2.26%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -11.68%E -5.31%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 15:04 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.64%E -2.26%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -11.68%E -5.31%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 15:04 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.64%E -2.26%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -11.68%E -5.31%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 15:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 0.4% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 0.4% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-03-21 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 0.7% | 2026-03-21 15:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94% | 1.1% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| Novig | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35% | 2.7% | 2026-03-21 15:04 |
| Smarkets | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 15:05 |