Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Iva Jović v Paula Badosa

Inizio: 2026-03-21 15:10 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

61 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Iva Jović (Casa)

Previsione 59.85%1.67quota equa
EV -1.84%
Vantaggio -1.12%
Kelly -2.87%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.64

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.74%59.82%59.87%62.07%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.531.581.591.6465.36%63.13%62.89%60.98%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Paula Badosa (Trasferta)

Previsione 40.15%2.49quota equa
EV +1.17%
Vantaggio +0.464%
Kelly +0.769%
Crescita +0.009%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.52

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.93%40.18%40.13%42.26%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.352.352.5245.45%42.57%42.55%39.68%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Iva Jović (Casa): 59.85%; Paula Badosa (Trasferta): 40.15%. Per Paula Badosa (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.49. 4 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 2.52, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +1.17%.

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -6.63%E -4.25%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV +1.17%E +0.464%K +0.769%G +0.009%3.8%2026-03-21 14:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -6.63%E -4.25%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV +1.17%E +0.464%K +0.769%G +0.009%3.8%2026-03-21 14:59
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -7.83%E -5.08%K -14.49%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV +1.17%E +0.464%K +0.769%G +0.009%4.6%2026-03-21 15:00
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.63%E -4.25%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +0.366%E +0.146%K +0.244%G +0.001%4.1%2026-03-21 14:59
Coolbet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.64%E -2.26%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.64%E -0.670%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-21 15:00
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -7.83%E -5.08%K -14.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -1.64%E -0.670%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 15:05
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%EV -3.04%E -1.87%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%EV -2.04%E -0.837%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-21 14:59
FanDuel🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -5.43%E -3.44%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -2.85%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 14:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.23%E -2.65%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.65%E -1.52%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 14:59
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.83%E -3.04%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.65%E -1.52%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 14:59
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.65%E -1.52%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 14:59
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.23%E -4.66%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.65%E -1.52%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 15:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.23%E -2.65%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.45%E -1.87%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 15:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.43%E -3.44%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.45%E -1.87%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 14:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.42%E -5.51%K -15.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.45%E -1.87%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:59
GTbets🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -1.84%E -1.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -4.85%E -2.05%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-21 15:00
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.83%E -3.04%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.85%E -2.05%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 14:59
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -7.23%E -4.66%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -4.85%E -2.05%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 15:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -7.23%E -4.66%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -4.85%E -2.05%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 15:04
SportsBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.61%EV -7.83%E -5.08%K -14.49%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.39%EV -4.85%E -2.05%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 15:00
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.64%E -2.26%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 14:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.64%E -2.26%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 14:59
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.23%E -2.65%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 14:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.23%E -2.65%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.23%E -2.65%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 15:00
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.23%E -2.65%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 14:59
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.23%E -2.65%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 15:00
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.23%E -2.65%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 14:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.23%E -2.65%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 15:00
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.23%E -2.65%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 14:59
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.23%E -2.65%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 14:59
Bally Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.23%E -2.65%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 14:59
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.23%E -2.65%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 15:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.23%E -2.65%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 14:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.23%E -2.65%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 14:59
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.83%E -3.04%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 15:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.43%E -3.44%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 15:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.43%E -3.44%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 14:59
NordicBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 15:04
Betsson🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 15:04
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.23%E -2.65%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -6.06%E -2.59%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 14:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -4.83%E -3.04%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -6.86%E -2.96%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 15:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -8.42%E -5.51%K -15.89%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV -6.86%E -2.96%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 14:59
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.04%E -1.87%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 14:59
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.04%E -1.87%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 15:05
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.23%E -2.65%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 15:04
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.83%E -3.04%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 14:59
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.43%E -3.44%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 14:59
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.43%E -3.44%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 14:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 15:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 15:04
Fliff🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 14:59
Everygame🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.23%E -4.66%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 14:59
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.42%E -5.51%K -15.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 14:58
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -3.64%E -2.26%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -9.67%E -4.30%K -7.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 15:03
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -5.43%E -3.44%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -9.67%E -4.30%K -7.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 15:00
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -5.43%E -3.44%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -9.67%E -4.30%K -7.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 15:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -7.23%E -4.66%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -9.67%E -4.30%K -7.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 15:04
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.64%E -2.26%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -11.68%E -5.31%K -9.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 15:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.64%E -2.26%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -11.68%E -5.31%K -9.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 15:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.64%E -2.26%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -11.68%E -5.31%K -9.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 15:04
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-03-21 15:00
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-03-21 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-03-21 15:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-03-21 15:05
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.1%2026-03-21 15:00
Novig1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%2.7%2026-03-21 15:04
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%8.0%2026-03-21 15:05