Language:English
Hailey Baptiste v Tatjana Maria
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hailey Baptiste (Local)
Prediction 76.60%1.31fair odd
EV -1.96%
Edge -1.53%
Kelly -6.99%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.92%76.79%76.63%80.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.231.221.2885.47%81.63%81.97%78.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tatjana Maria (Visit)
Prediction 23.40%4.27fair odd
EV +12.10%
Edge +2.53%
Kelly +3.19%
Growth +0.387%
assuming max odds 4.79
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.90%23.21%23.37%26.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.094.004.7927.78%24.44%25.00%20.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hailey Baptiste (Local): 76.60%; Tatjana Maria (Visit): 23.40%. For Tatjana Maria (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.27. 19 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.79, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.10%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.10%EV -8.85%E -7.44%K -46.58%G +0.000% | 4.79I 20.88%NM 19.90%EV +12.10%E +2.53%K +3.19%G +0.387% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 20:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.10%EV -8.85%E -7.44%K -46.58%G +0.000% | 4.79I 20.88%NM 19.90%EV +12.10%E +2.53%K +3.19%G +0.387% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 20:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -10.38%E -8.87%K -61.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV +7.66%E +1.66%K +2.13%G +0.163% | 7.2% | 2026-03-19 20:05 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -8.85%E -7.44%K -46.58%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV +6.49%E +1.43%K +1.83%G +0.119% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 20:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -7.32%E -6.05%K -34.85%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV +6.25%E +1.38%K +1.77%G +0.110% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 20:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +5.32%E +1.18%K +1.52%G +0.081% | 4.2% | 2026-03-19 20:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -7.32%E -6.05%K -34.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +5.32%E +1.18%K +1.52%G +0.081% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 20:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -7.32%E -6.05%K -34.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +5.32%E +1.18%K +1.52%G +0.081% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 20:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -7.32%E -6.05%K -34.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +5.32%E +1.18%K +1.52%G +0.081% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 20:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.08%E -6.74%K -40.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +5.32%E +1.18%K +1.52%G +0.081% | 5.6% | 2026-03-19 20:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -9.62%E -8.15%K -53.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +5.32%E +1.18%K +1.52%G +0.081% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 20:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.66%EV -7.32%E -6.05%K -34.85%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.34%EV +4.38%E +0.982%K +1.27%G +0.055% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 20:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.33%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.67%EV +3.21%E +0.728%K +0.941%G +0.030% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 20:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.32%E -6.05%K -34.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +2.98%E +0.676%K +0.875%G +0.026% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 20:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -8.08%E -6.74%K -40.42%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +2.98%E +0.676%K +0.875%G +0.026% | 6.1% | 2026-03-19 20:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -8.08%E -6.74%K -40.42%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +2.98%E +0.676%K +0.875%G +0.026% | 6.1% | 2026-03-19 20:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -9.62%E -8.15%K -53.42%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV +2.98%E +0.676%K +0.875%G +0.026% | 7.5% | 2026-03-19 20:33 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +1.81%E +0.415%K +0.539%G +0.010% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 20:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -9.62%E -8.15%K -53.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV +0.636%E +0.148%K +0.193%G +0.001% | 8.0% | 2026-03-19 20:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.534%E -0.126%K -0.164%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 20:28 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.534%E -0.126%K -0.164%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 20:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.08%E -6.74%K -40.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.70%E -0.406%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 20:03 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.02%E -4.05%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.04%E -0.987%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 20:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -8.08%E -6.74%K -40.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -4.04%E -0.987%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-19 20:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -8.08%E -6.74%K -40.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -4.04%E -0.987%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-19 20:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.12%EV -1.96%E -1.53%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.88%EV -4.51%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-19 20:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.25%E -3.40%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 20:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.25%E -3.40%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 20:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.25%E -3.40%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 20:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.25%E -3.40%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 20:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.02%E -4.05%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-19 20:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 20:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 20:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 20:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 20:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 20:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 20:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -7.32%E -6.05%K -34.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-19 20:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.73%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-19 20:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.73%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-19 20:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -7.32%E -6.05%K -34.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -8.73%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-19 20:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.49%E -2.77%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 20:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.49%E -2.77%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 20:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.49%E -2.77%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 20:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.49%E -2.77%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 20:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.49%E -2.77%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 20:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.49%E -2.77%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 20:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -5.79%E -4.70%K -25.16%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-19 20:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%EV -7.32%E -6.05%K -34.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -11.07%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-19 20:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -3.49%E -2.77%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -12.24%E -3.26%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 20:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.25%E -3.40%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.24%E -3.26%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-19 20:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.24%E -3.26%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-19 20:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.25%E -3.40%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -13.41%E -3.62%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 20:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.25%E -3.40%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -13.41%E -3.62%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 20:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.25%E -3.40%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -13.41%E -3.62%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 20:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.25%E -3.40%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -13.41%E -3.62%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 20:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -5.02%E -4.05%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -14.58%E -3.99%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-19 20:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -5.79%E -4.70%K -25.16%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -14.58%E -3.99%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-19 20:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -2.72%E -2.14%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -15.75%E -4.37%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-19 20:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.25%E -3.40%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -15.75%E -4.37%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-19 20:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-03-19 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07% | 1.3% | 2026-03-19 20:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07% | 1.3% | 2026-03-19 20:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.16% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.84% | 1.8% | 2026-03-19 20:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.07% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93% | 1.9% | 2026-03-19 20:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74% | 2.2% | 2026-03-19 20:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96% | 3.7% | 2026-03-19 20:50 |