L’École des cotes

Hailey Baptiste v Tatjana Maria

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-19 21:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Hailey Baptiste (Local)

Prévision 76.60%1.31cote équitable
EV -1.96%
Avantage -1.53%
Kelly -6.99%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
73.92%76.79%76.63%80.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.171.231.221.2885.47%81.63%81.97%78.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Tatjana Maria (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.40%4.27cote équitable
EV +12.10%
Avantage +2.53%
Kelly +3.19%
Croissance +0.387%

avec la cote maximale 4.79

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.90%23.21%23.37%26.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.094.004.7927.78%24.44%25.00%20.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.19I 84.03%NM 80.10%EV -8.85%E -7.44%K -46.58%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 19.90%EV +12.10%E +2.53%K +3.19%G +0.387%4.9%2026-03-19 20:04
BetOnline.ag1.19I 84.03%NM 80.10%EV -8.85%E -7.44%K -46.58%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 19.90%EV +12.10%E +2.53%K +3.19%G +0.387%4.9%2026-03-19 20:05
SportsBet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -10.38%E -8.87%K -61.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV +7.66%E +1.66%K +2.13%G +0.163%7.2%2026-03-19 20:05
Parions Sport (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -8.85%E -7.44%K -46.58%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV +6.49%E +1.43%K +1.83%G +0.119%6.0%2026-03-19 20:05
1xBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -7.32%E -6.05%K -34.85%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV +6.25%E +1.38%K +1.77%G +0.110%4.7%2026-03-19 20:39
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +5.32%E +1.18%K +1.52%G +0.081%4.2%2026-03-19 20:39
Bet Right1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -7.32%E -6.05%K -34.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +5.32%E +1.18%K +1.52%G +0.081%4.9%2026-03-19 20:05
Unibet (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -7.32%E -6.05%K -34.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +5.32%E +1.18%K +1.52%G +0.081%4.9%2026-03-19 20:05
ReBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -7.32%E -6.05%K -34.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +5.32%E +1.18%K +1.52%G +0.081%4.9%2026-03-19 20:04
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.08%E -6.74%K -40.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +5.32%E +1.18%K +1.52%G +0.081%5.6%2026-03-19 20:04
PMU (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -9.62%E -8.15%K -53.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +5.32%E +1.18%K +1.52%G +0.081%7.0%2026-03-19 20:00
DraftKings1.21I 82.64%NM 78.66%EV -7.32%E -6.05%K -34.85%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.34%EV +4.38%E +0.982%K +1.27%G +0.055%5.1%2026-03-19 20:54
GTbets1.22I 81.97%NM 78.33%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.67%EV +3.21%E +0.728%K +0.941%G +0.030%4.6%2026-03-19 20:14
Marathon Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -7.32%E -6.05%K -34.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +2.98%E +0.676%K +0.875%G +0.026%5.4%2026-03-19 20:04
Betr (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -8.08%E -6.74%K -40.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +2.98%E +0.676%K +0.875%G +0.026%6.1%2026-03-19 20:05
Unibet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -8.08%E -6.74%K -40.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +2.98%E +0.676%K +0.875%G +0.026%6.1%2026-03-19 20:34
NetBet (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -9.62%E -8.15%K -53.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV +2.98%E +0.676%K +0.875%G +0.026%7.5%2026-03-19 20:33
Unibet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV +1.81%E +0.415%K +0.539%G +0.010%5.0%2026-03-19 20:54
Everygame1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -9.62%E -8.15%K -53.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV +0.636%E +0.148%K +0.193%G +0.001%8.0%2026-03-19 20:04
BetUS1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.534%E -0.126%K -0.164%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 20:28
Hard Rock Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.534%E -0.126%K -0.164%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 20:54
Caesars1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.08%E -6.74%K -40.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.70%E -0.406%K -0.533%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 20:03
Coolbet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.02%E -4.05%K -20.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.04%E -0.987%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 20:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -8.08%E -6.74%K -40.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -4.04%E -0.987%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-19 20:05
Neds1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -8.08%E -6.74%K -40.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -4.04%E -0.987%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-19 20:05
Pinnacle1.28I 78.13%NM 76.12%EV -1.96%E -1.53%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.88%EV -4.51%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-19 20:55
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.25%E -3.40%K -17.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 20:55
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.25%E -3.40%K -17.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 20:54
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.25%E -3.40%K -17.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 20:54
FanDuel1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.25%E -3.40%K -17.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 20:55
PlayUp1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.02%E -4.05%K -20.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 20:49
PointsBet (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 20:55
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 20:55
theScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 20:55
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 20:55
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 20:55
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 20:54
Winamax (DE)1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -7.32%E -6.05%K -34.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -6.39%E -1.60%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 20:54
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.73%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 20:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.73%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 20:55
Fanatics1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -7.32%E -6.05%K -34.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -8.73%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-19 20:55
Unibet (NL)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.49%E -2.77%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 20:55
Casumo1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.49%E -2.77%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 20:55
Unibet (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.49%E -2.77%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 20:55
betPARX1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.49%E -2.77%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 20:55
Svenska Spel1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.49%E -2.77%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 20:55
ATG (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.49%E -2.77%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 20:55
Winamax (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -5.79%E -4.70%K -25.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -9.90%E -2.57%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 20:54
Fliff1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%EV -7.32%E -6.05%K -34.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -11.07%E -2.91%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-19 20:55
BetRivers1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -3.49%E -2.77%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -12.24%E -3.26%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 20:55
TABtouch1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.25%E -3.40%K -17.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.24%E -3.26%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 20:54
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.55%E -5.37%K -29.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.24%E -3.26%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-19 20:55
LiveScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.25%E -3.40%K -17.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -13.41%E -3.62%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 20:55
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.25%E -3.40%K -17.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -13.41%E -3.62%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 20:55
Virgin Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.25%E -3.40%K -17.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -13.41%E -3.62%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 20:54
Bally Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.25%E -3.40%K -17.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -13.41%E -3.62%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 20:54
LeoVegas1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -5.02%E -4.05%K -20.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -14.58%E -3.99%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 20:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -5.79%E -4.70%K -25.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -14.58%E -3.99%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-19 20:55
BetMGM1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -2.72%E -2.14%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -15.75%E -4.37%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 20:55
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.25%E -3.40%K -17.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -15.75%E -4.37%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 20:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-03-19 20:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.3%2026-03-19 20:55
ProphetX1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.3%2026-03-19 20:55
Novig1.29I 77.52%NM 76.16%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.84%1.8%2026-03-19 20:55
Matchbook1.29I 77.52%NM 76.07%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93%1.9%2026-03-19 20:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74%2.2%2026-03-19 20:55
Smarkets1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%3.7%2026-03-19 20:50