Language:English
Hailey Baptiste v Liudmila Samsonova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hailey Baptiste (Local)
Prediction 52.60%1.90fair odd
EV +0.466%
Edge +0.244%
Kelly +0.513%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.93%52.39%52.60%55.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.801.801.9159.52%55.50%55.56%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Liudmila Samsonova (Visit)
Prediction 47.40%2.11fair odd
EV -0.461%
Edge -0.219%
Kelly -0.419%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.88%47.61%47.40%51.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.971.982.1054.64%50.80%50.51%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hailey Baptiste (Local): 52.60%; Liudmila Samsonova (Visit): 47.40%. For Hailey Baptiste (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.90. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.91, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.466%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +0.466%E +0.244%K +0.513%G +0.002% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -9.47%E -4.96%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 21:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV +0.466%E +0.244%K +0.513%G +0.002% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -11.36%E -6.08%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 21:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +0.466%E +0.244%K +0.513%G +0.002% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -13.26%E -7.25%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 21:23 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -0.060%E -0.031%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -9.94%E -5.23%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 21:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -1.11%E -0.591%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -8.99%E -4.68%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 21:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -1.11%E -0.591%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -8.99%E -4.68%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 21:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -1.11%E -0.591%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -8.99%E -4.68%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-20 21:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -1.64%E -0.876%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.57%E -3.88%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-20 21:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -2.69%E -1.45%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -10.41%E -5.51%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 21:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -2.69%E -1.45%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -10.41%E -5.51%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 21:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -2.69%E -1.45%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -10.89%E -5.79%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-20 21:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.74%E -2.04%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.15%E -3.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 21:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.74%E -2.04%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.62%E -3.36%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 21:23 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.74%E -2.04%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.47%E -4.96%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 21:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -3.74%E -2.04%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -11.36%E -6.08%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-20 21:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.27%E -2.34%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.20%E -2.60%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 21:18 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.08%EV -4.27%E -2.34%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.92%EV -9.94%E -5.23%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-20 21:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -4.27%E -2.34%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%EV -12.31%E -6.65%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-20 21:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -4.79%E -2.65%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -0.461%E -0.219%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-20 21:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.32%E -2.96%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.25%E -2.11%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 21:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.32%E -2.96%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.20%E -2.60%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-20 21:17 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.32%E -2.96%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.20%E -2.60%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-20 21:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.32%E -2.96%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.57%E -3.88%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-20 21:23 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.32%E -2.96%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.57%E -3.88%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-20 21:23 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.32%E -2.96%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.47%E -4.96%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-20 21:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.32%E -2.96%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.47%E -4.96%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-20 21:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.32%E -2.96%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.47%E -4.96%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-20 21:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.32%E -2.96%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.47%E -4.96%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-20 21:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.32%E -2.96%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.47%E -4.96%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-20 21:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.32%E -2.96%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.47%E -4.96%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-20 21:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.85%E -3.27%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.25%E -2.11%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 21:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.85%E -3.27%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.25%E -2.11%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 21:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.85%E -3.27%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.25%E -2.11%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 21:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.85%E -3.27%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.25%E -2.11%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 21:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -6.37%E -3.58%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -0.935%E -0.447%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-20 21:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -6.37%E -3.58%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -0.935%E -0.447%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-20 21:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.37%E -3.58%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.20%E -2.60%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-20 21:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.37%E -3.58%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.20%E -2.60%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-20 21:22 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.90%E -3.90%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.20%E -2.60%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-20 21:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.90%E -3.90%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -6.15%E -3.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 21:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.90%E -3.90%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -6.15%E -3.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 21:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.90%E -3.90%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -6.15%E -3.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 21:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -6.90%E -3.90%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -6.62%E -3.36%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-20 21:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -6.90%E -3.90%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -9.47%E -4.96%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-20 21:23 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -7.42%E -4.22%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -1.41%E -0.677%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 21:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.95%E -4.54%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.83%E -1.38%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-20 21:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.95%E -4.54%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.20%E -2.60%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-20 21:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -9.00%E -5.20%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.461%E -0.219%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 21:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -9.53%E -5.54%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -2.83%E -1.38%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-20 21:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -10.05%E -5.88%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -0.461%E -0.219%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-20 21:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -10.05%E -5.88%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -5.20%E -2.60%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-20 21:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -10.58%E -6.22%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -2.83%E -1.38%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-20 21:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -11.63%E -6.92%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -6.15%E -3.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-20 21:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 0.5% | 2026-03-20 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73% | 0.9% | 2026-03-20 21:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-03-20 21:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86% | 1.3% | 2026-03-20 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 21:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.86% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.14% | 9.1% | 2026-03-20 21:25 |