La escuela de los momios

Hailey Baptiste v Liudmila Samsonova

Inicio: 2026-03-20 21:32 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Hailey Baptiste (Local)

Predicción 52.60%1.90momio equitativo
EV +0.466%
Ventaja +0.244%
Kelly +0.513%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.93%52.39%52.60%55.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.681.801.801.9159.52%55.50%55.56%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Liudmila Samsonova (Visitante)

Predicción 47.40%2.11momio equitativo
EV -0.461%
Ventaja -0.219%
Kelly -0.419%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.88%47.61%47.40%51.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.971.982.1054.64%50.80%50.51%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +0.466%E +0.244%K +0.513%G +0.002%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -9.47%E -4.96%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 21:24
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV +0.466%E +0.244%K +0.513%G +0.002%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -11.36%E -6.08%K -13.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 21:25
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +0.466%E +0.244%K +0.513%G +0.002%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -13.26%E -7.25%K -15.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 21:23
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -0.060%E -0.031%K -0.066%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -9.94%E -5.23%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 21:24
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -1.11%E -0.591%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -8.99%E -4.68%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 21:25
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -1.11%E -0.591%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -8.99%E -4.68%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 21:25
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -1.11%E -0.591%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -8.99%E -4.68%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 21:25
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -1.64%E -0.876%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.57%E -3.88%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 21:25
LiveScore Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -2.69%E -1.45%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -10.41%E -5.51%K -11.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 21:25
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -2.69%E -1.45%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -10.41%E -5.51%K -11.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 21:25
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -2.69%E -1.45%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -10.89%E -5.79%K -12.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-20 21:25
Unibet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.74%E -2.04%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.15%E -3.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 21:14
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.74%E -2.04%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.62%E -3.36%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 21:23
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.74%E -2.04%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.47%E -4.96%K -10.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 21:25
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -3.74%E -2.04%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -11.36%E -6.08%K -13.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-20 21:25
GTbets1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.27%E -2.34%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.20%E -2.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 21:18
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.08%EV -4.27%E -2.34%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.92%EV -9.94%E -5.23%K -11.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-20 21:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -4.27%E -2.34%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%EV -12.31%E -6.65%K -14.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-20 21:25
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV -4.79%E -2.65%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -0.461%E -0.219%K -0.419%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-20 21:25
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.32%E -2.96%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.25%E -2.11%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 21:19
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.32%E -2.96%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.20%E -2.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 21:17
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.32%E -2.96%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.20%E -2.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 21:25
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.32%E -2.96%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.57%E -3.88%K -7.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 21:23
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.32%E -2.96%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.57%E -3.88%K -7.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 21:23
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.32%E -2.96%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.47%E -4.96%K -10.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-20 21:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.32%E -2.96%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.47%E -4.96%K -10.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-20 21:24
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.32%E -2.96%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.47%E -4.96%K -10.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-20 21:25
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.32%E -2.96%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.47%E -4.96%K -10.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-20 21:25
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.32%E -2.96%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.47%E -4.96%K -10.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-20 21:25
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.32%E -2.96%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.47%E -4.96%K -10.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-20 21:25
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.85%E -3.27%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.25%E -2.11%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 21:25
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.85%E -3.27%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.25%E -2.11%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 21:25
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.85%E -3.27%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.25%E -2.11%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 21:25
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.85%E -3.27%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.25%E -2.11%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 21:25
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -6.37%E -3.58%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -0.935%E -0.447%K -0.857%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-20 21:24
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -6.37%E -3.58%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -0.935%E -0.447%K -0.857%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-20 21:24
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.37%E -3.58%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.20%E -2.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 21:20
PlayUp1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.37%E -3.58%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.20%E -2.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 21:22
TABtouch1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.90%E -3.90%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.20%E -2.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-20 21:25
Neds1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.90%E -3.90%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -6.15%E -3.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 21:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.90%E -3.90%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -6.15%E -3.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 21:19
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.90%E -3.90%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -6.15%E -3.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 21:25
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -6.90%E -3.90%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -6.62%E -3.36%K -6.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-20 21:25
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -6.90%E -3.90%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -9.47%E -4.96%K -10.40%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-20 21:23
Coolbet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -7.42%E -4.22%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -1.41%E -0.677%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 21:25
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.95%E -4.54%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.83%E -1.38%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 21:25
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.95%E -4.54%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.20%E -2.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 21:25
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -9.00%E -5.20%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.461%E -0.219%K -0.419%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 21:25
PointsBet (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -9.53%E -5.54%K -13.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -2.83%E -1.38%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 21:25
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -10.05%E -5.88%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -0.461%E -0.219%K -0.419%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 21:25
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -10.05%E -5.88%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -5.20%E -2.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-20 21:25
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -10.58%E -6.22%K -15.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -2.83%E -1.38%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-20 21:25
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -11.63%E -6.92%K -17.11%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -6.15%E -3.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-20 21:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%0.5%2026-03-20 21:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-03-20 21:25
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-03-20 21:25
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-03-20 21:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%5.8%2026-03-20 21:25
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 54.86%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.14%9.1%2026-03-20 21:25