Language:English
Francesca Jones v Venus Williams
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Francesca Jones (Local)
Prediction 94.93%1.05fair odd
EV +42.40%
Edge +28.26%
Kelly +84.79%
Growth +35.95%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.96%91.68%95.45%98.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.071.011.50100.00%93.05%99.01%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Venus Williams (Visit)
Prediction 5.07%19.73fair odd
EV +239.61%
Edge +3.58%
Kelly +3.63%
Growth +8.70%
assuming max odds 67.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
1.47%8.32%4.55%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.5517.3415.0067.0039.22%5.77%6.67%1.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Francesca Jones (Local): 94.93%; Venus Williams (Visit): 5.07%. For Venus Williams (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 19.73. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 67.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +239.61%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV +42.40%E +28.26%K +84.79%G +35.95% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -86.11%E -31.43%K -49.49%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-19 17:17 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV +42.40%E +28.26%K +84.79%G +35.95% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -86.11%E -31.43%K -49.49%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-19 17:17 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV +42.40%E +28.26%K +84.79%G +35.95% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -87.07%E -34.15%K -56.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 17:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV +36.70%E +25.49%K +83.41%G +30.61% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -86.72%E -33.10%K -53.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-19 17:16 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.70%EV +20.56%E +16.19%K +76.16%G +15.66% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 23.30%EV -78.81%E -18.85%K -24.78%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-19 18:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV +17.71%E +14.29%K +73.81%G +13.08% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -80.74%E -21.25%K -28.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 19:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV +8.22%E +7.21%K +58.73%G +4.83% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -72.63%E -13.45%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-19 19:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV +7.27%E +6.44%K +55.94%G +4.07% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -72.63%E -13.45%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 19:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV +7.27%E +6.44%K +55.94%G +4.07% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -72.63%E -13.45%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV +0.627%E +0.592%K +10.45%G +0.066% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -59.45%E -7.43%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-19 19:03 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV +0.627%E +0.592%K +10.45%G +0.066% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -59.45%E -7.43%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-19 19:03 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -0.322%E -0.307%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -61.98%E -8.26%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-19 19:03 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.52%EV -1.27%E -1.22%K -31.79%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.48%EV -23.97%E -1.60%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-19 19:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -2.22%E -2.16%K -74.03%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -39.17%E -3.26%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 19:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -2.22%E -2.16%K -74.03%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -44.24%E -4.02%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-19 19:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.08%EV -2.22%E -2.16%K -74.03%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 10.92%EV -57.42%E -6.84%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-19 19:03 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 96.36%EV -3.17%E -3.11%K -158.51%G +0.000% | 27.00I 3.70%NM 3.64%EV +36.86%E +1.37%K +1.42%G +0.523% | 1.7% | 2026-03-19 19:07 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.17%E -3.11%K -158.51%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -23.97%E -1.60%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 19:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.84%EV -4.12%E -4.08%K -411.95%G +0.000% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.16%EV +57.13%E +1.84%K +1.90%G +1.09% | 2.2% | 2026-03-19 19:07 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.12%E -4.08%K -411.95%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +31.79%E +1.22%K +1.27%G +0.404% | 2.9% | 2026-03-19 19:07 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -4.12%E -4.08%K -411.95%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV +26.72%E +1.07%K +1.11%G +0.297% | 3.0% | 2026-03-19 19:06 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.82%EV -4.12%E -4.08%K -411.95%G +0.000% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.18%EV -6.23%E -0.337%K -0.356%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-19 19:07 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.82%EV -4.12%E -4.08%K -411.95%G +0.000% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.18%EV -6.23%E -0.337%K -0.356%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-19 19:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -4.12%E -4.08%K -411.95%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -8.76%E -0.487%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 19:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -4.12%E -4.08%K -411.95%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -8.76%E -0.487%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 19:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -4.12%E -4.08%K -411.95%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -8.76%E -0.487%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 19:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.12%E -4.08%K -411.95%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -18.90%E -1.18%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.12%E -4.08%K -411.95%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -18.90%E -1.18%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.12%E -4.08%K -411.95%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -18.90%E -1.18%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.12%E -4.08%K -411.95%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -18.90%E -1.18%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 19:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.12%E -4.08%K -411.95%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -23.97%E -1.60%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-19 19:07 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.49%EV -4.12%E -4.08%K -411.95%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.51%EV -26.50%E -1.83%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 19:06 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -4.12%E -4.08%K -411.95%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -29.04%E -2.07%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-19 19:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.12%E -4.08%K -411.95%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -34.11%E -2.62%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-19 19:07 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 90.83%EV -4.12%E -4.08%K -411.95%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -49.31%E -4.93%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-19 19:03 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 98.53%EV -5.07%E -5.07%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 67.00I 1.49%NM 1.47%EV +239.61%E +3.58%K +3.63%G +8.70% | 1.5% | 2026-03-19 19:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 98.08%EV -5.07%E -5.07%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 51.00I 1.96%NM 1.92%EV +158.51%E +3.11%K +3.17%G +5.03% | 2.0% | 2026-03-19 19:08 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -5.07%E -5.07%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +107.82%E +2.63%K +2.70%G +2.91% | 2.4% | 2026-03-19 19:07 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -5.07%E -5.07%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +107.82%E +2.63%K +2.70%G +2.91% | 2.4% | 2026-03-19 19:06 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -5.07%E -5.07%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +31.79%E +1.22%K +1.27%G +0.404% | 3.8% | 2026-03-19 19:07 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -5.07%E -5.07%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +31.79%E +1.22%K +1.27%G +0.404% | 3.8% | 2026-03-19 19:07 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.07%E -5.07%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +6.45%E +0.307%K +0.322%G +0.021% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 19:06 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.07%E -5.07%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +6.45%E +0.307%K +0.322%G +0.021% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 19:06 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.07%E -5.07%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +6.45%E +0.307%K +0.322%G +0.021% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 19:06 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 93.75%EV -5.07%E -5.07%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.25%EV -23.97%E -1.60%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-19 19:07 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 97.51% | 40.00I 2.50%NM 2.49% | 0.5% | 2026-03-19 19:07 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 97.09% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.91% | 1.0% | 2026-03-19 19:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98% | 1.0% | 2026-03-19 19:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98% | 1.0% | 2026-03-19 19:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 96.91% | 32.00I 3.13%NM 3.09% | 1.2% | 2026-03-19 19:07 |
| Novig◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.52% | 21.74I 4.60%NM 4.48% | 2.6% | 2026-03-19 19:07 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 19:05 |