StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Francesca Jones v Jessica Pegula

Matchstart: 2026-03-21 16:15 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

58 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Francesca Jones (Hemma)

Prognos 7.18%13.92rättvist odds
EV +44.64%
Fördel +2.22%
Kelly +2.33%
Tillväxt +1.04%

med antagandet om högsta odds 20.14

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
4.87%7.41%7.28%10.27%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
9.0012.9213.0020.1411.11%7.74%7.69%4.97%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Jessica Pegula (Borta)

Prognos 92.82%1.08rättvist odds
EV -0.684%
Fördel -0.640%
Kelly -9.78%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.07

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
89.73%92.59%92.72%95.13%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.011.031.031.0799.01%97.28%97.09%93.46%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Francesca Jones (Hemma): 7.18%; Jessica Pegula (Borta): 92.82%. För Francesca Jones (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 13.92. 19 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 20.14, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +44.64%.

Spelbolagsodds (58 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯20.14I 4.97%NM 4.87%EV +44.64%E +2.22%K +2.33%G +1.04%1.03I 97.09%NM 95.13%EV -4.40%E -4.27%K -146.57%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-21 16:10
Paddy Power🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +22.09%E +1.30%K +1.38%G +0.305%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -5.33%E -5.22%K -266.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 16:10
Winamax (DE)🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 6.05%EV +14.91%E +0.932%K +0.994%G +0.148%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.95%EV -4.40%E -4.27%K -146.57%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-21 16:09
DraftKings🎯15.20I 6.58%NM 6.40%EV +9.16%E +0.603%K +0.645%G +0.059%1.04I 96.15%NM 93.60%EV -3.47%E -3.34%K -86.72%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-21 16:09
LowVig.ag🎯15.16I 6.60%NM 6.36%EV +8.87%E +0.585%K +0.627%G +0.056%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.64%EV -4.40%E -4.27%K -146.57%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 16:10
Coral🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +7.72%E +0.515%K +0.552%G +0.043%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.40%E -4.27%K -146.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-21 16:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +7.72%E +0.515%K +0.552%G +0.043%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.40%E -4.27%K -146.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-21 16:09
Coolbet🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +7.72%E +0.515%K +0.552%G +0.043%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.33%E -5.22%K -266.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 16:09
Bovada🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +7.72%E +0.515%K +0.552%G +0.043%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.33%E -5.22%K -266.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 15:57
Betway🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +7.72%E +0.515%K +0.552%G +0.043%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.25%E -6.19%K -625.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 16:09
Neds🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +7.72%E +0.515%K +0.552%G +0.043%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.25%E -6.19%K -625.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 16:06
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +7.72%E +0.515%K +0.552%G +0.043%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.25%E -6.19%K -625.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 16:06
888sport🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +7.72%E +0.515%K +0.552%G +0.043%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.25%E -6.19%K -625.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 16:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +7.72%E +0.515%K +0.552%G +0.043%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.25%E -6.19%K -625.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 16:09
888sport (SE)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +7.72%E +0.515%K +0.552%G +0.043%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.25%E -6.19%K -625.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 16:10
BetOnline.ag🎯14.50I 6.90%NM 6.63%EV +4.13%E +0.285%K +0.306%G +0.013%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.37%EV -4.40%E -4.27%K -146.57%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 16:10
1xBet🎯14.10I 7.09%NM 6.75%EV +1.26%E +0.089%K +0.096%G +0.001%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.25%EV -5.33%E -5.22%K -266.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 16:06
Winamax (FR)🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +0.542%E +0.039%K +0.042%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.33%E -5.22%K -266.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 16:09
PMU (FR)🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +0.542%E +0.039%K +0.042%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -6.25%E -6.19%K -625.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 16:10
Betsson🎯13.50I 7.41%NM 6.96%EV -3.05%E -0.226%K -0.244%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.04%EV -6.25%E -6.19%K -625.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 16:09
NordicBet🎯13.50I 7.41%NM 6.96%EV -3.05%E -0.226%K -0.244%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.04%EV -6.25%E -6.19%K -625.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 16:10
GTbets🎯13.34I 7.50%NM 7.43%EV -4.20%E -0.315%K -0.340%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.57%EV -0.684%E -0.640%K -9.78%G +0.000%1.0%2026-03-21 15:58
BoyleSports🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV -6.64%E -0.511%K -0.553%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -2.54%E -2.42%K -50.81%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-21 16:09
Bet Right🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.64%E -0.511%K -0.553%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.40%E -4.27%K -146.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 16:06
Unibet (UK)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.64%E -0.511%K -0.553%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.40%E -4.27%K -146.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 15:59
FanDuel🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.64%E -0.511%K -0.553%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.40%E -4.27%K -146.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 16:10
ReBet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.64%E -0.511%K -0.553%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.40%E -4.27%K -146.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 15:59
Fanatics🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.64%E -0.511%K -0.553%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.33%E -5.22%K -266.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 16:09
PlayUp🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.64%E -0.511%K -0.553%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.33%E -5.22%K -266.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 16:09
theScore Bet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.64%E -0.511%K -0.553%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.33%E -5.22%K -266.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 16:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -6.64%E -0.511%K -0.553%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -6.25%E -6.19%K -625.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 16:09
Parions Sport (FR)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -10.23%E -0.818%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.33%E -5.22%K -266.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 15:59
Unibet (FR)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -10.23%E -0.818%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.33%E -5.22%K -266.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 16:06
Hard Rock Bet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -13.82%E -1.15%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.47%E -3.34%K -86.72%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 16:10
William Hill🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -13.82%E -1.15%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.40%E -4.27%K -146.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 16:04
SportsBet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -13.82%E -1.15%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.33%E -5.22%K -266.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 16:10
Grosvenor🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -17.41%E -1.51%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.47%E -3.34%K -86.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 16:09
Unibet (SE)🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -17.41%E -1.51%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.47%E -3.34%K -86.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 16:10
LeoVegas🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -17.41%E -1.51%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.47%E -3.34%K -86.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 16:10
BetRivers🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -17.41%E -1.51%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.47%E -3.34%K -86.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 16:10
Casumo🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -17.41%E -1.51%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.47%E -3.34%K -86.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 16:09
Unibet (NL)🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -17.41%E -1.51%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.47%E -3.34%K -86.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 16:09
TABtouch🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -17.41%E -1.51%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.47%E -3.34%K -86.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 16:09
Unibet🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -17.41%E -1.51%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.47%E -3.34%K -86.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 16:09
Bally Bet🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -17.41%E -1.51%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.47%E -3.34%K -86.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 16:09
betPARX🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -17.41%E -1.51%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.47%E -3.34%K -86.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 16:09
Svenska Spel🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -17.41%E -1.51%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.47%E -3.34%K -86.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 16:10
ATG (SE)🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -17.41%E -1.51%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.47%E -3.34%K -86.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 16:10
Betr (AU)🎯11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -19.21%E -1.71%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -4.40%E -4.27%K -146.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 16:06
TAB🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -21.00%E -1.91%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.33%E -5.22%K -266.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 16:09
BetMGM🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -21.00%E -1.91%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.33%E -5.22%K -266.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 16:10
LiveScore Bet🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -24.59%E -2.34%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -4.40%E -4.27%K -146.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 16:10
Virgin Bet🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -24.59%E -2.34%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -4.40%E -4.27%K -146.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 16:09
Caesars🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -28.18%E -2.82%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -3.47%E -3.34%K -86.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 16:06
Everygame🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -28.18%E -2.82%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -5.33%E -5.22%K -266.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 16:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -28.18%E -2.82%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -5.33%E -5.22%K -266.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 16:10
Marathon Bet🎯9.80I 10.20%NM 9.68%EV -29.62%E -3.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.32%EV -2.54%E -2.42%K -50.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 15:58
Bet Victor🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -35.37%E -3.93%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -4.40%E -4.27%K -146.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 16:07
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28%0.9%2026-03-21 16:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28%0.9%2026-03-21 16:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28%0.9%2026-03-21 16:10
Matchbook20.00I 5.00%NM 4.94%1.04I 96.15%NM 95.06%1.2%2026-03-21 16:10
ProphetX16.50I 6.06%NM 5.98%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.02%1.3%2026-03-21 16:10
Novig17.54I 5.70%NM 5.60%1.04I 96.15%NM 94.40%1.9%2026-03-21 16:09
Smarkets19.49I 5.13%NM 4.97%1.02I 98.04%NM 95.03%3.2%2026-03-21 16:10