مدرسة الاحتمالات

Francesca Jones v Jessica Pegula

البداية: 2026-03-21 16:15 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Francesca Jones (المضيف)

التنبؤ 7.18%13.92السعر العادل
EV +44.64%
الأفضلية +2.22%
Kelly +2.33%
النمو +1.04%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 20.14

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
4.87%7.41%7.28%10.27%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
9.0012.9213.0020.1411.11%7.74%7.69%4.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Jessica Pegula (الضيف)

التنبؤ 92.82%1.08السعر العادل
EV -0.684%
الأفضلية -0.640%
Kelly -9.78%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.07

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
89.73%92.59%92.72%95.13%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.011.031.031.0799.01%97.28%97.09%93.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle20.14I 4.97%NM 4.87%EV +44.64%E +2.22%K +2.33%G +1.04%1.03I 97.09%NM 95.13%EV -4.40%E -4.27%K -146.57%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-21 16:10
Paddy Power17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +22.09%E +1.30%K +1.38%G +0.305%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -5.33%E -5.22%K -266.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 16:10
Winamax (DE)16.00I 6.25%NM 6.05%EV +14.91%E +0.932%K +0.994%G +0.148%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.95%EV -4.40%E -4.27%K -146.57%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-21 16:09
DraftKings15.20I 6.58%NM 6.40%EV +9.16%E +0.603%K +0.645%G +0.059%1.04I 96.15%NM 93.60%EV -3.47%E -3.34%K -86.72%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-21 16:09
LowVig.ag15.16I 6.60%NM 6.36%EV +8.87%E +0.585%K +0.627%G +0.056%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.64%EV -4.40%E -4.27%K -146.57%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 16:10
Coral15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +7.72%E +0.515%K +0.552%G +0.043%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.40%E -4.27%K -146.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-21 16:09
Ladbrokes (UK)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +7.72%E +0.515%K +0.552%G +0.043%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.40%E -4.27%K -146.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-21 16:09
Coolbet15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +7.72%E +0.515%K +0.552%G +0.043%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.33%E -5.22%K -266.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 16:09
Bovada15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +7.72%E +0.515%K +0.552%G +0.043%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.33%E -5.22%K -266.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 15:57
Betway15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +7.72%E +0.515%K +0.552%G +0.043%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.25%E -6.19%K -625.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 16:09
Neds15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +7.72%E +0.515%K +0.552%G +0.043%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.25%E -6.19%K -625.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 16:06
Ladbrokes (AU)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +7.72%E +0.515%K +0.552%G +0.043%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.25%E -6.19%K -625.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 16:06
888sport15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +7.72%E +0.515%K +0.552%G +0.043%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.25%E -6.19%K -625.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 16:10
Mr Green (SE)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +7.72%E +0.515%K +0.552%G +0.043%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.25%E -6.19%K -625.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 16:09
888sport (SE)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +7.72%E +0.515%K +0.552%G +0.043%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.25%E -6.19%K -625.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 16:10
BetOnline.ag14.50I 6.90%NM 6.63%EV +4.13%E +0.285%K +0.306%G +0.013%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.37%EV -4.40%E -4.27%K -146.57%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 16:10
1xBet14.10I 7.09%NM 6.75%EV +1.26%E +0.089%K +0.096%G +0.001%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.25%EV -5.33%E -5.22%K -266.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 16:06
Winamax (FR)14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +0.542%E +0.039%K +0.042%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.33%E -5.22%K -266.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 16:09
PMU (FR)14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +0.542%E +0.039%K +0.042%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -6.25%E -6.19%K -625.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 16:10
Betsson13.50I 7.41%NM 6.96%EV -3.05%E -0.226%K -0.244%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.04%EV -6.25%E -6.19%K -625.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 16:09
NordicBet13.50I 7.41%NM 6.96%EV -3.05%E -0.226%K -0.244%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.04%EV -6.25%E -6.19%K -625.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 16:10
GTbets13.34I 7.50%NM 7.43%EV -4.20%E -0.315%K -0.340%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.57%EV -0.684%E -0.640%K -9.78%G +0.000%1.0%2026-03-21 15:58
BoyleSports13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV -6.64%E -0.511%K -0.553%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -2.54%E -2.42%K -50.81%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-21 16:09
Bet Right13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.64%E -0.511%K -0.553%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.40%E -4.27%K -146.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 16:06
Unibet (UK)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.64%E -0.511%K -0.553%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.40%E -4.27%K -146.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 15:59
FanDuel13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.64%E -0.511%K -0.553%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.40%E -4.27%K -146.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 16:10
ReBet13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.64%E -0.511%K -0.553%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.40%E -4.27%K -146.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 15:59
Fanatics13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.64%E -0.511%K -0.553%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.33%E -5.22%K -266.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 16:09
PlayUp13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.64%E -0.511%K -0.553%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.33%E -5.22%K -266.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 16:09
theScore Bet13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.64%E -0.511%K -0.553%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.33%E -5.22%K -266.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 16:10
PointsBet (AU)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -6.64%E -0.511%K -0.553%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -6.25%E -6.19%K -625.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 16:09
Parions Sport (FR)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -10.23%E -0.818%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.33%E -5.22%K -266.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 15:59
Unibet (FR)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -10.23%E -0.818%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.33%E -5.22%K -266.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 16:06
Hard Rock Bet12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -13.82%E -1.15%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.47%E -3.34%K -86.72%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 16:10
William Hill12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -13.82%E -1.15%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.40%E -4.27%K -146.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 16:04
SportsBet12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -13.82%E -1.15%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.33%E -5.22%K -266.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 16:10
Grosvenor11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -17.41%E -1.51%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.47%E -3.34%K -86.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 16:09
Unibet (SE)11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -17.41%E -1.51%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.47%E -3.34%K -86.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 16:10
LeoVegas11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -17.41%E -1.51%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.47%E -3.34%K -86.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 16:10
BetRivers11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -17.41%E -1.51%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.47%E -3.34%K -86.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 16:10
Casumo11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -17.41%E -1.51%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.47%E -3.34%K -86.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 16:09
Unibet (NL)11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -17.41%E -1.51%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.47%E -3.34%K -86.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 16:09
TABtouch11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -17.41%E -1.51%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.47%E -3.34%K -86.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 16:09
Unibet11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -17.41%E -1.51%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.47%E -3.34%K -86.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 16:09
Bally Bet11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -17.41%E -1.51%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.47%E -3.34%K -86.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 16:09
betPARX11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -17.41%E -1.51%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.47%E -3.34%K -86.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 16:09
Svenska Spel11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -17.41%E -1.51%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.47%E -3.34%K -86.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 16:10
ATG (SE)11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -17.41%E -1.51%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.47%E -3.34%K -86.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 16:10
Betr (AU)11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -19.21%E -1.71%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -4.40%E -4.27%K -146.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 16:06
TAB11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -21.00%E -1.91%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.33%E -5.22%K -266.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 16:09
BetMGM11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -21.00%E -1.91%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.33%E -5.22%K -266.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 16:10
LiveScore Bet10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -24.59%E -2.34%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -4.40%E -4.27%K -146.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 16:10
Virgin Bet10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -24.59%E -2.34%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -4.40%E -4.27%K -146.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 16:09
Caesars10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -28.18%E -2.82%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -3.47%E -3.34%K -86.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 16:06
Everygame10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -28.18%E -2.82%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -5.33%E -5.22%K -266.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 16:04
LeoVegas (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -28.18%E -2.82%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -5.33%E -5.22%K -266.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 16:10
Marathon Bet9.80I 10.20%NM 9.68%EV -29.62%E -3.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.32%EV -2.54%E -2.42%K -50.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 15:58
Bet Victor9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -35.37%E -3.93%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -4.40%E -4.27%K -146.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 16:07
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28%0.9%2026-03-21 16:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28%0.9%2026-03-21 16:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28%0.9%2026-03-21 16:10
Matchbook20.00I 5.00%NM 4.94%1.04I 96.15%NM 95.06%1.2%2026-03-21 16:10
ProphetX16.50I 6.06%NM 5.98%1.05I 95.24%NM 94.02%1.3%2026-03-21 16:10
Novig17.54I 5.70%NM 5.60%1.04I 96.15%NM 94.40%1.9%2026-03-21 16:09
Smarkets19.49I 5.13%NM 4.97%1.02I 98.04%NM 95.03%3.2%2026-03-21 16:10