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Elvina Kalieva v Diane Parry
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Elvina Kalieva (Local)
Prediction 49.55%2.02fair odd
EV +21.40%
Edge +8.74%
Kelly +14.76%
Growth +3.16%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.90%49.06%51.35%58.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.572.021.892.4563.69%49.55%52.91%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Diane Parry (Visit)
Prediction 50.45%1.98fair odd
EV +13.51%
Edge +6.00%
Kelly +10.80%
Growth +1.46%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.10%50.94%48.65%61.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.831.832.2567.57%54.68%54.64%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elvina Kalieva (Local): 49.55%; Diane Parry (Visit): 50.45%. For Elvina Kalieva (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.02. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +21.40%.
Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV +21.40%E +8.74%K +14.76%G +3.16% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -21.30%E -13.66%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-17 17:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.60%EV +20.91%E +8.57%K +14.52%G +3.04% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.40%EV -19.28%E -12.05%K -32.14%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-17 17:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.60%EV +20.91%E +8.57%K +14.52%G +3.04% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.40%EV -19.28%E -12.05%K -32.14%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-17 17:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV +20.91%E +8.57%K +14.52%G +3.04% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -21.30%E -13.66%K -38.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-17 17:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV +20.41%E +8.40%K +14.28%G +2.91% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -19.28%E -12.05%K -32.14%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-17 17:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +20.41%E +8.40%K +14.28%G +2.91% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -20.80%E -13.25%K -36.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-17 17:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV +17.94%E +7.54%K +13.00%G +2.33% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -22.31%E -14.49%K -41.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-17 17:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV +17.94%E +7.54%K +13.00%G +2.33% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -22.82%E -14.91%K -43.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-17 17:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV +16.45%E +7.00%K +12.18%G +2.00% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -20.29%E -12.84%K -34.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-17 17:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV +16.45%E +7.00%K +12.18%G +2.00% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -22.82%E -14.91%K -43.05%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 16:59 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV +16.45%E +7.00%K +12.18%G +2.00% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -22.82%E -14.91%K -43.05%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 17:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.48%EV +15.46%E +6.63%K +11.62%G +1.80% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.52%EV -23.32%E -15.34%K -44.85%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-17 17:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.95%EV +14.96%E +6.45%K +11.34%G +1.70% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.05%EV -25.34%E -17.12%K -52.79%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-17 17:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.35%E -2.80%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.68%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-17 17:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.35%E -2.80%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.68%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-17 17:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.34%E -3.92%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.66%E -3.03%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-17 17:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.32%E -5.09%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.68%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-17 17:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -10.80%E -6.00%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -4.15%E -2.18%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-17 17:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -10.80%E -6.00%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -4.15%E -2.18%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-17 17:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -15.26%E -8.93%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV +8.46%E +3.94%K +7.36%G +0.623% | 5.0% | 2026-03-17 17:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -15.76%E -9.27%K -22.51%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV +5.94%E +2.83%K +5.40%G +0.321% | 6.4% | 2026-03-17 17:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -15.76%E -9.27%K -22.51%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV +3.42%E +1.67%K +3.25%G +0.111% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 17:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -15.76%E -9.27%K -22.51%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV +3.42%E +1.67%K +3.25%G +0.111% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 17:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -15.76%E -9.27%K -22.51%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV +3.42%E +1.67%K +3.25%G +0.111% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 17:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -15.76%E -9.27%K -22.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV +0.894%E +0.447%K +0.894%G +0.008% | 8.8% | 2026-03-17 17:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -17.25%E -10.33%K -25.74%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV +8.46%E +3.94%K +7.36%G +0.623% | 6.4% | 2026-03-17 17:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -18.24%E -11.05%K -28.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +13.51%E +6.00%K +10.80%G +1.46% | 5.1% | 2026-03-17 17:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -19.72%E -12.18%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +10.98%E +4.99%K +9.15%G +1.01% | 7.2% | 2026-03-17 17:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -20.22%E -12.56%K -33.15%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV +13.51%E +6.00%K +10.80%G +1.46% | 6.6% | 2026-03-17 17:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -22.20%E -14.14%K -38.95%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV +13.51%E +6.00%K +10.80%G +1.46% | 8.1% | 2026-03-17 17:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 0.6% | 2026-03-17 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.27% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.73% | 1.2% | 2026-03-17 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84% | 1.7% | 2026-03-17 17:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30% | 2.6% | 2026-03-17 17:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.55% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.45% | 6.6% | 2026-03-17 17:30 |