La scuola delle quote

Elvina Kalieva v Diane Parry

Inizio: 2026-03-17 18:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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30 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Elvina Kalieva (Casa)

Previsione 49.55%2.02quota equa
EV +21.40%
Vantaggio +8.74%
Kelly +14.76%
Crescita +3.16%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.90%49.06%51.35%58.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.572.021.892.4563.69%49.55%52.91%40.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Diane Parry (Trasferta)

Previsione 50.45%1.98quota equa
EV +13.51%
Vantaggio +6.00%
Kelly +10.80%
Crescita +1.46%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.10%50.94%48.65%61.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.481.831.832.2567.57%54.68%54.64%44.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (30 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV +21.40%E +8.74%K +14.76%G +3.16%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -21.30%E -13.66%K -38.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-17 17:05
LowVig.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 39.60%EV +20.91%E +8.57%K +14.52%G +3.04%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.40%EV -19.28%E -12.05%K -32.14%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-17 17:05
BetOnline.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 39.60%EV +20.91%E +8.57%K +14.52%G +3.04%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.40%EV -19.28%E -12.05%K -32.14%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-17 17:05
ReBet2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV +20.91%E +8.57%K +14.52%G +3.04%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -21.30%E -13.66%K -38.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 17:05
Pinnacle2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV +20.41%E +8.40%K +14.28%G +2.91%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -19.28%E -12.05%K -32.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-17 17:05
GTbets2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV +20.41%E +8.40%K +14.28%G +2.91%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -20.80%E -13.25%K -36.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-17 17:05
Unibet (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV +17.94%E +7.54%K +13.00%G +2.33%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -22.31%E -14.49%K -41.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 17:05
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV +17.94%E +7.54%K +13.00%G +2.33%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -22.82%E -14.91%K -43.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 17:05
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV +16.45%E +7.00%K +12.18%G +2.00%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -20.29%E -12.84%K -34.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 17:05
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV +16.45%E +7.00%K +12.18%G +2.00%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -22.82%E -14.91%K -43.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 16:59
Parions Sport (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV +16.45%E +7.00%K +12.18%G +2.00%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -22.82%E -14.91%K -43.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 17:10
Marathon Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.48%EV +15.46%E +6.63%K +11.62%G +1.80%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.52%EV -23.32%E -15.34%K -44.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 17:04
NetBet (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 38.95%EV +14.96%E +6.45%K +11.34%G +1.70%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.05%EV -25.34%E -17.12%K -52.79%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-17 17:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.35%E -2.80%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.68%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 17:30
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.35%E -2.80%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.68%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 17:30
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.34%E -3.92%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.66%E -3.03%K -6.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 17:30
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.32%E -5.09%K -11.23%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.68%E -4.20%K -9.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 17:30
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -10.80%E -6.00%K -13.51%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -4.15%E -2.18%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-17 17:30
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -10.80%E -6.00%K -13.51%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -4.15%E -2.18%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-17 17:30
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -15.26%E -8.93%K -21.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV +8.46%E +3.94%K +7.36%G +0.623%5.0%2026-03-17 17:30
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -15.76%E -9.27%K -22.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV +5.94%E +2.83%K +5.40%G +0.321%6.4%2026-03-17 17:29
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -15.76%E -9.27%K -22.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV +3.42%E +1.67%K +3.25%G +0.111%7.6%2026-03-17 17:30
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -15.76%E -9.27%K -22.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV +3.42%E +1.67%K +3.25%G +0.111%7.6%2026-03-17 17:30
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -15.76%E -9.27%K -22.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV +3.42%E +1.67%K +3.25%G +0.111%7.6%2026-03-17 17:30
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -15.76%E -9.27%K -22.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV +0.894%E +0.447%K +0.894%G +0.008%8.8%2026-03-17 17:30
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -17.25%E -10.33%K -25.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV +8.46%E +3.94%K +7.36%G +0.623%6.4%2026-03-17 17:30
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -18.24%E -11.05%K -28.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +13.51%E +6.00%K +10.80%G +1.46%5.1%2026-03-17 17:30
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -19.72%E -12.18%K -31.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +10.98%E +4.99%K +9.15%G +1.01%7.2%2026-03-17 17:30
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -20.22%E -12.56%K -33.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV +13.51%E +6.00%K +10.80%G +1.46%6.6%2026-03-17 17:30
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -22.20%E -14.14%K -38.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV +13.51%E +6.00%K +10.80%G +1.46%8.1%2026-03-17 17:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-03-17 17:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.27%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.73%1.2%2026-03-17 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%1.7%2026-03-17 17:30
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%2.6%2026-03-17 17:30
Novig1.63I 61.35%NM 57.55%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.45%6.6%2026-03-17 17:30