Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.25
assuming max odds 4.71
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elina Svitolina (Local): 77.66%; Hailey Baptiste (Visit): 22.34%. For Hailey Baptiste (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.48. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.71, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.22%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.29%EV -4.48%E -3.64%K -19.47%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 20.71%EV +5.22%E +1.11%K +1.41%G +0.073% | 2.5% | 2026-03-22 17:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -6.03%E -4.98%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV +0.751%E +0.167%K +0.214%G +0.002% | 4.8% | 2026-03-22 17:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -6.03%E -4.98%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV +0.751%E +0.167%K +0.214%G +0.002% | 4.8% | 2026-03-22 17:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.70%E -2.98%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV +0.528%E +0.117%K +0.151%G +0.001% | 2.9% | 2026-03-22 13:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -3.70%E -2.98%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV -1.71%E -0.388%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-22 12:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -8.36%E -7.09%K -46.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -1.71%E -0.388%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 13:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.25%E -4.31%K -23.88%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -2.82%E -0.649%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 12:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -5.25%E -4.31%K -23.88%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -3.27%E -0.755%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 13:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.25%E -4.31%K -23.88%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.94%E -0.916%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 13:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.25%E -4.31%K -23.88%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.94%E -0.916%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 14:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.81%E -5.67%K -34.04%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.94%E -0.916%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-22 15:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.44%EV -2.92%E -2.34%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 22.56%EV -4.16%E -0.971%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-22 14:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.58%EV -3.70%E -2.98%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 22.42%EV -4.16%E -0.971%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-22 12:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.70%E -2.98%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.06%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 06:12 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.70%E -2.98%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.06%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-22 09:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.48%E -3.64%K -19.47%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -5.06%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-22 12:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.25%E -4.31%K -23.88%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.06%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 04:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.25%E -4.31%K -23.88%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.06%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 15:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.25%E -4.31%K -23.88%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.06%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-22 16:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.81%E -5.67%K -34.04%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.06%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 11:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.70%E -2.98%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-22 17:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.70%E -2.98%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-22 17:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.70%E -2.98%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-22 17:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.70%E -2.98%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-22 17:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.70%E -2.98%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-22 17:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.70%E -2.98%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-22 17:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.70%E -2.98%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-22 17:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.70%E -2.98%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-22 17:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.70%E -2.98%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-22 17:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.70%E -2.98%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-22 17:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.70%E -2.98%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-22 17:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.70%E -2.98%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-22 17:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.70%E -2.98%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-22 17:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.48%E -3.64%K -19.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 12:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.48%E -3.64%K -19.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 12:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.48%E -3.64%K -19.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 16:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.48%E -3.64%K -19.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 04:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.48%E -3.64%K -19.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 12:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.25%E -4.31%K -23.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 04:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.25%E -4.31%K -23.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 04:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.25%E -4.31%K -23.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 04:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.25%E -4.31%K -23.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-22 12:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.25%E -4.31%K -23.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-22 06:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.25%E -4.31%K -23.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-22 06:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.25%E -4.31%K -23.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-22 06:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.25%E -4.31%K -23.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-22 06:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -6.03%E -4.98%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-22 14:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.81%E -5.67%K -34.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-22 05:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.81%E -5.67%K -34.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-22 14:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.81%E -5.67%K -34.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-22 17:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -4.48%E -3.64%K -19.47%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -7.29%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-22 14:14 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.25%E -4.31%K -23.88%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -7.29%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 17:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.25%E -4.31%K -23.88%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -7.29%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 13:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.48%E -3.64%K -19.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -8.41%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-22 17:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.70%E -2.98%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-22 17:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.25%E -4.31%K -23.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-22 17:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.25%E -4.31%K -23.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-22 17:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.81%E -5.67%K -34.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 11:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.81%E -5.67%K -34.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 11:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.81%E -5.67%K -34.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 12:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.25%E -4.31%K -23.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -16.23%E -4.33%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-22 10:38 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-03-22 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-03-22 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-03-22 17:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.1% | 2026-03-22 17:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.93% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.07% | 1.7% | 2026-03-22 17:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.77% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 20.23% | 1.9% | 2026-03-22 17:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.09% | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.91% | 2.0% | 2026-03-22 17:25 |