L’École des cotes

Elina Svitolina v Hailey Baptiste

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-22 17:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Elina Svitolina (Local)

Prévision 77.66%1.29cote équitable
EV -2.92%
Avantage -2.34%
Kelly -11.70%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
75.45%77.71%77.64%79.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.181.221.221.2584.75%81.67%81.97%80.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Hailey Baptiste (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.34%4.48cote équitable
EV +5.22%
Avantage +1.11%
Kelly +1.41%
Croissance +0.073%

avec la cote maximale 4.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.71%22.29%22.36%24.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.224.204.7126.67%23.71%23.81%21.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.23I 81.30%NM 79.29%EV -4.48%E -3.64%K -19.47%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.71%EV +5.22%E +1.11%K +1.41%G +0.073%2.5%2026-03-22 17:15
LowVig.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -6.03%E -4.98%K -28.72%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV +0.751%E +0.167%K +0.214%G +0.002%4.8%2026-03-22 17:09
BetOnline.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -6.03%E -4.98%K -28.72%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV +0.751%E +0.167%K +0.214%G +0.002%4.8%2026-03-22 17:10
Coolbet1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.70%E -2.98%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV +0.528%E +0.117%K +0.151%G +0.001%2.9%2026-03-22 13:54
Winamax (DE)1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -3.70%E -2.98%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV -1.71%E -0.388%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-22 12:49
Caesars1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -8.36%E -7.09%K -46.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -1.71%E -0.388%K -0.502%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 13:34
Unibet (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.25%E -4.31%K -23.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -2.82%E -0.649%K -0.843%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 12:24
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -5.25%E -4.31%K -23.88%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -3.27%E -0.755%K -0.982%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 13:14
Fanatics1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.25%E -4.31%K -23.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.94%E -0.916%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 13:54
FanDuel1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.25%E -4.31%K -23.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.94%E -0.916%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 14:14
NetBet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.81%E -5.67%K -34.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.94%E -0.916%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 15:35
1xBet1.25I 80.00%NM 77.44%EV -2.92%E -2.34%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.56%EV -4.16%E -0.971%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-22 14:15
DraftKings1.24I 80.65%NM 77.58%EV -3.70%E -2.98%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.42%EV -4.16%E -0.971%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 12:19
Bovada1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.70%E -2.98%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.06%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 06:12
Hard Rock Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.70%E -2.98%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.06%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-22 09:35
Bet Right1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.48%E -3.64%K -19.47%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -5.06%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 12:49
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.25%E -4.31%K -23.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.06%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 04:40
PointsBet (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.25%E -4.31%K -23.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.06%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 15:55
BetUS1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.25%E -4.31%K -23.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.06%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 16:04
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.81%E -5.67%K -34.04%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.06%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 11:35
Grosvenor1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.70%E -2.98%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 17:15
Casumo1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.70%E -2.98%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 17:15
BetRivers1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.70%E -2.98%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 17:15
Unibet (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.70%E -2.98%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 17:15
LeoVegas1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.70%E -2.98%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 17:15
Bally Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.70%E -2.98%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 17:15
ATG (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.70%E -2.98%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 17:15
Unibet (NL)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.70%E -2.98%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 17:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.70%E -2.98%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 17:15
Unibet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.70%E -2.98%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 17:14
TABtouch1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.70%E -2.98%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 17:15
betPARX1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.70%E -2.98%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 17:15
Svenska Spel1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.70%E -2.98%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 17:15
NordicBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.48%E -3.64%K -19.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 12:50
Betsson1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.48%E -3.64%K -19.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 12:50
ReBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.48%E -3.64%K -19.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 16:35
GTbets1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.48%E -3.64%K -19.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 04:44
Unibet (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.48%E -3.64%K -19.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 12:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.25%E -4.31%K -23.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 04:29
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.25%E -4.31%K -23.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 04:29
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.25%E -4.31%K -23.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 04:29
Winamax (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.25%E -4.31%K -23.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 12:50
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.25%E -4.31%K -23.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 06:14
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.25%E -4.31%K -23.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 06:45
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.25%E -4.31%K -23.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 06:04
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.25%E -4.31%K -23.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 06:14
Fliff1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -6.03%E -4.98%K -28.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 14:15
PMU (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.81%E -5.67%K -34.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 05:39
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.81%E -5.67%K -34.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 14:14
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.81%E -5.67%K -34.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 17:10
Marathon Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -4.48%E -3.64%K -19.47%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -7.29%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 14:14
Parions Sport (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.25%E -4.31%K -23.88%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -7.29%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 17:19
Betr (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.25%E -4.31%K -23.88%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -7.29%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 13:14
theScore Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.48%E -3.64%K -19.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -8.41%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 17:25
PlayUp1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.70%E -2.98%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 17:10
LiveScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.25%E -4.31%K -23.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 17:15
Virgin Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.25%E -4.31%K -23.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 17:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.81%E -5.67%K -34.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 11:20
Neds1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.81%E -5.67%K -34.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 11:19
Everygame1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.81%E -5.67%K -34.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 12:05
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.25%E -4.31%K -23.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -16.23%E -4.33%K -5.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 10:38
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-03-22 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-03-22 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-03-22 17:25
Matchbook1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.1%2026-03-22 17:25
Smarkets1.23I 81.30%NM 79.93%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.07%1.7%2026-03-22 17:25
ProphetX1.23I 81.30%NM 79.77%4.85I 20.62%NM 20.23%1.9%2026-03-22 17:25
Novig1.24I 80.65%NM 79.09%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.91%2.0%2026-03-22 17:25