Language:English
Elena Rybakina v Talia Gibson
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Elena Rybakina (Local)
Prediction 85.27%1.17fair odd
EV -2.79%
Edge -2.45%
Kelly -19.93%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.96%85.16%85.26%87.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.111.121.1492.59%89.99%89.29%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Talia Gibson (Visit)
Prediction 14.73%6.79fair odd
EV +10.46%
Edge +1.39%
Kelly +1.61%
Growth +0.168%
assuming max odds 7.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.79%14.84%14.74%17.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.596.507.5018.18%15.19%15.38%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elena Rybakina (Local): 85.27%; Talia Gibson (Visit): 14.73%. For Talia Gibson (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.79. 22 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.46%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -6.20%E -5.64%K -62.01%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +10.46%E +1.39%K +1.61%G +0.168% | 4.2% | 2026-03-24 00:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -6.20%E -5.64%K -62.01%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +10.46%E +1.39%K +1.61%G +0.168% | 4.2% | 2026-03-24 00:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -6.20%E -5.64%K -62.01%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +10.46%E +1.39%K +1.61%G +0.168% | 4.2% | 2026-03-24 00:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -6.20%E -5.64%K -62.01%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +10.46%E +1.39%K +1.61%G +0.168% | 4.2% | 2026-03-24 00:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -6.20%E -5.64%K -62.01%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +10.46%E +1.39%K +1.61%G +0.168% | 4.2% | 2026-03-24 00:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -6.20%E -5.64%K -62.01%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +10.46%E +1.39%K +1.61%G +0.168% | 4.2% | 2026-03-24 00:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -6.20%E -5.64%K -62.01%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +10.46%E +1.39%K +1.61%G +0.168% | 4.2% | 2026-03-24 00:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -6.20%E -5.64%K -62.01%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +10.46%E +1.39%K +1.61%G +0.168% | 4.2% | 2026-03-24 00:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -6.20%E -5.64%K -62.01%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +10.46%E +1.39%K +1.61%G +0.168% | 4.2% | 2026-03-24 00:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -6.20%E -5.64%K -62.01%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +10.46%E +1.39%K +1.61%G +0.168% | 4.2% | 2026-03-24 00:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -6.20%E -5.64%K -62.01%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +10.46%E +1.39%K +1.61%G +0.168% | 4.2% | 2026-03-24 00:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -6.20%E -5.64%K -62.01%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +10.46%E +1.39%K +1.61%G +0.168% | 4.2% | 2026-03-24 00:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -6.20%E -5.64%K -62.01%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +10.46%E +1.39%K +1.61%G +0.168% | 4.2% | 2026-03-24 00:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.64%EV -3.64%E -3.22%K -28.02%G +0.000% | 7.33I 13.64%NM 13.36%EV +7.96%E +1.09%K +1.26%G +0.100% | 2.1% | 2026-03-24 00:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.10%EV -3.64%E -3.22%K -28.02%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.90%EV +3.10%E +0.442%K +0.516%G +0.016% | 2.8% | 2026-03-23 22:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -4.50%E -4.01%K -37.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +3.10%E +0.442%K +0.516%G +0.016% | 3.6% | 2026-03-23 21:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.20%E -5.64%K -62.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +3.10%E +0.442%K +0.516%G +0.016% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 21:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.20%E -5.64%K -62.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +3.10%E +0.442%K +0.516%G +0.016% | 5.2% | 2026-03-24 00:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.20%E -5.64%K -62.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +3.10%E +0.442%K +0.516%G +0.016% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 21:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.20%E -5.64%K -62.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +3.10%E +0.442%K +0.516%G +0.016% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 23:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.20%E -5.64%K -62.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +3.10%E +0.442%K +0.516%G +0.016% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 22:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.14%EV -5.35%E -4.82%K -48.62%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.86%EV +1.62%E +0.235%K +0.275%G +0.004% | 4.6% | 2026-03-24 00:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -7.05%E -6.47%K -78.37%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -0.586%E -0.087%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-23 21:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -7.05%E -6.47%K -78.37%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -0.586%E -0.087%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-23 22:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -7.91%E -7.32%K -98.83%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -0.586%E -0.087%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-24 00:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.57%EV -4.50%E -4.01%K -37.46%G +0.000% | 6.64I 15.06%NM 14.43%EV -2.21%E -0.332%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-24 00:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -4.50%E -4.01%K -37.46%G +0.000% | 6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -2.65%E -0.401%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-24 00:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -4.50%E -4.01%K -37.46%G +0.000% | 6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -2.65%E -0.401%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-24 00:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.50%E -4.01%K -37.46%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -4.27%E -0.657%K -0.776%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-23 23:13 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.35%E -4.82%K -48.62%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -4.27%E -0.657%K -0.776%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-23 21:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.43%EV -6.20%E -5.64%K -62.01%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.57%EV -5.00%E -0.776%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-24 00:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.50%E -4.01%K -37.46%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -5.74%E -0.897%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-23 23:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.50%E -4.01%K -37.46%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -5.74%E -0.897%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-23 21:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.50%E -4.01%K -37.46%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -5.74%E -0.897%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-23 21:54 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.02%EV -5.35%E -4.82%K -48.62%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.98%EV -7.21%E -1.15%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-24 00:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.50%E -4.01%K -37.46%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.95%E -1.27%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-23 23:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.50%E -4.01%K -37.46%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.95%E -1.27%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 00:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.35%E -4.82%K -48.62%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -7.95%E -1.27%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-23 21:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.50%E -4.01%K -37.46%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -8.69%E -1.40%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-24 00:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.50%E -4.01%K -37.46%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -8.69%E -1.40%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 23:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -2.79%E -2.45%K -19.93%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -10.90%E -1.80%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-24 00:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.50%E -4.01%K -37.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.63%E -1.94%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-23 23:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.50%E -4.01%K -37.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.63%E -1.94%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-23 15:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.50%E -4.01%K -37.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.63%E -1.94%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-23 23:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.50%E -4.01%K -37.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.63%E -1.94%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-23 11:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.50%E -4.01%K -37.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.63%E -1.94%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-23 11:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.50%E -4.01%K -37.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.63%E -1.94%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-23 10:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.50%E -4.01%K -37.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.63%E -1.94%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-23 10:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.20%E -5.64%K -62.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -11.63%E -1.94%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-24 00:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -7.05%E -6.47%K -78.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -11.63%E -1.94%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-24 00:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -3.64%E -3.22%K -28.02%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -15.31%E -2.66%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-23 23:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.50%E -4.01%K -37.46%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -15.31%E -2.66%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-23 23:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.50%E -4.01%K -37.46%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -15.31%E -2.66%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-23 23:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -4.50%E -4.01%K -37.46%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -17.52%E -3.13%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-23 23:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -4.50%E -4.01%K -37.46%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -17.52%E -3.13%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-23 23:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -3.64%E -3.22%K -28.02%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -19.00%E -3.45%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-24 00:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.50%E -4.01%K -37.46%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -19.00%E -3.45%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-23 22:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.50%E -4.01%K -37.46%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -19.00%E -3.45%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-24 00:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.53% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.47% | 0.2% | 2026-03-24 00:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.10% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.90% | 0.7% | 2026-03-24 00:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91% | 0.7% | 2026-03-24 00:48 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.0% | 2026-03-24 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.0% | 2026-03-24 00:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.0% | 2026-03-24 00:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.82% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.18% | 2.6% | 2026-03-24 00:54 |