Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Elena Rybakina v Talia Gibson

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-24 01:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Elena Rybakina (Local)

Prévision 85.27%1.17cote équitable
EV -2.79%
Avantage -2.45%
Kelly -19.93%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.14

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
82.96%85.16%85.26%87.21%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.081.111.121.1492.59%89.99%89.29%87.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Talia Gibson (Visiteur)

Prévision 14.73%6.79cote équitable
EV +10.46%
Avantage +1.39%
Kelly +1.61%
Croissance +0.168%

avec la cote maximale 7.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.79%14.84%14.74%17.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.506.596.507.5018.18%15.19%15.38%13.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Elena Rybakina (Local) : 85.27% ; Talia Gibson (Visiteur) : 14.73%. Pour Talia Gibson (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.79. 22 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 7.50, soit une espérance positive de +10.46%.

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -6.20%E -5.64%K -62.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +10.46%E +1.39%K +1.61%G +0.168%4.2%2026-03-24 00:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -6.20%E -5.64%K -62.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +10.46%E +1.39%K +1.61%G +0.168%4.2%2026-03-24 00:50
Unibet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -6.20%E -5.64%K -62.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +10.46%E +1.39%K +1.61%G +0.168%4.2%2026-03-24 00:50
LeoVegas🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -6.20%E -5.64%K -62.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +10.46%E +1.39%K +1.61%G +0.168%4.2%2026-03-24 00:49
Casumo🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -6.20%E -5.64%K -62.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +10.46%E +1.39%K +1.61%G +0.168%4.2%2026-03-24 00:49
TABtouch🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -6.20%E -5.64%K -62.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +10.46%E +1.39%K +1.61%G +0.168%4.2%2026-03-24 00:49
Grosvenor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -6.20%E -5.64%K -62.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +10.46%E +1.39%K +1.61%G +0.168%4.2%2026-03-24 00:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -6.20%E -5.64%K -62.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +10.46%E +1.39%K +1.61%G +0.168%4.2%2026-03-24 00:49
Bally Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -6.20%E -5.64%K -62.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +10.46%E +1.39%K +1.61%G +0.168%4.2%2026-03-24 00:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -6.20%E -5.64%K -62.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +10.46%E +1.39%K +1.61%G +0.168%4.2%2026-03-24 00:50
betPARX🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -6.20%E -5.64%K -62.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +10.46%E +1.39%K +1.61%G +0.168%4.2%2026-03-24 00:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -6.20%E -5.64%K -62.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +10.46%E +1.39%K +1.61%G +0.168%4.2%2026-03-24 00:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -6.20%E -5.64%K -62.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +10.46%E +1.39%K +1.61%G +0.168%4.2%2026-03-24 00:49
Pinnacle🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 86.64%EV -3.64%E -3.22%K -28.02%G +0.000%7.33I 13.64%NM 13.36%EV +7.96%E +1.09%K +1.26%G +0.100%2.1%2026-03-24 00:34
Coolbet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 86.10%EV -3.64%E -3.22%K -28.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.90%EV +3.10%E +0.442%K +0.516%G +0.016%2.8%2026-03-23 22:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -4.50%E -4.01%K -37.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +3.10%E +0.442%K +0.516%G +0.016%3.6%2026-03-23 21:55
Betway🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.20%E -5.64%K -62.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +3.10%E +0.442%K +0.516%G +0.016%5.2%2026-03-23 21:44
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.20%E -5.64%K -62.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +3.10%E +0.442%K +0.516%G +0.016%5.2%2026-03-24 00:39
BetRivers🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.20%E -5.64%K -62.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +3.10%E +0.442%K +0.516%G +0.016%5.2%2026-03-23 21:59
BetUS🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.20%E -5.64%K -62.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +3.10%E +0.442%K +0.516%G +0.016%5.2%2026-03-23 23:50
BoyleSports🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.20%E -5.64%K -62.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +3.10%E +0.442%K +0.516%G +0.016%5.2%2026-03-23 22:04
FanDuel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.14%EV -5.35%E -4.82%K -48.62%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.86%EV +1.62%E +0.235%K +0.275%G +0.004%4.6%2026-03-24 00:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -7.05%E -6.47%K -78.37%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -0.586%E -0.087%K -0.102%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-23 21:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -7.05%E -6.47%K -78.37%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -0.586%E -0.087%K -0.102%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-23 22:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -7.91%E -7.32%K -98.83%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -0.586%E -0.087%K -0.102%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-24 00:40
DraftKings🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.57%EV -4.50%E -4.01%K -37.46%G +0.000%6.64I 15.06%NM 14.43%EV -2.21%E -0.332%K -0.391%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-24 00:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -4.50%E -4.01%K -37.46%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -2.65%E -0.401%K -0.472%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-24 00:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -4.50%E -4.01%K -37.46%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -2.65%E -0.401%K -0.472%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-24 00:40
Bovada🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.50%E -4.01%K -37.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -4.27%E -0.657%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 23:13
Winamax (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.35%E -4.82%K -48.62%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -4.27%E -0.657%K -0.776%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-23 21:55
Fliff🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.43%EV -6.20%E -5.64%K -62.01%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.57%EV -5.00%E -0.776%K -0.918%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-24 00:54
Fanatics🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.50%E -4.01%K -37.46%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -5.74%E -0.897%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-23 23:15
NordicBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.50%E -4.01%K -37.46%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -5.74%E -0.897%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-23 21:49
Betsson🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.50%E -4.01%K -37.46%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -5.74%E -0.897%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-23 21:54
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.02%EV -5.35%E -4.82%K -48.62%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.98%EV -7.21%E -1.15%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-24 00:34
Bet Right🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.50%E -4.01%K -37.46%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.95%E -1.27%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-23 23:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.50%E -4.01%K -37.46%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.95%E -1.27%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 00:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.35%E -4.82%K -48.62%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -7.95%E -1.27%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-23 21:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.50%E -4.01%K -37.46%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -8.69%E -1.40%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-24 00:54
ReBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.50%E -4.01%K -37.46%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -8.69%E -1.40%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 23:45
1xBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -2.79%E -2.45%K -19.93%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -10.90%E -1.80%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-24 00:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.50%E -4.01%K -37.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.63%E -1.94%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 23:15
theScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.50%E -4.01%K -37.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.63%E -1.94%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 15:19
PlayUp🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.50%E -4.01%K -37.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.63%E -1.94%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 23:50
888sport🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.50%E -4.01%K -37.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.63%E -1.94%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 11:00
William Hill🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.50%E -4.01%K -37.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.63%E -1.94%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 11:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.50%E -4.01%K -37.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.63%E -1.94%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 10:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.50%E -4.01%K -37.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -11.63%E -1.94%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 10:59
SportsBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.20%E -5.64%K -62.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -11.63%E -1.94%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-24 00:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -7.05%E -6.47%K -78.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -11.63%E -1.94%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-24 00:44
BetMGM🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -3.64%E -3.22%K -28.02%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -15.31%E -2.66%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-23 23:25
Coral🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.50%E -4.01%K -37.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -15.31%E -2.66%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-23 23:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.50%E -4.01%K -37.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -15.31%E -2.66%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-23 23:14
Neds🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -4.50%E -4.01%K -37.46%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -17.52%E -3.13%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-23 23:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -4.50%E -4.01%K -37.46%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -17.52%E -3.13%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-23 23:25
TAB🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -3.64%E -3.22%K -28.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -19.00%E -3.45%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-24 00:50
Bet Victor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.50%E -4.01%K -37.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -19.00%E -3.45%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-23 22:14
Caesars🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.50%E -4.01%K -37.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -19.00%E -3.45%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-24 00:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.14I 87.72%NM 87.53%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.47%0.2%2026-03-24 00:50
ProphetX1.14I 87.72%NM 87.10%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.90%0.7%2026-03-24 00:50
Novig1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-03-24 00:48
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.0%2026-03-24 00:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.0%2026-03-24 00:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.0%2026-03-24 00:50
Smarkets1.11I 90.09%NM 87.82%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.18%2.6%2026-03-24 00:54