Language:English
Elena Rybakina v Jessica Pegula
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Elena Rybakina (Local)
Prediction 65.67%1.52fair odd
EV -2.80%
Edge -1.89%
Kelly -5.84%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.59%65.67%65.60%67.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.431.431.4871.43%69.69%69.93%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jessica Pegula (Visit)
Prediction 34.33%2.91fair odd
EV +2.29%
Edge +0.768%
Kelly +1.16%
Growth +0.026%
assuming max odds 2.98
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.27%34.33%34.40%36.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.782.802.9839.22%35.95%35.71%33.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elena Rybakina (Local): 65.67%; Jessica Pegula (Visit): 34.33%. For Jessica Pegula (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.91. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.98, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.29%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -6.74%E -4.75%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV +2.29%E +0.768%K +1.16%G +0.026% | 4.0% | 2026-03-25 17:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -6.74%E -4.75%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV +2.29%E +0.768%K +1.16%G +0.026% | 4.0% | 2026-03-25 17:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.74%EV -4.11%E -2.82%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 33.26%EV +0.573%E +0.196%K +0.297%G +0.002% | 2.6% | 2026-03-25 17:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.28%EV -6.74%E -4.75%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.72%EV +0.230%E +0.079%K +0.120%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-25 16:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.09%E -4.26%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -0.457%E -0.157%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-25 17:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.06%E -5.75%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.457%E -0.157%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-25 17:06 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -4.11%E -2.82%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -2.17%E -0.762%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-25 17:06 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.17%E -0.762%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-25 17:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.17%E -0.762%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-25 17:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.09%E -4.26%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.17%E -0.762%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-25 17:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.09%E -4.26%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.17%E -0.762%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-25 17:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.09%E -4.26%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.17%E -0.762%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-25 17:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.09%E -4.26%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.17%E -0.762%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-25 17:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.09%E -4.26%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.17%E -0.762%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-25 17:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.09%E -4.26%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.17%E -0.762%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-25 17:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.09%E -4.26%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.17%E -0.762%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-25 17:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.09%E -4.26%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.17%E -0.762%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-25 17:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.09%E -4.26%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.17%E -0.762%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-25 17:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.09%E -4.26%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.17%E -0.762%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-25 17:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.09%E -4.26%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.17%E -0.762%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-25 17:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.09%E -4.26%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.17%E -0.762%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-25 17:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -2.52%E -0.886%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-25 17:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.66%EV -2.80%E -1.89%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.34%EV -2.86%E -1.01%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-25 17:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.46%E -2.35%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.89%E -1.39%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-25 17:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.89%E -1.39%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-25 17:10 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.89%E -1.39%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-25 17:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.89%E -1.39%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-25 17:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.89%E -1.39%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-25 17:07 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.09%E -4.26%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.89%E -1.39%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-25 17:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.74%E -4.75%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.89%E -1.39%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-25 17:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.06%E -5.75%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.89%E -1.39%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-25 17:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.58%E -1.65%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-25 16:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.43%EV -8.06%E -5.75%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.57%EV -4.92%E -1.78%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-25 17:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -4.11%E -2.82%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -5.26%E -1.91%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-25 17:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.19%EV -7.40%E -5.25%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.81%EV -5.26%E -1.91%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-25 17:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.11%E -2.82%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.61%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-25 16:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.61%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 16:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.61%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-25 17:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.61%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-25 17:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.61%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-25 17:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.09%E -4.26%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.61%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-25 17:06 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.74%E -4.75%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.61%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-25 17:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.74%E -4.75%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.61%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-25 17:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.06%E -5.75%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.61%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-25 16:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.06%E -5.75%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.61%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-25 17:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.06%E -5.75%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.61%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-25 17:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.06%E -5.75%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.61%E -2.04%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-25 17:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.46%E -2.35%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -7.32%E -2.71%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-25 17:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.32%E -2.71%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-25 17:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.32%E -2.71%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-25 17:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.32%E -2.71%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-25 17:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.74%E -4.75%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.32%E -2.71%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-25 17:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.04%E -3.41%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-25 17:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.77%E -3.29%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.04%E -3.41%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-25 17:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -8.06%E -5.75%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -9.04%E -3.41%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-25 17:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.07%E -3.84%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-25 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.43%E -3.77%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.07%E -3.84%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-25 17:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.80%E -1.89%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.75%E -4.14%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-25 17:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.59%EV -4.11%E -2.82%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -12.47%E -4.89%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-25 17:07 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.59%EV -4.11%E -2.82%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -12.47%E -4.89%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-25 17:07 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93% | 0.2% | 2026-03-25 17:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 0.5% | 2026-03-25 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 0.5% | 2026-03-25 17:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 0.5% | 2026-03-25 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24% | 0.7% | 2026-03-25 17:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94% | 2.3% | 2026-03-25 17:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94% | 2.3% | 2026-03-25 17:10 |